NJ-Gov 2005.

[Moooooo]

Instead of making a new thread for every poll that comes out try to keep everything in this one thread.

Rasmussen New Jersey Governor
 
Corzine (D) 47%
Forrester (R) 36%
Other 5%

September 19, 2005--In the race to be New Jersey's next Governor, Democrat Jon Corzine's now leads Republican Doug Forrester by eleven percentage points. That's up from an eight point advantage for Senator Corzine in August. In July, Corzine held a 12-point lead. 

The latest Rasmussen Reports election poll finds that Senator Corzine attracting 47% of the Garden State vote while Forester earns just 36%.

This is the third straight Rasmussen Reports election poll showing declining support for Doug Forrester. Immediately after being nominated, Forrester earned 40% of the statewide vote.

Overall, Corzine is viewed favorably by 41% of New Jersey voters and unfavorably by 33%. That's a slight improvement for the Democrat over the past month.

The numbers for Forrester are 34% favorable and 26% unfavorable, unchanged from a month ago. It is very unusual for two statewide candidates to have such low favorability ratings.

Forty-nine percent (49%) of Likely Voters say that New Jersey politics is more corrupt than in most other states. That's up from 47% a month ago. Six percent (6%) say it is less corrupt while 37% believe the level of corruption is typical of most other states.

Twenty-four percent (24%) say corruption will decrease if Forrester is elected. Twelve percent (12%) say it will increase.

Voters are evenly divided on the subject if Corzine wins--23% think that will lead to more corruption and 20% to less. Regardless of who wins, a majority of voters believe the level of corruption will be unchanged.

The telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on September 14, 2005. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Forty percent (40%) of survey respondents were Democrats, 30% Republican.

President Bush has a 42% Job Approval rating in New Jersey. That's down from 44% a month ago and slightly below his national Approval Ratings.

In an early look at 2008, 41% of New Jersey voters plan to vote for a Democratic Presidential candidate. Thirty-five percent (35%) will pull the GOP lever while 21% said it will depend upon the candidates nominated by each party.

[Moooooo]

Corzines latest spot tries to tie Forrester to Bush.  IMO, its a sign of desperation by the Corzine campaign.  The question is... Will it work?

Watch the video...

[Cashcow]

Desperation? Anyone who thinks that Corzine will lose is delusional. I stick to my original prediction of 54-45, though it will probably be closer to 51-47 or something along those lines.

[TheresNoMoney]

Corzines latest spot tries to tie Forrester to Bush.  IMO, its a sign of desperation by the Corzine campaign.  The question is... Will it work?

Republicans have made a living out of tying Democrats to MoveOn.org and Michael Moore and every other demonized group, yet no one calls that desperation.

A lot of Republicans will be tied to Bush/Rove/Delay/Abramoff over the next year.

By the way, Rasmussen has a new poll on this race coming out tomorrow morning.

[Moooooo]

Desperation? Anyone who thinks that Corzine will lose is delusional. I stick to my original prediction of 54-45, though it will probably be closer to 51-47 or something along those lines.

I never said he was going to lose, but dragging Bush into a state election like this doesnt make much sense too me.  Its probably a good campaign strategy given Bush's lack of popularity, but Bush really is not relevant in this campaign.  IMO, its a sign of desperation.  Corzine has been slipping in the polls lately.

[TheresNoMoney]

That's a good ad.

[Keystone Phil]

IMO, its a sign of desperation.  Corzine has been slipping in the polls lately.

It is. Corzine is sinking and maybe this means I am delusional, cashcow, but I think it's very possible that he will lose. Forrester has some great tax ads up and one ad with just Dems complaining about Corzine and Co.

[Moooooo]

It is. Corzine is sinking and maybe this means I am delusional, cashcow, but I think it's very possible that he will lose. Forrester has some great tax ads up and one ad with just Dems complaining about Corzine and Co.

IMO, Corzines tax ad's are better.  He has one that nails Forrester for being the only candidate in this race to have raised property taxes (200%).

Forresters 'Democrats for Forrester'/Corruption ad's are good though.

