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Author Topic: My thoughts on the 2006 Gubernatorial Races  (Read 9137 times)
Reaganfan
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« on: April 09, 2006, 11:32:13 am »
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Ok, I did some scribbling on paper to try and figure out my predictions for the 2006 Gubernatorial Races. Here's how things currently stand:

36 Seats are in play this election year.

OUT OF THE 36 SEATS
REPUBLICANS HOLD: 22
DEMOCRATS HOLD::: 14

After all my scribbling and thinking about the races up for grabs this year, I came to the end result of my predictions of 28 seats, with

REPUBLICAN KEEP/GAIN: 16
DEMOCRAT KEEP/GAIN: 13

SEVEN SEATS TOO CLOSE TO CALL IN MY OPINION:
Minnesota (Pawlenty vs. Hatch)
Pennsylvania (Rendell vs. Swann)
Maine (Baldacci vs. Emery)
Ohio (Blackwell vs. Strickland)
Michigan (Granholm vs. DeVos)
Tennessee (Bredesen vs. Bryson)
Alaska (WTF will Murkowski do?)

Sadly, every one of those seats could be won by the democrats, giving them a majority of the Governor's seats. If I had to guess now, Republicans could easily pick up three of those six (Ohio, Pennsylvania and Minnesota). Tennessee is also a possible surprise pickup for the GOP (Ex. Bunning vs. Mongiardo '04)...but at this point, I see Bredesen getting re-election...although it's still too close to call.
In my opinion, the 2006 Gubernatorial Races are too close to call on who will maintain power of the majority of governor's seats come 2007.
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Reaganfan
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« Reply #1 on: April 10, 2006, 07:53:46 pm »
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No replies? Surprise.
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #2 on: April 10, 2006, 08:18:45 pm »
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Quote from: Mike Naso on April 10, 2006, 07:53:46 pm
No replies? Surprise.



Reply. Smiley
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Alcon
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« Reply #3 on: April 10, 2006, 09:48:06 pm »
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Especially this early, I don't see how you cannot consider Oregon, California, Colorado, Iowa, or Michigan to be not too close to call.  I would be interested to hear your logic.
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« Reply #4 on: April 10, 2006, 10:16:38 pm »
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Quote from: Alcon on April 10, 2006, 09:48:06 pm
Especially this early, I don't see how you cannot consider Oregon, California, Colorado, Iowa, or Michigan to be not too close to call.  I would be interested to hear your logic.
It's because Naso's a poop face.
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Gabu
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« Reply #5 on: April 10, 2006, 10:21:43 pm »
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Quote from: Alcon on April 10, 2006, 09:48:06 pm
Especially this early, I don't see how you cannot consider Oregon, California, Colorado, Iowa, or Michigan to be not too close to call.  I would be interested to hear your logic.

Quote from: Mike Naso on April 09, 2006, 11:32:13 am
Michigan (Granholm vs. DeVos)

The rest, though, yeah.
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Reaganfan
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« Reply #6 on: April 11, 2006, 01:07:39 am »
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Quote from: Max Power on April 10, 2006, 10:16:38 pm
Quote from: Alcon on April 10, 2006, 09:48:06 pm
Especially this early, I don't see how you cannot consider Oregon, California, Colorado, Iowa, or Michigan to be not too close to call.  I would be interested to hear your logic.
It's because Naso's a poop face.

Be nice.
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Max Power
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« Reply #7 on: April 11, 2006, 02:59:08 pm »
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Quote from: Mike Naso on April 11, 2006, 01:07:39 am
Quote from: Max Power on April 10, 2006, 10:16:38 pm
Quote from: Alcon on April 10, 2006, 09:48:06 pm
Especially this early, I don't see how you cannot consider Oregon, California, Colorado, Iowa, or Michigan to be not too close to call.  I would be interested to hear your logic.
It's because Naso's a poop face.

Be nice.
Okay.

Despite the fact that his post may reek of lunacy, he does the best he can with the information that he has and the forsight he lacks.

Better? Smiley
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YRABNNRM
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« Reply #8 on: April 11, 2006, 03:01:19 pm »
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Quote from: Max Power on April 11, 2006, 02:59:08 pm
Quote from: Mike Naso on April 11, 2006, 01:07:39 am
Quote from: Max Power on April 10, 2006, 10:16:38 pm
Quote from: Alcon on April 10, 2006, 09:48:06 pm
Especially this early, I don't see how you cannot consider Oregon, California, Colorado, Iowa, or Michigan to be not too close to call.  I would be interested to hear your logic.
It's because Naso's a poop face.

