TX-28 primary

[jimrtex]

Kerry carried it 57-43 which makes me think it would be friendly towards Rodriguez.

In the 2004 primary, Cuellar polled 84% of the vote, and Webb County outpolled Bexar County, even though it has about 1/3 the population.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

This is the problem with open primaries. Dave actually thinks this guy is a Democrat. Rodriguez has gotten many endorsements from Democratic Congressmen, whom I assume would know a lot better than Dave what a real Democrat is.

[nini2287]

Does anyone have a link to 2004 results?

[nini2287]

In news from other districts, Tom DeLay is projected to win his primary

[Sam Spade]

You can find it here. Search under County Race summary for the gritty details.

http://elections.sos.state.tx.us/elchist.exe

[Sam Spade]

Webb County has still reported nothing.  That's the county to watch for.

Kerry carried it 57-43 which makes me think it would be friendly towards Rodriguez.

In the 2004 primary, Cuellar polled 84% of the vote, and Webb County outpolled Bexar County, even though it has about 1/3 the population.
[/quote]

Yep, Cuellar is somewhat of a folk hero among all those *DINOs* down in Laredo.  Probably has something to do with his being a state House rep. from there for 18 years.

[Democratic Hawk]

This is the problem with open primaries. Dave actually thinks this guy is a Democrat. Rodriguez has gotten many endorsements from Democratic Congressmen, whom I assume would know a lot better than Dave what a real Democrat is.

Is there some absolutist notion as to what constitutes a real Democrat?

Dave

[nini2287]

Thanks for the link, Sam.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

This is the problem with open primaries. Dave actually thinks this guy is a Democrat. Rodriguez has gotten many endorsements from Democratic Congressmen, whom I assume would know a lot better than Dave what a real Democrat is.

Is there some absolutist notion as to what constitutes a real Democrat?

Dave

This Bush lover sure isn't.

[nini2287]

68% Reporting (no Webb)

Rodriguez 59
Cuellar 34
Morales 7

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Pro-DINO swing in Guadalupe county. Thanks to this being an open primary, it's basically equivalent to a general election between a Democrat, a Republican, and this Morales guy.

[Democratic Hawk]

In news from other districts, Tom DeLay is projected to win his primary

And hopefully, he'll be out on his arse come November. Wonder if jfern will concur with me on his one ?

What I will say is that these House primaries have pitiful turnouts. I can't say the ones for governor or senator are any better, from what I've seen

Dave

[Sam Spade]

News Flash from the Laredo Morning Times:

http://www.lmtonline.com/site/news.asp?brd=2290

Voting woes

Because of a technical difficulty, results from the Democratic and Republican primaries have been delayed.

The machine built to read the personal electronic ballots was incorrectly programmed, and as a result the votes must be extracted from flash cards attached to each machine.

Officials with the Webb County Elections Administration were unsure Tuesday how long the delay would last.

[nini2287]

If you take out Webb Co. in 2004, Cuellar wins 65-35, however, I suspect Cuellar's numbers there might be a bit down given the fact he's in the U.S. House now and has more of a voting record to defend.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

News Flash from the Laredo Morning Times:

http://www.lmtonline.com/site/news.asp?brd=2290

Voting woes

Because of a technical difficulty, results from the Democratic and Republican primaries have been delayed.

The machine built to read the personal electronic ballots was incorrectly programmed, and as a result the votes must be extracted from flash cards attached to each machine.

Officials with the Webb County Elections Administration were unsure Tuesday how long the delay would last.

Thanks, Diebold!

[Democratic Hawk]

News Flash from the Laredo Morning Times:

http://www.lmtonline.com/site/news.asp?brd=2290

Voting woes

Because of a technical difficulty, results from the Democratic and Republican primaries have been delayed.

The machine built to read the personal electronic ballots was incorrectly programmed, and as a result the votes must be extracted from flash cards attached to each machine.

Officials with the Webb County Elections Administration were unsure Tuesday how long the delay would last.

Bugger it. Goodnight, all

Dave

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

In news from other districts, Tom DeLay is projected to win his primary

And hopefully, he'll be out on his arse come November. Wonder if jfern will concur with me on his one ?

What I will say is that these House primaries have pitiful turnouts. I can't say the ones for governor or senator are any better, from what I've seen

Dave

DeLay's supporters came out in force for him. Curroption isn't a negative in Texas.

