Post your 2006 Gubernatorial Election Prediction Maps (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 27, 2024, 03:58:05 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election Predictions (Moderator: muon2)
  Post your 2006 Gubernatorial Election Prediction Maps (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Post your 2006 Gubernatorial Election Prediction Maps  (Read 71396 times)
Mr. Paleoconservative
Reagan Raider
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 560
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: 5.30

« on: April 09, 2006, 07:02:42 PM »

Prediction Map


Confidence Map
Logged
Mr. Paleoconservative
Reagan Raider
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 560
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: 5.30

« Reply #1 on: April 09, 2006, 09:48:08 PM »

His map may be favourable to the Republicans, but it's reasonable (heck, he even gives Democrats more of an advantage than the polls show in Minnesota, Illinois, and Maine).

New Hampshire is the only state that is ridiculous on the map, and that is because a lot of people don't realise that a Democrat was elected there in 2004, who is now very popular.

I'm also curious why Colorado is R 60+%, given that polls have shown the Democrat with a slight lead.

I did not take the time to alter percentages on many of the states; my map is a general prediction of who will win, not by how much.
Logged
Mr. Paleoconservative
Reagan Raider
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 560
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: 5.30

« Reply #2 on: April 16, 2006, 01:52:48 PM »
« Edited: April 16, 2006, 02:46:18 PM by Reagan Raider »

For some reason linking to the maps does not appear to be working.

Logged
Mr. Paleoconservative
Reagan Raider
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 560
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: 5.30

« Reply #3 on: April 16, 2006, 02:45:07 PM »

Prediction Map


Confidence Map
Logged
Mr. Paleoconservative
Reagan Raider
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 560
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: 5.30

« Reply #4 on: June 13, 2006, 09:06:41 PM »

My most recent prediction...

Logged
Mr. Paleoconservative
Reagan Raider
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 560
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: 5.30

« Reply #5 on: June 14, 2006, 02:05:05 AM »

What's the Oregon situation look like Reagan?

Completely up in the air.  The Republicans have pro-choice big business friendly Ron Saxton, the Democrats have incompetent incumbent Teddy K, there is a liberal Independent Ben Westlund (R turned I) who should make the ballot, the Constitution Party has a solid candidate in Marry Starrett (Portland TV & Radio personality), the Libertarians have 2004 Sec. of State Candidate Richard Morley (Very smart, able to explain the Libertarian philosophy well), and the Greens have J. Keating (Typical burnt out Liberal).

The Governor's Mansion is completely up for grabs, and it is likely to be at least a three way race with Saxton, Teddy K, and Westlund.  That said, Starrett is picking up steam, and if Saxton screws up the Conservative vote may well completely be up for grabs making her a series player.   

Morley and Keating are 5% men, though Morley is very good, most of his constituency will go to Westlund.

It will be an interesting race for spectators, but as a person who is in the middle of it, who knows the players involved, it is even more fascinating.
Logged
Mr. Paleoconservative
Reagan Raider
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 560
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: 5.30

« Reply #6 on: June 14, 2006, 02:34:41 AM »

there is a liberal Independent Ben Westlund (R turned I) who should make the ballot

I thought he was a conservative.

Not in the least.  Imagine John Anderson circa 1980.
Logged
Mr. Paleoconservative
Reagan Raider
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 560
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: 5.30

« Reply #7 on: June 14, 2006, 01:11:19 PM »

there is a liberal Independent Ben Westlund (R turned I) who should make the ballot

I thought he was a conservative.

Not in the least.  Imagine John Anderson circa 1980.

Oh, nevermind. I was thinking of Atkinson. Whatever happened to him?

22% is what happened.  The GOP rimary was (roughly) 22% (Atkinson) - 30% (Mannix) - 43% (Saxton) with one of the lowest primary election turnouts in state history.
Logged
Mr. Paleoconservative
Reagan Raider
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 560
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: 5.30

« Reply #8 on: October 14, 2006, 10:59:53 PM »

Here are my updated predictions...
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.035 seconds with 12 queries.