day3: arizona
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 27, 2024, 08:24:01 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Trends (Moderator: 100% pro-life no matter what)
  day3: arizona		 « previous next »
Pages: 1 [2]
Author Topic: day3: arizona  (Read 3712 times)
Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,181


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #25 on: May 02, 2020, 07:34:06 PM »
That analysis would have been right if the GOP didn't trend hard lunatic right such that UMC white people bailed on the party.  So now both trends favor Democrats.
Logged
Libertas Vel Mors
Haley/Ryan
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,281
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -0.17

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #26 on: May 02, 2020, 09:57:31 PM »
Quote from: Non Swing Voter on May 02, 2020, 07:34:06 PM
That analysis would have been right if the GOP didn't trend hard lunatic right such that UMC white people bailed on the party.  So now both trends favor Democrats.

This is just bad analysis. Arizona was a hub of the Tea Party movement. SB 1070? Remember that? The issue in AZ isn't that Republicans went conservative, it's that Trump doesn't play well with suburban voters.
Logged
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,772


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #27 on: May 02, 2020, 10:14:00 PM »
Quote from: Sen. Dean Heller on May 02, 2020, 09:57:31 PM
Quote from: Non Swing Voter on May 02, 2020, 07:34:06 PM
That analysis would have been right if the GOP didn't trend hard lunatic right such that UMC white people bailed on the party.  So now both trends favor Democrats.

This is just bad analysis. Arizona was a hub of the Tea Party movement. SB 1070? Remember that? The issue in AZ isn't that Republicans went conservative, it's that Trump doesn't play well with suburban voters.


Yah there was a study done most tea partiers were UMC
Logged
Pages: 1 [2]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.02 seconds with 12 queries.