Demographics and Democratic gains
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  Demographics and Democratic gains
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Author Topic: Demographics and Democratic gains  (Read 834 times)
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
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« on: November 12, 2006, 10:22:04 AM »

Just to make a few things clear...

1. I'm assuming that the current leaders in the uncalled districts will win.
2. I'm using figures from the 2000 census; a bit out of date I guess, but the patterns are more important for this than the actual numbers themselves.
3. I'm going to add more figures every now and again for a while. Some stuff to do with income will be up next.

---
Of the 29 districts the Democrats gained...

17 have above average employment in manufacturing (with 5 having rates of manufacturing employment significantly below average).

15 have below average levels of managerial/professional occupations (with 4 having rates of these occupations significantly above average).

In 13 districts, under 25% of the population had a bachelor's degree or higher (with three districts having over 33% of the population '' '').
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Nym90
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« Reply #1 on: November 12, 2006, 10:40:15 AM »

Just to make a few things clear...

1. I'm assuming that the current leaders in the uncalled districts will win.
2. I'm using figures from the 2000 census; a bit out of date I guess, but the patterns are more important for this than the actual numbers themselves.
3. I'm going to add more figures every now and again for a while. Some stuff to do with income will be up next.

---
Of the 29 districts the Democrats gained...

17 have above average employment in manufacturing (with 5 having rates of manufacturing employment significantly below average).

15 have below average levels of managerial/professional occupations (with 4 having rates of these occupations significantly above average).

In 13 districts, under 25% of the population had a bachelor's degree or higher (with three districts having over 33% of the population '' '').

Interesting. So it would seem the Democratic gains were largely attributed to blue collar workers. Always good to see.
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TheresNoMoney
Scoonie
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« Reply #2 on: November 12, 2006, 10:46:26 AM »

There are a number of demographic trends favoring Democrats right now, among them:

1) gains in the Hispanic vote
2) gains in the evenagelical vote
3) Less people getting married (single people favor Democrats by a fairly large margin
4) blue collar workers coming back to Democrats
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