[Keystone Phil]

It is. Corzine is sinking and maybe this means I am delusional, cashcow, but I think it's very possible that he will lose. Forrester has some great tax ads up and one ad with just Dems complaining about Corzine and Co.

IMO, Corzines tax ad's are better.  He has one that nails Forrester for being the only candidate in this race to have raised property taxes (200%).

Forresters 'Democrats for Forrester'/Corruption ad's are good though.

Forrester has an ad out about Corzine voting for a tax hikes and stressing his 30-in-3 plan.

[Keystone Phil]

There is also an ad with Kean, Sr. offering his full endorsement of Forrester. That should help.

[patrick1]

Corzine's anti Bush ads are a little curious to me.  I think it is a tad bit rash to so stridently bash Bush in a state in which he won 46%.  It is an interesting tactic to attack many voters' sensibilities to boost the total vote count.  His ads would have been a lot more useful if they weren't so strident and a bit more subtle. 

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Corzine's anti Bush ads are a little curious to me.  I think it is a tad bit rash to so stridently bash Bush in a state in which he won 46%.  It is an interesting tactic to attack many voters' sensibilities to boost the total vote count.  His ads would have been a lot more useful if they weren't so strident and a bit more subtle. 

This may be more relevant than what Bush's Kerry bashing got him last November.

[patrick1]

Most voters are smart enough to distinguish that Forrester is not Bush and W has little real relevancy to the election.  Some voters might, however, disapprove of being taking so strongly to task for voting for Bush.  The ads seemd a bit too coarse to me.

NJ is a heavy lean Democratic state and Corzine has a massive funding edge.  There is no reason, other than Corzine himself, why he should not win the race.  Here is to an upset victory.

[AuH2O]

I want it to be close... but I kind of want Corzine to win. Kean Jr. is going to SMOKE Menendez.

[Keystone Phil]

I want it to be close... but I kind of want Corzine to win. Kean Jr. is going to SMOKE Menendez.

I'd like Kean to smoke Menendez but he could also beat Corzine if he can't win this Gubernatorial election. Plus, NJ needs a Governor like Forrester to get working on the serious problems over there. The state is a mess.

[Cashcow]

When has New Jersey not been a corrupt state?

[TheresNoMoney]

Brand new Rasmussen poll:

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2005/New%20Jersey%20Governor_October%206.htm

Corzine 45%
Forrester 38%
Other 5%

[Keystone Phil]

Brand new Rasmussen poll:

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2005/New%20Jersey%20Governor_October%206.htm

Corzine 45%
Forrester 38%
Other 5%

Was this conducted this week? As if it's not bad enough for Corzine that he is only up seven, the fact that this might have been taken this week shows that the Clinton trip and the anti-Bush/Forrester ad did nothing for him.

[Moooooo]

Was this conducted this week? As if it's not bad enough for Corzine that he is only up seven, the fact that this might have been taken this week shows that the Clinton trip and the anti-Bush/Forrester ad did nothing for him.

Looks like the poll was conducted October 4th.

[Keystone Phil]

Was this conducted this week? As if it's not bad enough for Corzine that he is only up seven, the fact that this might have been taken this week shows that the Clinton trip and the anti-Bush/Forrester ad did nothing for him.

Looks like the poll was conducted October 4th.

Corzine is in some serious trouble. His Bush ad has been up for about a week and the Clinton visit was supposed to give him a boost.

[Cashcow]

You should be praying for a Corzine win so that your party can pick up a Senate seat.

[© tweed]

You should be praying for a Corzine win so that your party can pick up a Senate seat.

If he loses the gubernatorial race I don't think he wins senate re-election.

[Keystone Phil]

You should be praying for a Corzine win so that your party can pick up a Senate seat.

If Corzine blows this race, Kean can beat him in a Senate race. Kean is stronger than Forrester.

[Cashcow]

You should be praying for a Corzine win so that your party can pick up a Senate seat.

If he loses the gubernatorial race I don't think he wins senate re-election.

If he has any balls he'll retire immediately.

[© tweed]

You should be praying for a Corzine win so that your party can pick up a Senate seat.

If he loses the gubernatorial race I don't think he wins senate re-election.

If he has any balls he'll retire immediately.

Right, so that way the GOP has control of the seat for an extra 24 months.