German Election 2017
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Author Topic: German Election 2017  (Read 1882 times)
TheSaint250
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 7,073


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E: -2.84, S: 5.22

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« on: September 21, 2017, 07:30:24 PM »

What do you think the results will be, and which coalition will be formed?
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President Johnson
Atlas Star
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Posts: 28,867
Germany


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E: -3.23, S: -4.70


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« Reply #1 on: September 22, 2017, 04:39:35 AM »

I think this will be the result (a disaster):

CDU/CSU: 36.8%
SPD: 21.4%
AfD: 13.7%
FDP: 8.5%
Left: 8.4%
Greens: 7.5%

Most likely coaltion: "Jamaica coalition" (CDU/CSU, FDP, Greens)
Second most likely: Grand coalition


Slim chance, a CDU/CSU+FDP coaltion is possible, then this:

CDU/CSU: 38.5%
SPD: 21.0%
AfD: 11.8%
FDP: 9.5%
Left: 8.0%
Greens: 6.7%
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tomhguy
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Posts: 122
United Kingdom


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E: 0.90, S: -1.00

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« Reply #2 on: September 22, 2017, 11:33:36 AM »

There are three possible outcomes for me:

Polls are quite right:

CDU : 37
SPD  : 24
DL : 10
Green : 8
FDP : 10
AFD : 11

The Polls slightly go with the current momentum

CDU : 34
SPD  : 22
DL : 11
Green : 8.5
FDP : 8.5
AFD : 16

The polls go violently with the current momentum

CDU : 30
SPD  : 21.5
DL : 11
Green : 9
FDP : 9.5
AFD : 19
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JA
Jacobin American
Junior Chimp
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United States


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« Reply #3 on: September 22, 2017, 10:25:16 PM »
« Edited: September 22, 2017, 10:26:50 PM by Jacobin American »

36,6% | CDU/CSU
22,5% | SPD
10,6% | AfD
10,1% | Left
08,9% | FDP
07,8% | Green
03,5% | Others

CDU/CSU - FDP - Green coalition (Jamaica)
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Anzeigenhauptmeister
Hades
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,374
Israel


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« Reply #4 on: September 23, 2017, 09:24:54 AM »

I just want to remind you people that I have created a German Election Prediction Contest 2017, too.
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TheSaint250
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 7,073


Political Matrix
E: -2.84, S: 5.22

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« Reply #5 on: September 24, 2017, 09:38:09 AM »

CDU/CSU: 36.2%
SPD: 23.8%
AfD: 10.7%
FDP: 9.4%
Linke: 8.9%
Grüne: 6.2%

Coalition: Grand Coalition (CDU/CSU-SPD)
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Not_Madigan
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E: -3.29, S: -7.74

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« Reply #6 on: September 24, 2017, 09:44:53 AM »

CDU/CSU:  35.4%
SPD:  22.3%
AFD:  13.6%
Die Linke:  10.2%
FDP:  8.4%
Grune:  5.0%
Other:  5.1%

Grand Coalition
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
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United States


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« Reply #7 on: September 24, 2017, 09:51:43 AM »

My prediction
CDU 35
SPD 22
AfD 12
Die Linke 10
FDP 9
Grune 8

Jamaica coalition
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