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April 16, 2014, 08:07:09 am
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News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  Election Predictions (Moderator: Joe Republic)
| | |-+  2014 Gubernatorial Predictions
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Author Topic: 2014 Gubernatorial Predictions  (Read 16339 times)
SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #50 on: March 24, 2014, 01:43:20 pm »
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Alabama: Robert Bentley
Alaska: Sean Parnell
Arizona: Ken Bennett
Arkansas: Mike Ross
California: Jerry Brown
Colorado: John Hickenlooper
Connecticut: Dan Malloy
Florida: Rick Scott
Georgia: Nathan Deal
Hawaii: Neil Abercrombie
Idaho: Butch Otter
Illinois: Bruce Rauner
Iowa: Terry Branstad
Kansas: Sam Brownback
Maine: Mike Michaud
Maryland: Anthony Brown
Massachusetts: Martha Coakley
Michigan: Rick Snyder
Minnesota: Mark Dayton
Nebraska: Jon Bruning
Nevada: Brian Sandoval
New Hampshire: Maggie Hassan
New Mexico: Susana Martinez
New York: Andrew Cuomo
Ohio: John Kasich
Oklahoma: Mary Fallin
Oregon: John Kitzhaber
Pennsylvania: Tom Wolf
Rhode Island: Gina Raimondo
South Carolina: Nikki Haley
South Dakota: Dennis Daugaard
Tennessee: Bill Haslam
Texas: Greg Abbott
Vermont: Pete Shumlin
Wisconsin: Scott Walker
Wyoming: Matt Mead
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Endorsements: Sen: Broun (GA), Bevin (KY), Wolf (KS), McDaniel (MS), Brannon (NC), Bright (SC)
House: Amash (MI), Massie (KY), Duncan (TN), McClintock (CA), Sanford (SC), Jones (NC), Huelskamp (KS), Loudermilk (GA), Emmer (MN), Richardson (ME), Raths (CA), DeMaio (CA), Dietzel (LA), Lonegan (NJ), Didier (WA), Mooney (WV), Mathis (AL)
Gov: LePage (ME), Coleman (AR), Melvin (AZ), Donnelly (CA)
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olawakandi
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« Reply #51 on: March 24, 2014, 02:24:14 pm »
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Bruce Rauner has downstate support. He doesn't have the suburban vote he needs to beat Dem Cook county machine.
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #52 on: March 25, 2014, 11:07:05 am »
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Alabama: Robert Bentley
Alaska: Sean Parnell
Arizona: Ken Bennett
Arkansas: Asa Hutchinson
California: Jerry Brown
Colorado: John Hickenlooper
Connecticut: Tom Foley
Florida: Charlie Christ
Georgia: Jason Carter
Hawaii: Neil Abercrombie
Idaho: Butch Otter
Illinois: Bruce Rauner
Iowa: Terry Branstad
Kansas: Paul Davis
Maine: Mike Michaud
Maryland: Anthony Brown
Massachusetts: Charlie Baker
Michigan: Mark Schauer
Minnesota: Mark Dayton
Nebraska: Jon Bruning
Nevada: Brian Sandoval
New Hampshire: Maggie Hassan
New Mexico: Susana Martinez
New York: Andrew Cuomo
Ohio: Ed FitzGerald
Oklahoma: Mary Fallin
Oregon: John Kitzhaber
Pennsylvania: Allyson Schwartz
Rhode Island: Gina Raimondo
South Carolina: Vincent Shaheen
South Dakota: Dennis Daugaard
Tennessee: Bill Haslam
Texas: Greg Abbott
Vermont: Pete Shumlin
Wisconsin: Scott Walker
Wyoming: Matt Mead

All in all, there is a net gain of 5 Gubernatorial seats for the Democrats.
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Thankfully the 5th amendment implicitly approves of the concept of executing hoodlums.


