Arkansas - Tie - Rasmussen Reports

[© tweed]

Arkansas ain't winnable baby...

But we'll win AR before we win FL.

[© tweed]

How and to what degree he is doing this I do not know.  Perhaps his new "premium" service will shed some light on this..?

Are you going to sign up for that?

[© tweed]

How and to what degree he is doing this I do not know.  Perhaps his new "premium" service will shed some light on this..?

Are you going to sign up for that?

I am undecided on that actually...

Rasmussen is a "decent" pollster (B+ or so) - certainly not an idiot by any means.  I am just not sure there is enough "meat" in his data to tell me anything I don't already know.

Have you ever e-mailed them?

[© tweed]

What evidence do you have that Bush doing bad among "married women"? As I said before I don't much faith in polls this early on. Give it until about August before I believe any poll.

He is THE VORLON.  He knows.  Trust me.

[© tweed]

Oh ya.. Scott and I have emailed back and forth maybe 10 times or so.  He "kinda" answers my questions

Pollsters hold on to their "secrets" like Col. Sanders does his 13 secret herbs & spices...

I just e-mailed him...I asked him your question about the packers game.

[© tweed]

cool...!

Let me know what he sends back.  What exactly did you ask him if I may ask..? (Scott usually answers his email on Saturday mornings BTW)

Transcript of mt e-mail: (keep in mind I already know the answer to the first question and I just asked it to lead off)

"Hi.  I love your site.  A few questions:
 
1. What Party ID weights do you use?  (ie D, R, I)
 
2. How do you weight state polls, which can sometimes be inaccurate?  For example, teens are out more on friday than seniors, etc.?
 
Thanks,
Dave"

[© tweed]

Let me know if you get a "straight" answer... I have mainly gotten general answers that I had to "read between the lines" on....

chop chop!

I will the post his response right here at this board.  

[© tweed]

Not too long ago, there was an AR poll that said that the state had 5% more Dems than Repubs.  We're not strong GOP, we're trend Dem.

Dems had a bigger reg advantage in 2000 & have reg advantages in all southern states.

[© tweed]

Other than Texas of course.

Wjo knows...Dems might even had the adv. there.