Home 2012 Election Results Election Info Weblog Wiki Search Email Site Info Store

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 21, 2013, 11:15:10 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Cast your ballot in the 2012 Mock Election!

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  Election Predictions (Moderator: Joe Republic)
| | |-+  Post your 2006 Gubernatorial Election Prediction Maps		 « previous next »
Pages: 1 2 3 4 5 [6] Print
Author Topic: Post your 2006 Gubernatorial Election Prediction Maps  (Read 51892 times)
Snowguy716
snowguy716
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 15056
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -8.52

View Profile
« Reply #125 on: October 21, 2006, 01:20:07 pm »
Ignore
The race in Minnesota is neck and neck.  The last few polls have showed Hatch with a lead or a dead heat. 

The most recent poll put Pawlenty (R) and Hatch (DFL) at a dead heat, but also gave Klobuchar a 7 point lead over Kennedy, the narrowest lead since July, so I have reason to think that this poll gave Republicans a 1-2% advantage.

The governor's race in MN will mostly be determined by GOTV.. the Democrats are fired up statewide, but because we have so many close races in the state, the Republicans will also be fired up.  Minnesota will have a very high turnout rate for this election, and it's going to go to either Pawlenty or Hatch with a very slim lead.  My guess would something like 50-48% for Hatch.
Logged
"Above and beyond the question of how to grow the economy there is a legitimate concern about how to grow the quality of our lives."
-Paul Wellstone


Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party
12th Doctor
supersoulty
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20864
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: 1.38, S: -1.74

View Profile
« Reply #126 on: October 27, 2006, 12:20:21 pm »
Ignore
Quote from: Dixiecrat on August 26, 2006, 01:04:19 pm
Key

Dark Red -Democratic Gain
Pink -Democratic Hold

Dark Blue -Republican Gain
Light Blue -Republican Hold



This includes predictions for both the 2006 and 2007 gubernatorial elections.




I agree with this map, except Minnesota.  I think Pawlenty will hold
Logged
Click for Old Profile Pic
© Tweed the Younger
Miamiu1027
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 34286
United States


View Profile WWW
« Reply #127 on: October 27, 2006, 02:43:14 pm »
Ignore
Quote from: Supersoulty on October 27, 2006, 12:20:21 pm
I agree with this map, except Minnesota.  I think Pawlenty will hold

So you think Healey and Ehrlich are going to win?
Logged
"If the Constitution means anything, it surely means that the president does not have unreviewable authority to summarily execute any American whom he concludes is an enemy of the state"

registered somewhere in Georgia AFE
nick
nickshepDEM
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6955


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 3.65

View Profile
« Reply #128 on: October 27, 2006, 05:24:42 pm »
Ignore
Quote from: © Boss Tweed on October 27, 2006, 02:43:14 pm
Ehrlich are going to win?

Thats not out of the question now.  See my post here..

Also, Ehrlich received the endorsement of the WaPo this week.  On top of that, 20 year old not-guilty DUI has suddenly popped up.

The dynamics of this race have changed slightly.  Its probably a toss-up now.
Logged
© Tweed the Younger
Miamiu1027
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 34286
United States


View Profile WWW
« Reply #129 on: October 27, 2006, 06:52:42 pm »
Ignore
I really think you're guilty of overthinking that race, Nick.  There's really no evidence to suggest O'Malley will lose.
Logged
"If the Constitution means anything, it surely means that the president does not have unreviewable authority to summarily execute any American whom he concludes is an enemy of the state"

registered somewhere in Georgia AFE
nick
nickshepDEM
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6955


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 3.65

View Profile
« Reply #130 on: October 28, 2006, 12:48:14 am »
Ignore
Quote from: © Boss Tweed on October 27, 2006, 06:52:42 pm
I really think you're guilty of overthinking that race, Nick.  There's really no evidence to suggest O'Malley will lose.

I hope your right.  Trust me I do. 

Early morning tomorrow with a full day of campaigning for Martin.
Logged
So the Heroes Fall
BRTD
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 68122
Sweden


View Profile
« Reply #131 on: November 03, 2006, 01:07:51 am »
Ignore
Quote from: nickshepDEM on October 28, 2006, 12:48:14 am
Quote from: © Boss Tweed on October 27, 2006, 06:52:42 pm
I really think you're guilty of overthinking that race, Nick.  There's really no evidence to suggest O'Malley will lose.

I hope you're right.  Trust me I do. 

Early morning tomorrow with a full day of campaigning for Martin.

