IN-SEN: Who wins the Republican primary?
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  IN-SEN: Who wins the Republican primary?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: -skip-
#1
Mike Braun		  
#2
Luke Messer		  
#3
Todd Rokita		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 71

Author Topic: IN-SEN: Who wins the Republican primary?  (Read 4614 times)
Theodore
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« Reply #25 on: May 08, 2018, 12:38:15 PM »
Quote from: Hoosier_Nick on May 08, 2018, 08:31:30 AM
Quote from: MT Treasurer on May 08, 2018, 12:56:43 AM
I’d give a slight edge to Braun. Braun vs. Donnelly is Tossup, Rokita vs. Donnelly Likely D and Messer vs. Donnelly Tilt D.

Agreed on all of this
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Hoosier_Nick
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« Reply #26 on: May 08, 2018, 04:33:04 PM »
Sticking with 37 Braun, 33 Rokita, 30 Messer
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UncleVolodya
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« Reply #27 on: May 08, 2018, 04:49:07 PM »
Rokita easily
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Hoosier_Nick
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« Reply #28 on: May 08, 2018, 05:14:13 PM »
If this is a discussing thread, so far the very early numbers look good for Braun. Messer's numbers are a bit inflated because half of the reporting precincts are in his former house district.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #29 on: May 08, 2018, 05:21:41 PM »
Yeah, there isn't a IN-sen results thread so this guy should become that from here on out. If I recall correctly, Fort Wayne was the first big city to release results in 2016, we shall see what happens when those drop.
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Hoosier_Nick
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« Reply #30 on: May 08, 2018, 05:21:44 PM »
Yep... Braun leading in every single county outside of Messer's district. Even some in Rokita's. It's early, but signs point towards a Braun win.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #31 on: May 08, 2018, 05:26:58 PM »
Rokita up in the early vote in a county outside his district now.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #32 on: May 08, 2018, 05:36:34 PM »
Fort Wayne drops its basically a tie between Rokita and Braun. Interestingly, It is only a few hundred GOP votes ahead of the stronghold Hamilton.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #33 on: May 08, 2018, 05:43:16 PM »
As Yankee was saying in a different thread, the "he's a former Dem" attacks probably brought on the Braun apocalypse we are seeing in SW IN.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #34 on: May 08, 2018, 05:43:29 PM »
Braun is really running up the score in these SW towns around Evansville in the early vote. Didn't someone say earlier that this is where a bunch of ancestor dems are? Maybe Brauns D -> R moves were a boon rather then a curse there.

*And a second too late, thanks to S&C Sad
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Doimper
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« Reply #35 on: May 08, 2018, 05:43:58 PM »
These morons gave up their seats in Congress for nothing, lol.
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UncleVolodya
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« Reply #36 on: May 08, 2018, 05:46:03 PM »
Braun surprise!
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Hoosier_Nick
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« Reply #37 on: May 08, 2018, 05:46:14 PM »
Besides for a few counties, Braun's numbers look really, really good.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #38 on: May 08, 2018, 05:47:14 PM »
Quote from: Oryxslayer on May 08, 2018, 05:43:29 PM
Braun is really running up the score in these SW towns around Evansville in the early vote. Didn't someone say earlier that this is where a bunch of ancestor dems are? Maybe Brauns D -> R moves were a boon rather then a curse there.

*And a second too late, thanks to S&C Sad

Might bode well for Evan Jenkins in WV relative to the CW?  But he doesn't have the benefit of an open primary like Braun did.
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GMantis
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« Reply #39 on: May 08, 2018, 05:48:17 PM »
Quote from: Hoosier_Nick on May 08, 2018, 05:46:14 PM
Besides for a few counties, Braun's numbers look really, really good.
And those counties are either in one of his opponents's districts, or are only reporting the early vote and he's only behind by a small margin.
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Sestak
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« Reply #40 on: May 08, 2018, 05:50:04 PM »
There's a results thread pinned FYI.

Braun is definitely the early favorite.
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Hoosier_Nick
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« Reply #41 on: May 08, 2018, 05:50:24 PM »
Quote from: GMantis on May 08, 2018, 05:48:17 PM
Quote from: Hoosier_Nick on May 08, 2018, 05:46:14 PM
Besides for a few counties, Braun's numbers look really, really good.
And those counties are either in one of his opponents's districts, or are only reporting the early vote and he's only behind by a small margin.

No, Braun's numbers in Messer's district still look really good relative to what he would've needed to win. Sure, he's not winning there, but he never needed to win the 6th to win statewide.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #42 on: May 08, 2018, 05:51:41 PM »
Quote from: Hoosier_Nick on May 08, 2018, 05:50:24 PM
Quote from: GMantis on May 08, 2018, 05:48:17 PM
Quote from: Hoosier_Nick on May 08, 2018, 05:46:14 PM
Besides for a few counties, Braun's numbers look really, really good.
And those counties are either in one of his opponents's districts, or are only reporting the early vote and he's only behind by a small margin.

No, Braun's numbers in Messer's district still look really good relative to what he would've needed to win. Sure, he's not winning there, but he never needed to win the 6th to win statewide.

We don't have much of Rokita's district, but I think Braun is actually up there, even as Rokita leads some random outlying counties?
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #43 on: May 08, 2018, 05:52:21 PM »
Gee, at this rate, McCaskill and Heitkamp might actually be safer than Donnelly.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #44 on: May 08, 2018, 05:53:30 PM »
Quote from: L.D. Smith, Aggie! It's Real Expenses Again on May 08, 2018, 05:52:21 PM
Gee, at this rate, McCaskill and Heitkamp might actually be safer than Donnelly.

Depends on how bad the farm situation gets with the tariffs vs. how the Greitens saga ends.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #45 on: May 08, 2018, 05:54:00 PM »
Quote from: Rep. Sestak on May 08, 2018, 05:50:04 PM
There's a results thread pinned FYI.

Braun is definitely the early favorite.

Yeah but thats really for the congressional seats, I expect to be discussing OH-12 for example there. There is also a WV-Sen and an OH-sen main thread...so we need an IN one.  
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« Reply #46 on: May 08, 2018, 05:55:19 PM »
Braun is running away with it. He's at 43% right now, Messer's only leading his own district, and Rokita's mostly still isn't in.
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Hoosier_Nick
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« Reply #47 on: May 08, 2018, 05:55:30 PM »
Quote from: Skill and Chance on May 08, 2018, 05:51:41 PM
Quote from: Hoosier_Nick on May 08, 2018, 05:50:24 PM
Quote from: GMantis on May 08, 2018, 05:48:17 PM
Quote from: Hoosier_Nick on May 08, 2018, 05:46:14 PM
Besides for a few counties, Braun's numbers look really, really good.
And those counties are either in one of his opponents's districts, or are only reporting the early vote and he's only behind by a small margin.

No, Braun's numbers in Messer's district still look really good relative to what he would've needed to win. Sure, he's not winning there, but he never needed to win the 6th to win statewide.

We don't have much of Rokita's district, but I think Braun is actually up there, even as Rokita leads some random outlying counties?

Yeah, for sure.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #48 on: May 08, 2018, 05:56:23 PM »
Indianapolis (Marion County) is starting to report with Braun leading.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #49 on: May 08, 2018, 05:56:55 PM »
Marion comes in, and it almost perfectly matches the statewide numbers. It and Hamilton might be our bellweathers tonight.
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