day3: arizona (user search)
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  day3: arizona (search mode)
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Author Topic: day3: arizona  (Read 3739 times)
Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78
« on: August 26, 2005, 08:29:46 AM »
Arizona has two major trends happening:

1. Urbanization
2. Influx of disaffected, mostly middle-class white, Californians

1. will cause a Democrat shift, while 2 will cause a GOP shift.  What direction the state goes depends on the balance of these two trends.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,123
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78
« Reply #1 on: August 26, 2005, 03:42:30 PM »
Quote from: CARLHAYDEN on August 26, 2005, 09:17:49 AM
Everyone but Beef is pretty close to correct.

[...]

Third, the refugees from California (fleeing liberal tyranny there) are NOT going to move Arizona to the left (they have seen what happened to California).

Yes, that's why I said the California out-migration will cause a GOP shift in AZ.
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