OK
I WILL FOCUS ON WIN THE rACES
THANK YOU
YOU JUST MADE MY DAD GO BUTTER
angryGreatness
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« Reply #53 on: March 31, 2014, 04:40:01 pm »
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Winners in bold

Alabama: Robert Bentley (R) vs. Parker Griffith (D)
Alaska: Sean Parnell (R) vs. Ethan Berkowitz (D) vs. Bill Walker (I)
Arizona: Ken Bennett (R) vs. Fred DuVal (D)
Arkansas: Mike Ross (D) vs. Asa Hutchison (R)
California: Jerry Brown (D) vs. Tim Donnelly (R)
Colorado: John Hickenlooper (D) vs. Tom Tancredo (R)
Connecticut: Dan Malloy (D) vs. Tom Foley (R)
Florida: Rick Scott (R) vs. Charlie Crist (D)(D+1)
Georgia: Nathan Deal (R) vs. Jason Carter (D)
Hawaii: Neil Abercrombie (D) vs. Duke Aiona (R)
Idaho: Butch Otter (R) vs. A.J. Balukoff (D)
Illinois: Pat Quinn (D) vs. Bruce Rauner (R) (R+1)
Iowa: Terry Branstad (R) vs. Jack Hatch (D)
Kansas: Sam Brownback (R) vs. Paul Davis (D)
Maine: Paul LePage (R) vs. Mike Michaud (D) vs. Eliot Cutler (I) (D+1)
Maryland: Anthony Brown (D) vs. Ron George (R)
Massachusetts: Martha Coakley (D) vs. Charlie Baker (R)
Michigan: Rick Snyder (R) vs. Mark Schauer (D) (D+1)
Minnesota: Mark Dayton (D) vs. Kurt Zellers (R)
Nebraska: Jon Bruning (R) vs. Chuck Hassebrook (D)
Nevada: Brian Sandoval (R) vs. Chris Hyepock (D)
New Hampshire: Maggie Hassan (D) vs. Chuck Morse (R)
New Mexico: Susana Martinez (R) vs. Howie Morales (D)
New York: Andrew Cuomo (D) vs. Rob Astorino (R)
Ohio: John Kasich (R) vs. Ed Fitzgerald (D)
Oklahoma: Mary Fallin (R) vs. Joe Dorman (D)
Oregon: John Kitzhaber (D) vs. Dennis Richardson (R)
Pennsylvania: Tom Corbett (R) vs. Tom Wolf (D) (D+1)
Rhode Island: Angel Taveras (D) vs. Allen Fung (R)
South Carolina: Nikki Haley (R) vs. Vincent Sheheen (D)
South Dakota: Dennis Daugaard (R) vs. Joe Lowe (D)
Tennessee: Bill Haslam (R) vs. Some Asshole (D)
Texas: Greg Abbott (R) vs. Wendy Davis (D)
Vermont: Peter Shumlin (D) vs. Cris Ericson (I)
Wisconsin: Scott Walker (R) vs. Mary Burke (D)
Wyoming: Matt Mead (R)

Overall: D+3
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olawakandi
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« Reply #54 on: April 01, 2014, 09:56:25 am »
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King def Martinez D+1.  NM tossup
Schauer def Synder D+1 MI tossup
Crist def Scott D+1 FL tossup
Tavares wins D+1 RI
Wolf def Corbett D+1 PA
Michaud def LePage D+1 ME

Hutchinson def Ross R+1

25D-25R
3-5 seat net gain
« Last Edit: April 01, 2014, 10:21:32 am by OC »Logged
murraybannerman
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« Reply #55 on: April 07, 2014, 03:23:45 pm »
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King def Martinez D+1.  NM tossup
Schauer def Synder D+1 MI tossup
Crist def Scott D+1 FL tossup
Tavares wins D+1 RI
Wolf def Corbett D+1 PA
Michaud def LePage D+1 ME

