Kerry leads in Iowa

[Wakie]

This is exactly why I said that it is way too early to call this election.

[Gustaf]

Edwards is more appealing to the midwest than the northeast, resulting in losses in the two most conservative NE states.

I like your assesment, and JR's as well, on the dynamics of the Iowa primary.

[TheWildCard]

This is interesting it would be amazing if Dean fell to 4th behind Kerry, Gephardt, and Edwards. But I still think Dean will come in first, Gephardt, Kerry and Edwards a very close close 2nd, 3rd and 4th.

Yep, that would be great! What would happen if Dean did finish 4th? (I don't think he will, but there is obviously a possibility). Would his campaign crumble? Is it possible for him to lose NH if he loses big in Iowa? If he loses NH he is toast, but with a likely win there he might be able to hang on despite an Iowa loss. If Dean wins, Gephardt could fall down to third or fourth place and drop out.

Well lets break it down I think if Kerry wins iowa he will have a great shot in New Hampshire. Gephardt is done in this instance unless its very close. Dean's still alive but his campaign is hurt and his future in New Hampshire will be in jeopordy. In this case Edwards wins big time if he can get 2nd or 3rd.

If Dean wins he'll still be the favorite Gephardt's done unless he comes in a very close second, Kerry's campaign would nearly be dead if he finishes 4th. As in the last circumstance Edwards will be a player if he finishes in the top 3.

If Gephardt wins things stay the same unless Dean does really poorly or if Edwards does well.

Now if Edwards wins the whole political picture becomes more blurry then ever before. Going into New Hampshire it could be a foot race between Kerry, Dean, Edwards and Clark.

I still think Dean is going to win his voters and supporters seem to be the most vocal and the most likely to show up.

[© tweed]

Kerry would be a very weak candidate.

[MAS117]

finally kerry gets some respect

[MAS117]

how do u get those pictures on there like the ones people have of bush and dean

[jravnsbo]

go to the democrats for Bush" forum and html explained it to me in detail there.

how do u get those pictures on there like the ones people have of bush and dean

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Edwards would win WV IMO, his entire political career has been built on economic populism, something that goes down well in WV.

[© tweed]

Bush would have a chance at California against Kerry or dean but not against Edwards.

[jravnsbo]

california is a bonus anyway.  If bush wins other states cali doesn't matter, btu a must for dems.

Plus Arnold just won and is doing well.  Plus I am more hopeful to build there for the future and down ballot elections.

[MAS117]

for whoever who put up there map... you dont see edwards even winning NC ?