Official Post your 2006 Senate Election Prediction Maps

[Alcon]

GOP gains MN, maybe NJ
Dems gain nothing

GOP +1 or +2

good assessment, tweed.

any prediction map with a red pa is merely wishful thinking.

Or thinking based on poll numbers instead of gut instinct.

[Alcon]

how relevant are poll numbers this far out?

A tad more relevant than most anything else.

dont you remember casey's past performance as a candidate?  pretty piss poor if oyu ask me.

I'm not very familiar with that, but it's very hard to do away with a lead of this big of a margin.  It's not your thinking that Santorum could win that bothers me; it's your certainty that he will.  I don't say Casey is a lock.

and im by no means a santorum suppoter.

Never understood why someone would predict their party to do better - it just results in disappointment.  But I appreciate that.

[Alcon]

That's rather generous to the GOP.  Why Florida?

[Alcon]

Nevada?  Aren't we feeling generous?

[Alcon]

Lott won't be reelected.

What makes you think that?

Seriously though, is there something you know that the rest of us don't? I mean, you're from Mississippi and probably know a lot more about the Senate race there than I do.

Mike Moore could knock him off.  I wouldn't bet on it, or think he even would have a 20% of doing it, but it's not outside the realm of possibilty.

I'm confused.  You think there's a 20 percent chance yet you say it will happen?

[Alcon]

Lott won't be reelected.

What makes you think that?

Seriously though, is there something you know that the rest of us don't? I mean, you're from Mississippi and probably know a lot more about the Senate race there than I do.

Mike Moore could knock him off.  I wouldn't bet on it, or think he even would have a 20% of doing it, but it's not outside the realm of possibilty.

I'm confused.  You think there's a 20 percent chance yet you say it will happen?

No.

He says there is a 10% chance of it happening, yet he says it will happen.

Realistically, 10% chance or less.  But I'm just going out on a limb and making a bold prediction.

Making a prediction you are 90% sure incorrect could be considered bold, I suppose.  I can think of a number of other words for it, too.

[Alcon]

Republicans: 56 (+1, Minnesota)
Democrats: 43 (-1)
Independents: 1

Kean will win New Jersey.

No

Oh...but he will.

No

Yes.

This may be the most unfathomably braindead exchange on this Forum in a while.