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Author Topic: Polls  (Read 51645 times)
Dave Leip
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« on: May 14, 2004, 01:33:31 pm »

Hi,
I've created a new polls section that I would like to encourage you all to use (instead of forum threads - I think that it is more efficiently organized).  Its linked in on the 2004 page (titled "Polls") at

http://www.uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php

Comments and discussion of the individual polls is supported.
I've also allowed for users to add to the polls database.  Currently, only Vorlon and Dave Leip are enabled to add polls.  If you would like to join this list, please contact me with an email.
Thanks,
Dave
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« Reply #1 on: May 14, 2004, 01:51:00 pm »
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This is a very cool feature

One question...if a poll has various version (eg: Gallup poll has All Adults, Registerd, and likely for both with and withouit Nader, created 6 different possible entries) which should be used? of enter all of them?

RE: email
sorry if this is obvious and I just missed it. but how does one email you...your profile says 'hidden'
« Last Edit: May 14, 2004, 01:53:01 pm by California Dreamer »Logged

Dave Leip
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« Reply #2 on: May 14, 2004, 01:53:18 pm »

You can send me email via the "email" link at the top of every page (between Guestbook and Links).
Dave
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« Reply #3 on: May 14, 2004, 04:15:01 pm »
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You're the all great one dave!  Thanks bunches.  I'll follow this site Smiley
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« Reply #4 on: May 14, 2004, 04:15:24 pm »
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Hey, cool!  It posts my prediction when I make a comment!

I like it Cheesy
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« Reply #5 on: May 15, 2004, 06:46:08 pm »
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Great Job Dave,

Suggest everyone take a look at the results of the National Council on Public Polls Review Board with respect to the 2002 polls.

Zogby not only had the highest margin of error of the five polling organizations but also had far and away the highest error rate in predicting the winner!
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« Reply #6 on: May 20, 2004, 11:00:03 pm »
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It's surprising that Louisiana has never been polled, given how close Arkansas turned out.
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #7 on: May 20, 2004, 11:03:18 pm »
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It's surprising that Louisiana has never been polled, given how close Arkansas turned out.

Louisiana was polled at the end of March by "Southern Media."  The poll had Bush leading 52-38.
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classical liberal
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« Reply #8 on: May 21, 2004, 01:09:01 pm »
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LA is notoriously hard to poll.
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« Reply #9 on: May 24, 2004, 08:48:14 pm »
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Has anyone else signed up for the Zogby online polling?   I did today, and already took completed my first poll.

It takes so little to make me happy some days...  :-)
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« Reply #10 on: May 24, 2004, 08:51:03 pm »
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Has anyone else signed up for the Zogby online polling?   I did today, and already took completed my first poll.

It takes so little to make me happy some days...  :-)
No I haven't. How did you answer the poll?
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bergie72
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« Reply #11 on: May 24, 2004, 08:57:53 pm »
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Has anyone else signed up for the Zogby online polling?   I did today, and already took completed my first poll.

It takes so little to make me happy some days...  :-)
No I haven't. How did you answer the poll?



Ugh..  that was a couple of hours ago, so I don't remember the exact questions, but here's a stab at it:
1)  Bush/Kerry  (A: Bush)
2)  Bush/Kerry/Nader   (A: Bush)
3)  Job Approval?  
a few more questions after that, then it was the background questions.  State?  Party registration?  Born-again Christian? (surprised at that one)..  Income, Education, and a few more.  Took less than 5 minutes.
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bergie72
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« Reply #12 on: May 24, 2004, 09:01:14 pm »
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Duh!!   Found the link that has some of the questions.  If you live in one of the battleground states (NH, PA, OH, MI, WV, FL, MO, IA, WI, MN, WA, OR, NV, TN, NM or AR), you can be part of Zogby's online interactive polling.

http://www.zogby.com/features/features.dbm?ID=212
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MODU
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« Reply #13 on: May 24, 2004, 09:07:28 pm »
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I always find that it takes me 10-15 minutes to do a Zogby poll since their website is slow.  Anyone else have that issue?
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« Reply #14 on: May 24, 2004, 10:38:40 pm »
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Do I have to pay to take the battleground poll?
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bergie72
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« Reply #15 on: May 24, 2004, 10:49:46 pm »
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Do I have to pay to take the battleground poll?

No -- that is just a sample of the questions.  If you go to the home page, below or to the right of the US Map, you can sign up to be part of the Interactive surveys.

Or just click here:
http://interactive.zogby.com/battleground/indexweb.cfm

Sorry about that!
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King
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« Reply #16 on: May 27, 2004, 01:22:11 pm »
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Dave do you think you can make another map of the tossup states and who is currently leading in the polls of them?
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« Reply #17 on: May 28, 2004, 11:59:18 am »
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Can you assume any states which have not been polled go to their 2000 victor?
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The Vorlon
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« Reply #18 on: May 28, 2004, 12:06:26 pm »
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Can you assume any states which have not been polled go to their 2000 victor?

Almost certainly.

Some democrats think Virginia may be close, (A POS showed Bush +7 but that poll made almost Doomsday assumptions from a GOP perspective) but I don't think any of the other unpolled states have a ton of suspense left in them...

I think it is safe to put Wyoming in the GOP column and The District of Columbia to Kerry Cheesy
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« Reply #19 on: May 28, 2004, 01:58:09 pm »
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I knew that, sorry for the miscommunication.

I was asking Dave to start assuming that in his model.
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The Vorlon
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« Reply #20 on: May 28, 2004, 09:34:52 pm »
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I knew that, sorry for the miscommunication.

I was asking Dave to start assuming that in his model.

I put all the 2000 results in already.. every state has a result now...
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Josh/Devilman88
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« Reply #21 on: May 28, 2004, 10:00:13 pm »
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http://www.realclearpolitics.com/bush_vs_kerry_sbys2.html

Hey that is a good state poll thing... if some one wants to send it to dave...
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« Reply #22 on: May 29, 2004, 12:02:16 am »
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Bush is goin to lose the election by a landslide.  Trust me. hehe.  I'm a republican, but I cant stand bush.  He grew up with a silver spoon and had an easy life.  He was a deserter to.  Bush has gotten away with everything easy.  Bush is a moron also.  
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« Reply #23 on: May 29, 2004, 01:40:04 am »
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Bush is goin to lose the election by a landslide.  Trust me. hehe.  I'm a republican, but I cant stand bush.  He grew up with a silver spoon and had an easy life.  He was a deserter to.  Bush has gotten away with everything easy.  Bush is a moron also.  

One word for you....Troll.
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« Reply #24 on: May 29, 2004, 07:50:47 am »
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One word for you....Troll.

You beat me to it Wink
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