[Sam Spade]

If you take out Webb Co. in 2004, Cuellar wins 65-35, however, I suspect Cuellar's numbers there might be a bit down given the fact he's in the U.S. House now and has more of a voting record to defend.

He'll get about 80%-85% of the vote there.  Watch for it. 

The myDD people have been hearing rumors earlier that there were 21,000 early votes in Webb County.  I don't know whether I believe that or not, but turnout is has always been high in Webb County when Cuellar has run for the House.

For reference, I urge you to use the link I just gave you and visit the 2002 General Election under Webb County and read the results for CD-25 as well. 

Then I urge you to compare turnout for Webb County then compared to Webb County in the 2004 election.  Granted, it also helped that the Gubernatorial candidate was also from Webb County, but the number is almost ridiculous.

[jimrtex]

Nothing in from Webbe yet. Is Webbe the most populous county?

Percentages are Anglo, Black, Hispanic, Black+Hispanic, Other.  Percentage in parentheses is percentage of county in district.

Atascosa (100%) 38,628 39.6 0.7 58.6 59.1 1.3 (suburb San Antonio)
Bexar ( 20%) 285,459 49,841 17.5 11.3 70.5 81.3 1.3 (San Antonio)
Comal ( 18%) 14,050 40.0 1.9 56.9 58.5 1.5 (New Braunfels, suburb SA)
Frio (100%) 16,252 20.6 5.0 73.8 78.6 0.9 (rural)
Guadalupe (100%) 89,023 59.4 5.4 33.2 38.4 2.3 (suburb SA)
Hays ( 59%) 57,125 49.4 6.2 42.5 48.3 2.3 (San Marcos, suburb Austin)
La Salle (100%) 5,866 19.0 3.6 77.1 80.4 0.6 (rural)
McMullen (100%) 851 1.2 33.1 34.3 0.4 (empty)
Webb ( 52%) 99,776 3.5 0.4 96.1 96.1 0.3 (Laredo)
Wilson (100%) 32,408 (suburb SA) 60.9 1.4 36.5 37.8 1.4 (suburb SA)
Zapata (100%) 12,182 14.5 0.5 84.8 85.0 0.5 (south of Laredo).

The suburban counties have a lot of small towns, with people commuting into San Antonio more than outgrowth from San Antonio.  Most of what you would think of traditional suburban growth is in northern and western Bexar County, much within the city limits of San Antonio (which is larger than Pittsburgh, Cleveland, and St.Louis combined).   Guadeloupe and Comal counties have very strong German/Republican traditions dating back to the 19th century.  

San Marcos is the site of a Texas State University-San Marcos, which has around 25,000 students.  It is primarily a teacher's college, so won't be as liberal as UT-Austin, and students probably won't turn out for an election like this.  LBJ is the most notable graduate of TSU-SM (formerly Southwest Texas University).

Webb County is split between two districts, 28 and 23, which also includes parts of Bexar County and stretches west to El Paso.  Laredo is one of the fastest growing cities in the US, and something like 40% of overland imports from Mexico come through Laredo.

[Sam Spade]

Webb County early voting out, still no word from precincts:

Cuellar 8,145 (86.76%)
Rodriguez 789 (8.40%)
Morales 454 (4.84%)

Total vote now (190 out of 276 precincts)

Cuellar 16,705 (48.76%)
Rodriguez 15,408 (44.98%)
Morales 2,145 (6.74%)

[nini2287]

Dammit you just beat me it to it Sam

That's quite a big change just from early voting.

[Alcon]

Bush's man date at the 2006 State of the Union.

You know, the gay jokes do tend to get old.  Politicians touch eachother.  Ooh!

[Sam Spade]

Dammit you just beat me it to it Sam

That's quite a big change just from early voting.

Told ya.   

This whole primary is a good example of the old favorite saying of Al's, "All politics is local."

I'm still waiting for the far-left in the Democratic party to understand this.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Bush's man date at the 2006 State of the Union.

You know, the gay jokes do tend to get old.  Politicians touch eachother.  Ooh!

You're old?

[nini2287]

Finally, an update:

With 74% of precincts reporting:

Cuellar 48.5
Rodriguez 45.2
Morales 6.3

If neither candidate reaches 50%, it goes to a runoff, right?