Polls

[Dave Leip]

Hi,
I've created a new polls section that I would like to encourage you all to use (instead of forum threads - I think that it is more efficiently organized).  Its linked in on the 2004 page (titled "Polls") at

http://www.uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php

Comments and discussion of the individual polls is supported.
I've also allowed for users to add to the polls database.  Currently, only Vorlon and Dave Leip are enabled to add polls.  If you would like to join this list, please contact me with an email.
Thanks,
Dave

[California Dreamer]

This is a very cool feature

One question...if a poll has various version (eg: Gallup poll has All Adults, Registerd, and likely for both with and withouit Nader, created 6 different possible entries) which should be used? of enter all of them?

RE: email
sorry if this is obvious and I just missed it. but how does one email you...your profile says 'hidden'

[Dave Leip]

You can send me email via the "email" link at the top of every page (between Guestbook and Links).
Dave

[ilikeverin]

You're the all great one dave!  Thanks bunches.  I'll follow this site

[ilikeverin]

Hey, cool!  It posts my prediction when I make a comment!

I like it

[CARLHAYDEN]

Great Job Dave,

Suggest everyone take a look at the results of the National Council on Public Polls Review Board with respect to the 2002 polls.

Zogby not only had the highest margin of error of the five polling organizations but also had far and away the highest error rate in predicting the winner!

[Beet]

It's surprising that Louisiana has never been polled, given how close Arkansas turned out.

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

It's surprising that Louisiana has never been polled, given how close Arkansas turned out.

Louisiana was polled at the end of March by "Southern Media."  The poll had Bush leading 52-38.

[classical liberal]

LA is notoriously hard to poll.

[bergie72]

Has anyone else signed up for the Zogby online polling?   I did today, and already took completed my first poll.

It takes so little to make me happy some days...  :-)

[zachman]

Has anyone else signed up for the Zogby online polling?   I did today, and already took completed my first poll.

It takes so little to make me happy some days...  :-)

No I haven't. How did you answer the poll?

[bergie72]

Has anyone else signed up for the Zogby online polling?   I did today, and already took completed my first poll.

It takes so little to make me happy some days...  :-)

No I haven't. How did you answer the poll?

Ugh..  that was a couple of hours ago, so I don't remember the exact questions, but here's a stab at it:
1)  Bush/Kerry  (A: Bush)
2)  Bush/Kerry/Nader   (A: Bush)
3)  Job Approval?  
a few more questions after that, then it was the background questions.  State?  Party registration?  Born-again Christian? (surprised at that one)..  Income, Education, and a few more.  Took less than 5 minutes.

[bergie72]

Duh!!   Found the link that has some of the questions.  If you live in one of the battleground states (NH, PA, OH, MI, WV, FL, MO, IA, WI, MN, WA, OR, NV, TN, NM or AR), you can be part of Zogby's online interactive polling.

http://www.zogby.com/features/features.dbm?ID=212

[MODU]

I always find that it takes me 10-15 minutes to do a Zogby poll since their website is slow.  Anyone else have that issue?

[??????????]

Do I have to pay to take the battleground poll?

[bergie72]

Do I have to pay to take the battleground poll?

No -- that is just a sample of the questions.  If you go to the home page, below or to the right of the US Map, you can sign up to be part of the Interactive surveys.

Or just click here:
http://interactive.zogby.com/battleground/indexweb.cfm

Sorry about that!

[King]

Dave do you think you can make another map of the tossup states and who is currently leading in the polls of them?

[Lunar]

Can you assume any states which have not been polled go to their 2000 victor?

[The Vorlon]

Can you assume any states which have not been polled go to their 2000 victor?

Almost certainly.

Some democrats think Virginia may be close, (A POS showed Bush +7 but that poll made almost Doomsday assumptions from a GOP perspective) but I don't think any of the other unpolled states have a ton of suspense left in them...

I think it is safe to put Wyoming in the GOP column and The District of Columbia to Kerry

[Lunar]

I knew that, sorry for the miscommunication.

I was asking Dave to start assuming that in his model.

[The Vorlon]

I knew that, sorry for the miscommunication.

I was asking Dave to start assuming that in his model.

I put all the 2000 results in already.. every state has a result now...

[Josh/Devilman88]

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/bush_vs_kerry_sbys2.html

Hey that is a good state poll thing... if some one wants to send it to dave...

[cognacXO]

Bush is goin to lose the election by a landslide.  Trust me. hehe.  I'm a republican, but I cant stand bush.  He grew up with a silver spoon and had an easy life.  He was a deserter to.  Bush has gotten away with everything easy.  Bush is a moron also.  

[??????????]

Bush is goin to lose the election by a landslide.  Trust me. hehe.  I'm a republican, but I cant stand bush.  He grew up with a silver spoon and had an easy life.  He was a deserter to.  Bush has gotten away with everything easy.  Bush is a moron also.  

One word for you....Troll.

[© Tweed the Younger]

One word for you....Troll.

You beat me to it