*Official Election 2005 Results Thread* (user search)
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  *Official Election 2005 Results Thread* (search mode)
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Author Topic: *Official Election 2005 Results Thread*  (Read 100130 times)
Alcon
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« on: November 08, 2005, 03:10:51 PM »

Isn't it technically illegal to release exit polls until all precincts are closed to voting?
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Alcon
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« Reply #1 on: November 08, 2005, 07:44:37 PM »

CNN is reporting 64-36 Kilgore with 9% of precincts reporting.
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Alcon
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« Reply #2 on: November 08, 2005, 07:46:57 PM »

56-43 Kilgore with 16% reporting.
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Alcon
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« Reply #3 on: November 08, 2005, 07:49:29 PM »
« Edited: November 08, 2005, 07:51:45 PM by Alcon »

55-44 Kilgore with 20%, mostly (by anecdote) in southern Virginia.

10 minutes until New Jersey.

EDIT:  Did anyone else see how VA is listed as 9% turnout with 16% precincts reporting?  What's with that?
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Alcon
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« Reply #4 on: November 08, 2005, 07:55:02 PM »

CNN: "John Ashcroft, blabla.  We'll be back."

Virginia numbers are really strange.
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Alcon
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« Reply #5 on: November 08, 2005, 08:00:00 PM »

Thanks Sam.

But I really dont understand what Gerry is trying to say.  Kilgore is overperforming, but underperforming in relation to Bush's numbers.  Is that a good thing or a bad thing for Kilgore?

Kilgore is outperforming a Republican who lost, but underperforming Bush.  In other words, it's not a surprise landslide either way.

New numbers with 28%, 51-47.
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Alcon
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« Reply #6 on: November 08, 2005, 08:02:42 PM »


CNN, which is echoing the Virginia SoS's site and some other source (they are getting numbers early it seems).

52-46 Kaine with 31% in.
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Alcon
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« Reply #7 on: November 08, 2005, 08:06:57 PM »

CN8 is reporting high turnout in Republican areas of New Jersey.  Low turnout in Democratic areas. 

If urban areas have reported but not suburban Fairfax County, that would make sense.

I can't imagine this will be a landslide, and so far everything I have been hearing "trendwise" from either side other than precinct analysis indicates one.
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Alcon
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« Reply #8 on: November 08, 2005, 08:09:17 PM »

CN8 is reporting high turnout in Republican areas of New Jersey.  Low turnout in Democratic areas. 

My friend who works in a Berger County polling station has said the urban areas have been flooded with voters.

Um...I'm reasonably sure that there is no Berger County in Virginia?
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Alcon
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« Reply #9 on: November 08, 2005, 08:13:05 PM »

I'm getting news that Kaine is up 1.7% with 65% of precincts reporting, but I am highly suspect and would not trust these numbers (even though ti is a generally accurate source.)
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Alcon
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« Reply #10 on: November 08, 2005, 08:15:12 PM »

Kaine up by 6.4% with 40% of precincts counted.

Any idea what strong Kilgore areas have yet to be counted?  I can imagine that parts of Northern Virginia haven't posted results yet, but are there any areas where Kilgore can count on a major boost?

Counties generally leak in results in a way that - once you have checked which areas are reporting and which aren't - the information isn't useful anymore.

I think it is safe to say that parts of NOVA have not yet reported.
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Alcon
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« Reply #11 on: November 08, 2005, 08:16:25 PM »

I'm getting news that Kaine is up 1.7% with 65% of precincts reporting, but I am highly suspect and would not trust these numbers (even though ti is a generally accurate source.)

Wow -- what source?  If true, the race has tightened significantly.

I have a fellow who is getting information from the campaigns, who seem to have direct access to updating numbers.  But, he says, it is not from his usual sources.  He is not sure if it not just an estimation, but it's from a relatively authoritative source.  I'd disregard it for now.

