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Author Topic: Post your 2006 Gubernatorial Election Prediction Maps  (Read 52010 times)
Snowguy716
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« Reply #125 on: October 21, 2006, 01:20:07 pm »
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The race in Minnesota is neck and neck.  The last few polls have showed Hatch with a lead or a dead heat. 

The most recent poll put Pawlenty (R) and Hatch (DFL) at a dead heat, but also gave Klobuchar a 7 point lead over Kennedy, the narrowest lead since July, so I have reason to think that this poll gave Republicans a 1-2% advantage.

The governor's race in MN will mostly be determined by GOTV.. the Democrats are fired up statewide, but because we have so many close races in the state, the Republicans will also be fired up.  Minnesota will have a very high turnout rate for this election, and it's going to go to either Pawlenty or Hatch with a very slim lead.  My guess would something like 50-48% for Hatch.
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12th Doctor
supersoulty
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« Reply #126 on: October 27, 2006, 12:20:21 pm »
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Quote from: Dixiecrat on August 26, 2006, 01:04:19 pm
Key

Dark Red -Democratic Gain
Pink -Democratic Hold

Dark Blue -Republican Gain
Light Blue -Republican Hold



This includes predictions for both the 2006 and 2007 gubernatorial elections.




I agree with this map, except Minnesota.  I think Pawlenty will hold
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© Tweed the Younger
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #127 on: October 27, 2006, 02:43:14 pm »
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Quote from: Supersoulty on October 27, 2006, 12:20:21 pm
I agree with this map, except Minnesota.  I think Pawlenty will hold

So you think Healey and Ehrlich are going to win?
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nick
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« Reply #128 on: October 27, 2006, 05:24:42 pm »
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Quote from: © Boss Tweed on October 27, 2006, 02:43:14 pm
Ehrlich are going to win?

Thats not out of the question now.  See my post here..

Also, Ehrlich received the endorsement of the WaPo this week.  On top of that, 20 year old not-guilty DUI has suddenly popped up.

The dynamics of this race have changed slightly.  Its probably a toss-up now.
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« Reply #129 on: October 27, 2006, 06:52:42 pm »
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I really think you're guilty of overthinking that race, Nick.  There's really no evidence to suggest O'Malley will lose.
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"If the Constitution means anything, it surely means that the president does not have unreviewable authority to summarily execute any American whom he concludes is an enemy of the state"

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nick
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« Reply #130 on: October 28, 2006, 12:48:14 am »
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Quote from: © Boss Tweed on October 27, 2006, 06:52:42 pm
I really think you're guilty of overthinking that race, Nick.  There's really no evidence to suggest O'Malley will lose.

I hope your right.  Trust me I do. 

Early morning tomorrow with a full day of campaigning for Martin.
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« Reply #131 on: November 03, 2006, 01:07:51 am »
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Quote from: nickshepDEM on October 28, 2006, 12:48:14 am
Quote from: © Boss Tweed on October 27, 2006, 06:52:42 pm
I really think you're guilty of overthinking that race, Nick.  There's really no evidence to suggest O'Malley will lose.

I hope you're right.  Trust me I do. 

Early morning tomorrow with a full day of campaigning for Martin.

Pet peeve of mine Wink

It's great you're doing all this campaigning though. I only wish my schedule was open enough to do it that much. I did sign up for doing two 4 1/2 hour shifts on GOTV stuff this weekend though.
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« Reply #132 on: November 03, 2006, 02:29:46 pm »
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This is my final prediction. I might make last-minute changes if anything happens in AK, ID, or NV, since those are pure tossups.
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Gustaf
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« Reply #133 on: November 05, 2006, 07:55:00 am »
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Quote from: Soaring Eagle on November 03, 2006, 02:29:46 pm


This is my final prediction. I might make last-minute changes if anything happens in AK, ID, or NV, since those are pure tossups.

Lol, I hope you're not serious...
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Quote from: The Pauper of the Surf and the Jester of Tortuga on July 14, 2011, 01:20:59 am
This place really has become a cesspool of degenerate whores...

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« Reply #134 on: November 05, 2006, 01:12:42 pm »
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Quote from: Gustaf on November 05, 2006, 07:55:00 am
Quote from: Soaring Eagle on November 03, 2006, 02:29:46 pm


This is my final prediction. I might make last-minute changes if anything happens in AK, ID, or NV, since those are pure tossups.

Lol, I hope you're not serious...

I am, though some of those could just as easily go the other way. ID, for example, came pretty much out of nowhere. Have you seen those polls?

I'm also tempted to give NV back to the GOP. I'm not sure how this whole bit with Gibbons is going to play out.
« Last Edit: November 05, 2006, 02:25:44 pm by Soaring Eagle »Logged
Political Matrix:
Economic score: -2.45
Social score: -0.17

Dick Durbin = Freedom Fighter
BARACK OBAMA 2008
Gustaf
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« Reply #135 on: November 06, 2006, 10:47:25 am »
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Quote from: Soaring Eagle on November 05, 2006, 01:12:42 pm
Quote from: Gustaf on November 05, 2006, 07:55:00 am
Quote from: Soaring Eagle on November 03, 2006, 02:29:46 pm


This is my final prediction. I might make last-minute changes if anything happens in AK, ID, or NV, since those are pure tossups.

Lol, I hope you're not serious...

I am, though some of those could just as easily go the other way. ID, for example, came pretty much out of nowhere. Have you seen those polls?

I'm also tempted to give NV back to the GOP. I'm not sure how this whole bit with Gibbons is going to play out.

Idaho I have no problem with, but Alaska? And Nevada? Not to mention Rhode Island...but, oh well. It isn't super-crazy I guess.
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Quote from: The Pauper of the Surf and the Jester of Tortuga on July 14, 2011, 01:20:59 am
This place really has become a cesspool of degenerate whores...

Economic score: +0.9
Social score: -2.61

In MN for fantasy stuff, member of the most recently dissolved centrist party.
Soaring Eagle
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« Reply #136 on: November 06, 2006, 06:26:25 pm »
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Quote from: Gustaf on November 06, 2006, 10:47:25 am
Quote from: Soaring Eagle on November 05, 2006, 01:12:42 pm
Quote from: Gustaf on November 05, 2006, 07:55:00 am
Quote from: Soaring Eagle on November 03, 2006, 02:29:46 pm


This is my final prediction. I might make last-minute changes if anything happens in AK, ID, or NV, since those are pure tossups.

Lol, I hope you're not serious...

I am, though some of those could just as easily go the other way. ID, for example, came pretty much out of nowhere. Have you seen those polls?

I'm also tempted to give NV back to the GOP. I'm not sure how this whole bit with Gibbons is going to play out.

Idaho I have no problem with, but Alaska? And Nevada? Not to mention Rhode Island...but, oh well. It isn't super-crazy I guess.

I'm a bit of a combination between an optimist and a hack. Wink

Last minute updates:
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Political Matrix:
Economic score: -2.45
Social score: -0.17

Dick Durbin = Freedom Fighter
BARACK OBAMA 2008
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