Pet peeve of mine Wink

It's great you're doing all this campaigning though. I only wish my schedule was open enough to do it that much. I did sign up for doing two 4 1/2 hour shifts on GOTV stuff this weekend though.
Logged
Soaring Eagle
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 619


View Profile
« Reply #132 on: November 03, 2006, 02:29:46 pm »
Ignore


This is my final prediction. I might make last-minute changes if anything happens in AK, ID, or NV, since those are pure tossups.
Logged
Political Matrix:
Economic score: -2.45
Social score: -0.17

Dick Durbin = Freedom Fighter
BARACK OBAMA 2008
Gustaf
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 26101


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

View Profile
« Reply #133 on: November 05, 2006, 07:55:00 am »
Ignore
Quote from: Soaring Eagle on November 03, 2006, 02:29:46 pm


This is my final prediction. I might make last-minute changes if anything happens in AK, ID, or NV, since those are pure tossups.

Lol, I hope you're not serious...
Logged
Quote from: The Pauper of the Surf and the Jester of Tortuga on July 14, 2011, 01:20:59 am
This place really has become a cesspool of degenerate whores...

Economic score: +0.9
Social score: -2.61

In MN for fantasy stuff, member of the most recently dissolved centrist party.
Soaring Eagle
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 619


View Profile
« Reply #134 on: November 05, 2006, 01:12:42 pm »
Ignore
Quote from: Gustaf on November 05, 2006, 07:55:00 am
Quote from: Soaring Eagle on November 03, 2006, 02:29:46 pm


This is my final prediction. I might make last-minute changes if anything happens in AK, ID, or NV, since those are pure tossups.

Lol, I hope you're not serious...

I am, though some of those could just as easily go the other way. ID, for example, came pretty much out of nowhere. Have you seen those polls?

I'm also tempted to give NV back to the GOP. I'm not sure how this whole bit with Gibbons is going to play out.
« Last Edit: November 05, 2006, 02:25:44 pm by Soaring Eagle »Logged
Political Matrix:
Economic score: -2.45
Social score: -0.17

Dick Durbin = Freedom Fighter
BARACK OBAMA 2008
Gustaf
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 26101


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

View Profile
« Reply #135 on: November 06, 2006, 10:47:25 am »
Ignore
Quote from: Soaring Eagle on November 05, 2006, 01:12:42 pm
Quote from: Gustaf on November 05, 2006, 07:55:00 am
Quote from: Soaring Eagle on November 03, 2006, 02:29:46 pm


This is my final prediction. I might make last-minute changes if anything happens in AK, ID, or NV, since those are pure tossups.

Lol, I hope you're not serious...

I am, though some of those could just as easily go the other way. ID, for example, came pretty much out of nowhere. Have you seen those polls?

I'm also tempted to give NV back to the GOP. I'm not sure how this whole bit with Gibbons is going to play out.

Idaho I have no problem with, but Alaska? And Nevada? Not to mention Rhode Island...but, oh well. It isn't super-crazy I guess.
Logged
Quote from: The Pauper of the Surf and the Jester of Tortuga on July 14, 2011, 01:20:59 am
This place really has become a cesspool of degenerate whores...

Economic score: +0.9
Social score: -2.61

In MN for fantasy stuff, member of the most recently dissolved centrist party.
Soaring Eagle
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 619


View Profile
« Reply #136 on: November 06, 2006, 06:26:25 pm »
Ignore
Quote from: Gustaf on November 06, 2006, 10:47:25 am
Quote from: Soaring Eagle on November 05, 2006, 01:12:42 pm
Quote from: Gustaf on November 05, 2006, 07:55:00 am
Quote from: Soaring Eagle on November 03, 2006, 02:29:46 pm


This is my final prediction. I might make last-minute changes if anything happens in AK, ID, or NV, since those are pure tossups.

Lol, I hope you're not serious...

I am, though some of those could just as easily go the other way. ID, for example, came pretty much out of nowhere. Have you seen those polls?

I'm also tempted to give NV back to the GOP. I'm not sure how this whole bit with Gibbons is going to play out.

Idaho I have no problem with, but Alaska? And Nevada? Not to mention Rhode Island...but, oh well. It isn't super-crazy I guess.

I'm a bit of a combination between an optimist and a hack. Wink

Last minute updates:
Logged
Political Matrix:
Economic score: -2.45
Social score: -0.17

Dick Durbin = Freedom Fighter
BARACK OBAMA 2008
Pages: 1 2 3 4 5 [6] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.18 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines
Forums Directory