Tasmanian state election - 3rd March 2018

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Abetz is already under my skin, god I hate his guts. I'm simply ashamed to call him a fellow Liberal

[AustralianSwingVoter]

The gun issue is going to hurt the Liberals in Franklin and Denison, however that doesn't particularly matter. We're going to lose the 4th in Braddon, and the third in Franklin was always an odds on gain for Labor. The seat which matters is the third in Lyons, and to a lesser extent the third in Bass, and the gun issue is if anything going to help us in these seats. Unless we lose our second in Denison the gun issue shouldn't really hurt us.

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Even though I'm a Liberal I sort of hope that we lose because if we win Abetz will be sooooo smug. And smug Abetz is the most unbearable Abetz.

[AustralianSwingVoter]

First booths in from Franklin.

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Antony's given away three seats in Bass, Peter Gutwein (the Treasurer) and Michael Ferguson for the Liberals and Michelle O'Byrne for Labor.

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Although I really like Hodgman I sort of want him to lose because I love seeing Abetz's face when in defeat.

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Abetz is just being a complete idiot, talking about how "If you want to see Labor's policy in 5 years look at the Greens"

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Abetz quip on JLN function "" Not many people

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Three called in Lyons, two Liberals, not certain who, and Rebecca White (Opposition leader) for Labor

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Finally first booth in from Denison

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Three called in Braddon, Jeremy Rockliff (the Deputy Premier) and Adam Brooks (Minister for Conflicts of Interest) for the Liberals, with one called for Labor but not sure who, either Anita Dow or the incumbent Shane Broad

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Greenest booth in Denison reporting, 48.1% Greens!

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Mark Shelton (Speaker) declared as one of the two elected Liberals in Lyons

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Labor still delusional about achieving majority government.

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Hodgman is home and hosed in Franklin, he's getting more than double the quota!

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Interesting fact from Antony, 5 candidates have recieved more than a quota in Franklin in the last 30 years, all five had the last name Hodgman. Now isn't that fascinating.

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Michael Rowland is talking nonsense about Hobart waterfront being "far better than Sydney Harbour"

[AustralianSwingVoter]

One unknown Liberal and two unknown Labor candidates elected in Franklin.

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Looks like the Libs will lose their fourth in Braddon to Labor, and the Greens and second Labor neck and neck in Bass. It looks like the Libs will probably, surprisingly, keep the 3rd in Franklin, and no change in Denison

[AustralianSwingVoter]

On current figures the Libs are only down one (Braddon 4th) to 14.

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Labor's Scott Bacon elected in Denison

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Current numbers
9 LIB
6 LAB

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Abetz continues to assert that Labor's promise to consult is anything like the Liberals promise to do many detailed actions re guns.

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Current seat allocation:

[AustralianSwingVoter]

JLN's decision to run a full ticket in Braddon will hurt them significantly, their vote is evenly split between all of them, and preference leaking will ruin any chance of a seat.