Official Post your 2006 Senate Election Prediction Maps

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Dems pick up 7 seats and retake the Senate.  You heard it here first.
Vermont is Sanders.

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Dems pick up 7 seats and retake the Senate.  You heard it here first.
Vermont is Sanders.

Hmmm… Senators Hackett, Morrison, McCaskill, Ford, Moore and Casey.

Now that would be a mighty fine intake

Though I should say that both Nevada and Maine are GOP held and are, baring a disaster, going to remain so… much as I wouldn’t mind a Senator Carter to add to the above intake      

Your map does suggest that 2006 is getting increasingly competive for the Dems, especially where Lott to retire and Moore to run… it all depends on getting the right candidates especially in states like Ohio and Montana, both Missouri and Pennsylvania seem to have good solid Dem challengers, the party’s position in potentially troublesome states like Florida, Minnesota and Maryland has stabilised a great deal and we now look to be favoured in all three.       

yeah, I figured I'd probably screwed up some of the colors that's why I marked the pickups.

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Is Harris is the R nominee in Florida, no way we lose it.  If it's someone else, I still wouldn't bet on it, but it'd be possible.

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Dems pick up 11 seats in the Senate and about 60 in the House.

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Dems pick up 11 seats in the Senate and about 60 in the House.

If that map happens, I will send Harry $100.

get the check ready...

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Lott won't be reelected.

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Lott won't be reelected.

Based on what exactly?  As of now he is a shoo-in for re-election, and nothing I know of has come up that would suggest otherwise.

Based on the fact that Harry doesn't want him to be re-elected, as far as I can tell.

Well...yeah...

Lott won't be reelected.

What makes you think that?

Seriously though, is there something you know that the rest of us don't? I mean, you're from Mississippi and probably know a lot more about the Senate race there than I do.

Mike Moore could knock him off.  I wouldn't bet on it, or think he even would have a 20% of doing it, but it's not outside the realm of possibilty.

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Lott won't be reelected.

What makes you think that?

Seriously though, is there something you know that the rest of us don't? I mean, you're from Mississippi and probably know a lot more about the Senate race there than I do.

Mike Moore could knock him off.  I wouldn't bet on it, or think he even would have a 20% of doing it, but it's not outside the realm of possibilty.

I'm confused.  You think there's a 20 percent chance yet you say it will happen?

No.

He says there is a 10% chance of it happening, yet he says it will happen.

Realistically, 10% chance or less.  But I'm just going out on a limb and making a bold prediction.

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quite the pessimist, Tweed!

I'm afraid I may have to soon move MS back into the GOP column...


if I don't slit my wrists first...

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This is my gut feeling.

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Glad to see you've come to your senses, Boss.

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Sam:  wanna make some sort of wager on Arizona?  I'll wager on Pederson and you on Kyl?