Rasmussen: Beebe leads Hutchinson by 6% in Arkansas

[minionofmidas]

Bush's job approval in Arkansas is 38% (according to Survey USA).


For reference: The last SUSA survey had 90% of Arkansas Democrats disapproving of Bush's job performance, compared to 7% of Arkansas Democrats approving of Bush's job performance. In Massachusetts, the breakdown is 88/9 disapprove amongst Massachusetts Democrats.

In conclusion: Arkansas Democrats dislike Bush even more than Massachusetts Democrats.

perhaps because a large number of arkansas democrats tend to be black?

Less than elsewhere in the South. AR is easily the state with the largest remaining White Religious Democrat vote.

[minionofmidas]

Interesting analysis.  Could Kerry have carried it in 2004 with persistent targeting?  I see what you mean as the Democrats seem to have a strong base here, stronger than in some Northern states which still voted for Kerry.

I think yes ... the question is, would it have been worth the expense? I think no.