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May 23, 2015, 02:19:57 am
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| | |-+  2016 Presidential Predictions (General)
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Author Topic: 2016 Presidential Predictions (General)  (Read 360 times)
Dave Leip
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« on: May 15, 2015, 09:47:56 pm »

Hi,
I've enabled the 2012 General Election Presidential Prediction Script here

Enjoy and let me know if you find any bugs.

the Primary Predictions for the Republican 2016 primary season will be available after the calendar gets nailed down.

Note you will need to be sure your atlas and forum accounts are linked for your map to be compiled.  You can link them on your myatlas page

Enjoy,
Dave

Compiled Prediction Map
« Last Edit: May 15, 2015, 09:54:45 pm by Dave Leip »Logged
IceSpear
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E: -5.55, S: -6.09

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« Reply #1 on: May 15, 2015, 10:44:31 pm »
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First!
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Ebsy
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« Reply #2 on: May 15, 2015, 11:02:36 pm »
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First!
I bet you to the other 2 though! I guess it was... inevitable.
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Wulfric
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« Reply #3 on: May 16, 2015, 12:04:12 am »
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Political Test Results (I Support Democratic Positions ~58% of the time!):
http://www.isidewith.com/results/894702484

Ratings

2016 House - Strongly Leaning Republican

2015/2016 Governor (Updated 5/19; 2016 ratings = under construction):
http://tinyurl.com/njc56un

2016 President (updated 5/22):

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1OKC1m79QlrW3MSKXKxW4Ms-goKoDHlqsdfHJCWfEExA

Senate 2016 - Coming in ~Mid July 2015

#DraftBiden2016
#DraftWarren2016
#DraftKasich2016
SomebodyWhoExists
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E: -8.71, S: -8.96

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« Reply #4 on: May 16, 2015, 08:36:51 am »
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First!
Sixth!
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15:55   windjammer   you should all go to hell
 
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21:55   TNF   swe your mom is an hp
mathstatman
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« Reply #5 on: May 16, 2015, 08:43:50 am »
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I've alluded to this elsewhere, but I think Clinton/Warner will lose the popular vote to Bush/Portman, but win in the EC and Mrs. Clinton will be sworn in as President in 2017.

Clinton/Warner 48.6% / 276 EV
Bush/Portman 49.1% / 262 EV
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Governor Flo
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« Reply #6 on: May 16, 2015, 09:43:32 am »
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Eighth!

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I would like to see the pharmaceutical over charge American people
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E: 3.29, S: -1.30

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« Reply #7 on: May 16, 2015, 04:17:39 pm »
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Woo! This'll be fun. I wonder how these will change once the campaign for the general begins.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #8 on: May 16, 2015, 04:27:59 pm »
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I'm pretty much doing generic Rep/Dem until after the primary season, so I won't touch it again until then, because obviously, predictions are kind of meaningless at this point

http://uselectionatlas.org/PRED/PRESIDENT/2016/pred.php?action=indpred&memb_id=15515
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True Federalist
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« Reply #9 on: May 17, 2015, 12:50:21 am »
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As I've done in the past, I'll post from time to time on how stable the predictions are.

23 predictions at present.  5 new predictions could change the map as follows.

Colorado 40%D -> 50%D
Florida: 40%D -> 40%R
Hawaii: 60%D -> 70%D
Kentucky: 50%R -> 60%R
New Hampshire: tossup -> lean D
Utah: 60%R -> 70%R

Obviously it would take 5 very weird maps to cause all these changes to happen at the same time. Other than the potential change in Florida, none of these changes would cause a state to switch its predicted vote, so the overall prediction of Clinton winning isn't likely to change any time soon.
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Quote from: Ignatius of Antioch
He that possesses the word of Jesus, is truly able to bear his very silence. Epistle to the Ephesians 3:21a
The one thing everyone can agree on is that the media is biased against them.
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