The General Election poll!

[Gustaf]

OK, here it is! The poll of the two candidates, now that the primaries are over. Feel free to post comments on the election, or how it would go in a real life general with an EC.

I have posted a prediction map (Gustaf3, I think it was) predicting a narrow GOP victory in the EC. I will not try to predict the actual election here on the board yet, but I think it's gonna be close...

[Gustaf]

Hmmm, both presidential candidates come from traditional battle ground states, and both vice presidential candidates come from states that almost always go to the other party.
I'd suppose that MI is solid Dem and PA is solid GOP.
Generally solid MS and IL would be tossups.

I made MS and IL tossups in my prediction. But I left PA at lean GOP, b/c I expect a strong showing by the Dems in the steel states. Michigan, on the other hand, would be very solidly Dem, with both the state senators being well recognized Democrats.

[Gustaf]

i believe this is justa poll, not an official vote.

Mr Chairman?

Yes, this is a poll not a vote, lol...like I would dare to do that...

[Gustaf]

This thing is tied right now...it looks like the election will be really close.

[Gustaf]

Here is my prediction map:

Nym90 wins 291-247

How do you post your prediction maps?

[Gustaf]

Take the map you create with the electoral college calc deluxe on this site and but it in bracketed img and /img tags.

Like this?

[img/http://www.uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/PE2004/CAMPAIGN/evcalc4.php/img]

[Gustaf]

Yes, only you messed up your first tag.

Care to explain in what way?
It looks just like the second one to me.

[Gustaf]

Take the map you create with the electoral college calc deluxe on this site and but it in bracketed img and /img tags.

Like this?

[img/http://www.uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/PE2004/CAMPAIGN/evcalc4.php/img]

OK, here we go...

[img]http://www.uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/PE2004/CAMPAIGN/evcalc4.php/img]

[Gustaf]

Take the map you create with the electoral college calc deluxe on this site and but it in bracketed img and /img tags.

Like this?

[img/http://www.uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/PE2004/CAMPAIGN/evcalc4.php/img]

OK, here we go...

[img]http://www.uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/PE2004/CAMPAIGN/evcalc4.php/img]

I accidentally clicked on space bar...

[img]http://www.uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/PE2004/CAMPAIGN/evcalc4.php/img]

[Gustaf]

I will keep trying...

[img]/http://www.uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/PE2004/CAMPAIGN/evcalc4.php/img]

[Gustaf]

[img]/http://www.uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/PE2004/CAMPAIGN/evcalc4.php/[img]

[Gustaf]

You got your brackets right.

But it still doesn't work! What am I supposed to do now?

[Gustaf]

You got your brackets right.

But it still doesn't work! What am I supposed to do now?

That last [img] should have a / before the img]

Like this?

[img]/http://www.uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/PE2004/CAMPAIGN/evcalc4.php/[img]

[Gustaf]

I think he meant like this [ / img]  Without the spaces of course.

Aha, thank you.

Like this, then?

[Gustaf]

I think he meant like this [ / img]  Without the spaces of course.

Aha, thank you.

Like this, then?

AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAARGH! There is a picture there now, but it doesn't appear!

I will burst into tears if this goes on...or fall asleep from exhaustion...

[Gustaf]

OK, I will make an other attempt at posting my map when I get home from school.

It's similar to most of the other maps here, but I think the Dems will make a surprisingly strong showing in the south and mid-west, winning most of the tossups there, but then losing the election due to bad performance in the southwest, b/c Supersoulty makes good use of his Catholicism, winning the Hispanic voter, giving the Dems nothing but CA and WA in the west (and HI of course).

But then I read that Nym90 is fom Wisconsin, so he wins that, giving him the election 274-264. A really close one.

[Gustaf]

OK, I will make an other attempt at posting my map when I get home from school.

It's similar to most of the other maps here, but I think the Dems will make a surprisingly strong showing in the south and mid-west, winning most of the tossups there, but then losing the election due to bad performance in the southwest, b/c Supersoulty makes good use of his Catholicism, winning the Hispanic voter, giving the Dems nothing but CA and WA in the west (and HI of course).

But then I read that Nym90 is fom Wisconsin, so he wins that, giving him the election 274-264. A really close one.

I am a Catholic as well.

Ah, me didn't know that. Then I assume you will attack Supersoulty on who's a "Catholic's best friend" and retain  lot of Hispanics, thus making AZ, NM and FL more in play again. But it will hurt you among WASPs in the South, so he might win back some there...I will have to alter my predictions.

[Gustaf]

OK, I will make an other attempt at posting my map when I get home from school.

It's similar to most of the other maps here, but I think the Dems will make a surprisingly strong showing in the south and mid-west, winning most of the tossups there, but then losing the election due to bad performance in the southwest, b/c Supersoulty makes good use of his Catholicism, winning the Hispanic voter, giving the Dems nothing but CA and WA in the west (and HI of course).

But then I read that Nym90 is fom Wisconsin, so he wins that, giving him the election 274-264. A really close one.

I am a Catholic as well.

Ah, me didn't know that. Then I assume you will attack Supersoulty on who's a "Catholic's best friend" and retain  lot of Hispanics, thus making AZ, NM and FL more in play again. But it will hurt you among WASPs in the South, so he might win back some there...I will have to alter my predictions.

Basically I will not make my Catholicism an issue.  However, my Catholicism shuold prevent Supersoulty from exploiting his.
So the effect is nil on both of us likely.

That's up to the campaign manager to decide, lol...

I think Supersoulty would try and make himself out as not another Republican, using his home state and religion to enforce this. This will improve the GOP-showing among Hispanics. I have altered my predictions yet again and am now predicting a really close race, 270-268. Don't remember to whom right now, will post that in a minute...

[Gustaf]

Supersoulty wins, despite you winning LA, MS TN and AR, as well as NM, WI and MN.

[Gustaf]

Supersoulty wins, despite you winning LA, MS TN and AR, as well as NM, WI and MN.

Do you have a map?

Yes, but I cannot post it b/c I am stupid...

You can check out Gustaf3, I belive it is. But just search for "Gus" on the prediction page and you will get all my maps up. The only one that haves southern states in the Dem column is the appropriate one. It says that it's about you as well.

[Gustaf]

Another oathetic attempt from me then...

[Gustaf]

Another oathetic attempt from me then...

WHYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY?

[Gustaf]

Listen, here is how you get the image up, if you are on windows.

Step one: Right-click on the image.
Step two: You will see a "properties" option when you right-click.  Click on that and you will see a information box.
Step three: you will see the image's web adress int he box.  Copy that.  Then paste it in between img and /img brackets.

That's exactly what I did!

[Gustaf]

Do it on the map itself.

What do you mean? Do what exactly on the map itself?

[Gustaf]

Right-click on the map that you create with the EC calc deluxe.

OK, i will try. Hang on.