The Attorney General race is close, too!
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Alcon
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« Reply #12 on: November 08, 2005, 08:18:08 PM »

Results have not been updated in ten minutes...normally every three.  They may be working on a big batch right now.

No Joisey results so far.
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Alcon
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« Reply #13 on: November 08, 2005, 08:19:11 PM »

48% reporting

51.6-46.3 Kaine

EDIT: jfern - http://sbe.vipnet.org/index.htm
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Alcon
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« Reply #14 on: November 08, 2005, 08:25:47 PM »

J-Mann:  Fairfax County voted Kerry, and is even more Dem on local level.  Wealthy libertarian Washington suburbs.  It'll go Kaine unless this is a landslide.

And we can stop posting the 5:17 results, folks. Cheesy
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Alcon
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« Reply #15 on: November 08, 2005, 08:29:43 PM »
« Edited: November 08, 2005, 08:31:30 PM by Alcon »

WA is hitting 60% and the biggest race we have is King County Executive.  It will be higher.  Absentees haven't even started to be counted, I imagine.

51.2-46.6 Kaine with 55.6%.  Seems an update every 10 minutes.

ag, that can't be high.  If WA is supposed to hit 60%, I imagine VA would hit at least 65-70%...?

Forrester is up 51-47 with 6% reporting.
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Alcon
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« Reply #16 on: November 08, 2005, 08:41:29 PM »

51.2-46.6 Kaine with 63% reporting.
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Alcon
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« Reply #17 on: November 08, 2005, 08:44:56 PM »

Wow.  The Virginia AG race is close!
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Alcon
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« Reply #18 on: November 08, 2005, 08:51:59 PM »

My source indicates Virginia Beach just reported, accounting for the GOP jump.

CNN: "Cognitive behavioural Cathy...blablabla..."
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Alcon
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« Reply #19 on: November 08, 2005, 08:54:29 PM »

This NJ site has weird results.

With  358 precincts, Forrester is leading 3743-3443 (51%-47%)
AND
With  399 precincts, Corzine is leading 92442-82160 (52%-46%)

WTF?

http://www.wnbc.com/politics/5223530/detail.html


In early results, oftentimes in a rush someone will double precincts, put in the wrong number.  It happened just about an hour ago, and sometimes goes unnoticed for a while.

A good example is Grays Harbor County in the 2004 WA race - it was going for Rossi until someone noticed they have doubled the eastern part of the county.  They probably would not have noticed for even longer if that hadn't given the county 92% turnout!
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Alcon
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« Reply #20 on: November 08, 2005, 08:58:31 PM »

Jtfdem, you're damn fast.

BTW, nickshep, can you provide the names are the issues too?  I'd like to know what is being pounded so badly.

52-48 Hendrix?  No wonder I hate exit polls.
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Alcon
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« Reply #21 on: November 08, 2005, 09:00:28 PM »

CNN's Larry King Live: "Jennifer Aniston elected Governor of Virginia"
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Alcon
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« Reply #22 on: November 08, 2005, 09:11:03 PM »

J-Mann just pointed out (and Jtfdem as well) that the Associated Press has called Virginia for Kaine.
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Alcon
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« Reply #23 on: November 08, 2005, 09:13:55 PM »


Before only the AP had called it. I'm glad that someone reliable called it now.

Drudge likely called it based on the AP.  He rarely does things on his own.

Indeed, Drudge has spent his entire career rephrasing other people's sentences.  And he does it damn well.

The AP call is way premature though.  I'm pretty sure Kaine will win, but this was way too early.
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Alcon
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« Reply #24 on: November 08, 2005, 09:17:35 PM »

Precincts Reporting: 1889 of 2426 (77.86%)
Registered Voters: 4,451,795   Total Voting: 1,491,113   Voter Turnout: 33.49 %
 Candidates     Party    Vote Totals    Percentage
  T M Kaine     Democratic    755,750    50.68%
  J W Kilgore     Republican    701,867    47.07%
  H R Potts Jr     Independent    32,316    2.17%
  Write Ins          1,180    0.08%
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