The next Vermonts and West Virginias (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 30, 2024, 04:02:53 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Trends (Moderator: 100% pro-life no matter what)
  The next Vermonts and West Virginias (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: The next Vermonts and West Virginias  (Read 19508 times)
Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,779


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70
« on: January 09, 2006, 07:23:11 AM »
If we're talking about states that are now heavily Democratic/Republican but will have a clear tilt to the other side, I don't see any in the foreseeable future. In the long run, who knows, some SOuthern states maybe? I'm thinking about Virginia, straight Republican since 1964 but could well be trending Democrat.
Logged
Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,779


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70
« Reply #1 on: February 05, 2006, 03:47:15 PM »
I've been wondering for some time about the Interior West. Why did it swing from heavy to lean Democratic from 1896 to 1948 (roughly) to heavily GOP ever since? Does anyone know about this?
Logged
Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,779


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70
« Reply #2 on: October 03, 2006, 11:39:18 AM »
Minnesota definitely has trended Republican in the 90s compared to the 70s and 80s. Here is a table where I have subtracted the percent margin for the Republican presidential candidate in Minnesota from the same candidate's national margin (i.e. the higher the below number, the more Democratic Minnesota was)

2004 5,94%
2000 1,9%
1996 7,54%
1992 6,07%
1988 14,73%
1984 18,39%
1980 13,68%
1976 10,82%
1972 17,64%
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.019 seconds with 12 queries.