Official Canada elections result thread

[Hatman 🍁]

Greens came 2nd in Wild Rose. I think that's a first for them.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

The Green Party
The Greens have clearly cemented their position as Canada's major minor party.  Of the 308 ridings they contested, in 301 of them they placed below all of the major parties and above all of the other minor parties.

Ridings in which the Greens did better than one or more of the major parties:
Laurier--Sainte-Marie: 4th place over Con
Calgary West: 3rd place over NDP
Bruce--Grey--Owen Sound: 3rd place over NDP
Wild Rose: 2nd place over Lib (3rd) and NDP (4th)

Ridings in which the Greens did worse than one or more of the minor parties (does not count independents):

Brome--Missisquoi: 6th place behind Progressive Candian Party
Skeena--Bulkley Valley: 5th place behind Christian Heritage Party
Nunavut: 5th place behind Marijuana Party

Shutouts
There were 6 ridings where only the winner got their deposit back, all of which were Conservatives in Alberta.  Imagine that!

Crowfoot
Macleod
Medicine Hat
Red Deer
Vegreville--Wainwright
Wetaskiwin

Major Party Results
(Assumes 15% is the deposit level, see below for a corrected post with a 10% level.)

BQ: 51 1st place, 19 2nd place, 5 lost deposits
Best: Repentigny 62.4%
Worst: Mount Royal 5.9%

Con: 124 1st place, 117 2nd place, 50 3rd place, 17 lost deposits
Best: Crowfoot 82.5%
Worst:Laurier--Sainte-Marie 6.4%

Green: 308 lost deposits
Best: Bruce--Grey--Owen Sound 12.9%
Worst: St. John's South--Mount Pearl 0.6%

Lib: 103 1st place 108 2nd place, 33 3rd place, 64 lost deposits
Best: Scarborough--Rouge River 65.6%
Worst: Jonquière--Alma 3.1%

NDP: 29 1st place, 47 2nd place, 68 3rd place, 1 4th place, 163 lost deposits
Best: Winnipeg North 57.2%
Worst:Beauce 2.6%

Independent candidates
Three independents got their deposits back:
André Arthur won in Portneuf--Jacques-Cartier with 39.8% of the vote.
Bill Given came in second in Peace River with 20.8% of the vote. (A side effect of the Conservatives rushing to find a candidate last spring when it looked like the election would be in late spring/early summer and Charlie Penson announced his retirement, thereby creating some discontent in the Tory ranks.)
Bev Desjarlais came in third in Churchill with 17.1% of the vote.
87 lost deposits, including the 5 listed as No Affiliation instead of Independent for some reason.

Minor Parties
Best results of minor parties with at least 1% of the vote in one riding
Christian Heritage Party: South Shore--St. Margaret's 3.4%
FPNP: Fort McMurray--Athabasca 1.4%
Libertarian Party: Vaughan 1.1%
Marijuana Party: Nunavut 7.8%
Progressive Canadian Party: Brome--Missisquoi 4.0%

Progressive Canadians
I really doubt if the Progressive Canadians will last much longer.  They didn't affect the outcome in any of the 25 ridings they contested and I don't see nostalgia for the Progressive Conservative Party as being enough to sustain a fringe party.  About the only way I can see the PC surviving would be if the fight over who leads the Liberals now becomes so vicious that it fractures the Liberals and some of them head over to the PC to make use of the existing party structure.

[Hatman 🍁]

What's this all about deposits? Canada is not the UK. 10% is needed however to get 50% of your money back. Perhaps that is what you are referring too?

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

IIRC, Al was indicating that the level was 15% not 10%, and I assumed that he was being correct.  Obviously if the level is 10% instead, it affects the results I gave there.  Give me a bit and I'll recompute based on a 10% threshold instead.

[Hatman 🍁]

IIRC, Al was indicating that the level was 15% not 10%, and I assumed that he was being correct.  Obviously if the level is 10% instead, it affects the results I gave there.  Give me a bit and I'll recompute based on a 10% threshold instead.

Al was most definately thinking the UK. I know very well, my candidate will be getting 50% of his money back (well most of it goes to the party, and the rest goes to the riding) and he got 13% of the vote.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Here's the corrected party totals, I corrected other errors above.

Major Party Results

BQ: 51 1st place, 20 2nd place, 1 3rd place, 1 4th place, 2 lost deposits
Best: Repentigny 62.4%
Worst: Mount Royal 5.9%

Con: 124 1st place, 117 2nd place, 60 3rd place, 2 4th place, 5 lost deposits
Best: Crowfoot 82.5%
Worst:Laurier--Sainte-Marie 6.4%

Green: 1 2nd place, 2 3rd place, 4 4th place, 301 lost deposits
Best: Bruce--Grey--Owen Sound 12.9%
Worst: St. John's South--Mount Pearl 0.6%

Lib: 103 1st place 114 2nd place, 65 3rd place, 1 4th place, 25 lost deposits
Best: Scarborough--Rouge River 65.6%
Worst: Jonquière--Alma 3.1%

NDP: 29 1st place, 49 2nd place, 132 3rd place, 4 4th place, 94 lost deposits
Best: Winnipeg North 57.2%
Worst:Beauce 2.6%


And just for fun in the meaningless stats:
Worst 1st place: Hull--Alymer 32.4%
Best 2nd place: Tobique--Mactaquac 43.0%
Number of 2nd's better than the worst 1st: 94
Best 3rd place: Kenora or Newton--North Delta: 30.4%
Best 4th place: Hull--Aylmer: 15.4%

(Some numbers based on preliminary results, others on validated.)

[Filuwaúrdjan]

IIRC, Al was indicating that the level was 15% not 10%, and I assumed that he was being correct.  Obviously if the level is 10% instead, it affects the results I gave there.  Give me a bit and I'll recompute based on a 10% threshold instead.

Al was most definately thinking the UK. I know very well, my candidate will be getting 50% of his money back (well most of it goes to the party, and the rest goes to the riding) and he got 13% of the vote.

Was it changed to 10% then? It was 15% for years and I'm pretty sure it still was in 2004.
Over here it's 5%.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Just thinking... did any member of the NDP caucus lose re-election? If not, when was the last time that happend?

[minionofmidas]

Just thinking... did any member of the NDP caucus lose re-election?

The only seat the party lost was Churchill. Not sure if the incumbent was running again.

Earl - you said he'd be getting half his money back with 13%? That sounds as if, in Canada, the deposit-back threshold is still 15% (as it is still in India, and as it was in the UK before it was changed to 5%) but you lose only half of it if, not all of it, if you poll less.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

The only seat the party lost was Churchill. Not sure if the incumbent was running again.

She was yes; as an Independent (resulting in the Liberals winning the seat via a vote split and the usual dirty tricks on the reservations).
So the answer is no... hmm... only one NDP incumbent lost in 1997 (the victim of round II of the Sask-a-gerrymander), some did in 1988 and in 84 (or did they? I think so but...)

[Mr. Morden]

I don't know if this has been posted yet:

http://atlas.gc.ca/site/english/maps/reference/elections/election2006

It's a national map, graphically showing the election results.  And it's zoomable.

[Hatman 🍁]

Just thinking... did any member of the NDP caucus lose re-election?

The only seat the party lost was Churchill. Not sure if the incumbent was running again.

Earl - you said he'd be getting half his money back with 13%? That sounds as if, in Canada, the deposit-back threshold is still 15% (as it is still in India, and as it was in the UK before it was changed to 5%) but you lose only half of it if, not all of it, if you poll less.

No, you can only ever get half back. 10% is the threshold for that.