I think a lot of it has to do with a desire to think of a way that the Democrats could reverse the post-94 GOP dominance without touching the evil, evil South
But trends are always dangerous things
you are correct.
a lot of folks think the continuing hispanic migration into the southwest will tip the scales to the democrats. i think that is incredibly simplistic, especially since the gop has made some inroads with the hispanic community.
i would also assume that many retirees flocking to 'zona are from the midwest and probably tend to be republican in nature. maybe carlhayden can step in and confirm or deny that?