Hutchinson def Ross R+1

25D-25R
3-5 seat net gain
Since when is NM a tossup?
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olawakandi
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« Reply #56 on: April 07, 2014, 04:37:06 pm »
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It isn't a tossup yet, I am being bold in predicting Martinez to lose just like IL is a super Dem state, so is NM. King's father Bruce King did serve as Gov in 1970 and she is now only 5 pts ahead. We will see if the race develops later.
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murraybannerman
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« Reply #57 on: April 07, 2014, 05:02:39 pm »
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I don't have a problem with you wanting to be bold. The tossup part just caught my eye.
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WillTheMormon
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« Reply #58 on: April 11, 2014, 05:15:16 pm »
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Alabama: Robert Bentley (R)
Alaska: Sean Parnell (R)
Arizona: Ken Bennett (R)
Arkansas: Asa Hutchinson (R)

California: Jerry Brown (D)
Colorado: John Hickenlooper (D)

Connecticut: Tom Foley (R)
Florida: Charlie Crist (D)

Georgia: Nathan Deal (R)
Hawaii: Neil Abercrombie (D)
Idaho: Butch Otter (R)
Illinois: Bruce Rauner (R)
Iowa: Terry Branstad (R)
Kansas: Sam Brownback (R)

Maine: Mike Michaud (D)
Maryland: Anthony Brown (D)

Massachusetts: Charlie Baker (R)
Michigan: Rick Snyder (R)

Minnesota: Mark Dayton (D)
Nebraska: Jon Bruning (R)
Nevada: Brian Sandoval (R)

New Hampshire: Maggie Hassan (D)
New Mexico: Susana Martinez (R)
New York: Andrew Cuomo (D)
Ohio: John Kasich (R)
Oklahoma: Mary Fallin (R)

Oregon: John Kitzhaber (D)
Pennsylvania: Tom Wolf (D)
Rhode Island: Gina Raimondo (D)

South Carolina: Nikki Haley (R)
South Dakota: Dennis Daugaard (R)
Tennessee: Bill Haslam (R)
Texas: Greg Abbott (R)

Vermont: Peter Shumlin (D)
Wisconsin: Scott Walker (R)
Wyoming: Matt Mead (R)


Republicans + 1
« Last Edit: April 12, 2014, 09:58:18 am by WillTheMormon »Logged

Hi my name is Will. I'm socially conservative, economically liberal and a foreign policy hawk all in one!

Economic Left/Right: -6.75
Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: 2.67
Secretly Ted Cruz
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« Reply #59 on: April 11, 2014, 06:38:45 pm »
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Massachusetts: Charlie Baker (R)

Uh, What?
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Economic Score: -4.65
Social Score: -4.35
WillTheMormon
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« Reply #60 on: April 11, 2014, 08:13:50 pm »
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Massachusetts: Charlie Baker (R)

Uh, What?

Martha Coakley was destroyed once, who says that's not going to happen again. Plus, Scott Brown was not nearly as well known as Charlie Baker in MA when he ran against Coakley.
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Hi my name is Will. I'm socially conservative, economically liberal and a foreign policy hawk all in one!

Economic Left/Right: -6.75
Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: 2.67
Secretly Ted Cruz
Guntaker
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« Reply #61 on: April 11, 2014, 08:16:58 pm »
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Massachusetts: Charlie Baker (R)

Uh, What?

Martha Coakley was destroyed once, who says that's not going to happen again. Plus, Scott Brown was not nearly as well known as Charlie Baker in MA when he ran against Coakley.
She's leading him by double digits, and losing by 4 isn't being "Destroyed", and considering that Baker is a recycled 2010 Candidate, and how is he having more name recognition? Coakley's the Attorney General.

Look at all polling, so unless Grossman gets nominated, Baker isn't going to get to Boston.
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Economic Score: -4.65
Social Score: -4.35
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olawakandi
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« Reply #62 on: April 13, 2014, 09:12:17 am »
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Any candidate in Boston who is connected to Christie or Romney like Healey or Scott Brown or Baker aren't gonna get far in Boston or NH.
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