Be nice.
Okay.

Despite the fact that his post may reek of lunacy, he does the best he can with the information that he has and the forsight he lacks.

Better? Smiley

I really liked your prediction thread.



Oh...
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PBrunsel
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« Reply #9 on: April 15, 2006, 12:01:06 pm »
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Naso,

I wouldn't be too confident with Iowa going Republican. Popular Governor Vilsack is for Culver and the Secretary of State has a name known statewide, unlike Nussle.

Nussle also has the backing of an unpopular President. When President Bush came to Des Moines last week the protesters could be seen far and wide. At least 5,000 came out to disrupt his $500 a plate dinner by having a "chicken soup for the needy" publicity stunt.

Iowa will be the race to watch this year in my opinion.
« Last Edit: April 15, 2006, 12:33:59 pm by PBrunsel »Logged

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« Reply #10 on: April 15, 2006, 12:18:15 pm »
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Quote from: PBrunsel on April 15, 2006, 12:01:06 pm
NJaso,

I wouldn't be too confident with Iowa going Republican. Popular GOvernor Vilsack is for Culver and the Secretary of State has a name known statewide, unlike Nussle.

Nussle also has the backing of an unpopular President. When President Bush came to Des Moines last week the protesters could be seen far and wide. At least 5,000 came out to disrupt his $500 a plate dinner by having a "chicken soup for the needy" publicity stunt.

Iowa will be the race to watch this year in my opinion.

Well stated.
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« Reply #11 on: April 15, 2006, 12:51:58 pm »
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Quote from: Mike Naso on April 09, 2006, 11:32:13 am

SEVEN SEATS TOO CLOSE TO CALL IN MY OPINION:
Minnesota (Pawlenty vs. Hatch)
Pennsylvania (Rendell vs. Swann)
Maine (Baldacci vs. Emery)
Ohio (Blackwell vs. Strickland)
Michigan (Granholm vs. DeVos)
Tennessee (Bredesen vs. Bryson)
Alaska (WTF will Murkowski do?)

I'm going to have to disagree. I don't think MN will be that competitive, nor will TN. I think the states that are tossups include IA, MI, ME, WI, CO, and CA. In addition to that, I think PA, OH, AK, OR, and possibly AR will be competitive. But that's just me.

Edit: George Ryan was found guilty, so IL won't be a tossup after all.
« Last Edit: April 17, 2006, 08:22:49 pm by Soaring Eagle »Logged
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ilikeverin
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« Reply #12 on: April 15, 2006, 06:49:25 pm »
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Why does no one thing Minnesota will be that competitive?  Are BRTD and I mute or something? Tongue
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socaldem
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« Reply #13 on: April 17, 2006, 03:32:23 am »
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Quote from: PBrunsel on April 15, 2006, 12:01:06 pm
Naso,

I wouldn't be too confident with Iowa going Republican. Popular Governor Vilsack is for Culver and the Secretary of State has a name known statewide, unlike Nussle.

Nussle also has the backing of an unpopular President. When President Bush came to Des Moines last week the protesters could be seen far and wide. At least 5,000 came out to disrupt his $500 a plate dinner by having a "chicken soup for the needy" publicity stunt.

Iowa will be the race to watch this year in my opinion.

Uh... I thought Vilsak was for Blouin who's trying to challenge Culver in the primary but hasn't really been having much success...
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PBrunsel
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« Reply #14 on: April 17, 2006, 11:11:49 am »
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Quote from: socaldem on April 17, 2006, 03:32:23 am
Quote from: PBrunsel on April 15, 2006, 12:01:06 pm
Naso,

I wouldn't be too confident with Iowa going Republican. Popular Governor Vilsack is for Culver and the Secretary of State has a name known statewide, unlike Nussle.

Nussle also has the backing of an unpopular President. When President Bush came to Des Moines last week the protesters could be seen far and wide. At least 5,000 came out to disrupt his $500 a plate dinner by having a "chicken soup for the needy" publicity stunt.

Iowa will be the race to watch this year in my opinion.

Uh... I thought Vilsak was for Blouin who's trying to challenge Culver in the primary but hasn't really been having much success...

He's realy for both. He has good relations with both and has actualy endorsed both.
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"I know that the Lord is always on the side of the right. But it is my constant anxiety and prayer that I and this nation should be on the Lord's side."
-President Abraham Lincoln, December 1862
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