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| |-+  Election Predictions (Moderator: Joe Republic)
| | |-+  2006 Gubernatorial Predictions
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Latest 2006 Predictions (Highest Scores)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
Alcon (D-WA)MapProfile 11-06 17 D +7 15 (-7) 21 (+7) 0 (0) 0
Miamiu1027 (I-NY)MapProfile 11-06 13 D +8 14 (-8) 22 (+8) 0 (0) 0
boris78 (D-IL)MapProfile 11-06 22 D +7 15 (-7) 21 (+7) 0 (0) 0
Gabu (D-BC)MapProfile 11-07 14 D +8 14 (-8) 22 (+8) 0 (0) 2
bgwah (D-WA)MapProfile 11-07 5 D +8 14 (-8) 22 (+8) 0 (0) 0
jas (I-MWI)MapProfile 11-04 7 D +7 15 (-7) 21 (+7) 0 (0) 0
Ernest (I-SC)MapProfile 11-05 16 D +7 15 (-7) 21 (+7) 0 (0) 0
thepolitic (I-CT)MapProfile 11-06 1 D +7 15 (-7) 21 (+7) 0 (0) 0
nyquil_man (D-AR)MapProfile 11-07 5 D +7 15 (-7) 21 (+7) 0 (0) 0
texaslefty (I-UT)MapProfile 11-03 2 D +7 15 (-7) 21 (+7) 0 (0) 0
Latest 2006 Predictions (Most Recent Entries)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
andymacnoon (I-WA)Map 11-07 1 D +10 12 (-10) 24 (+10) 0 (0) 0
nclib (D-NC)MapProfile 11-07 4 D +6 16 (-6) 20 (+6) 0 (0) 1
Olawakandi (D-IL)MapProfile 11-07 114 D +7 15 (-7) 21 (+7) 0 (0) 0
michaelfh (I-CA)Map 11-07 11 D +8 14 (-8) 22 (+8) 0 (0) 0
db099221 (D-PA)Map 11-07 12 D +7 15 (-7) 21 (+7) 0 (0) 5
Brandon W (R-FL)MapProfile 11-07 7 D +6 16 (-6) 20 (+6) 0 (0) 0
Spl2 (R-PA)Map 11-07 17 D +7 15 (-7) 21 (+7) 0 (0) 0
Cuivienen (I-NJ)MapProfile 11-07 30 D +7 14 (-8) 21 (+7) 1 (+1) 1
polnut (D-AUS)MapProfile 11-07 3 D +7 15 (-7) 21 (+7) 0 (0) 0
skolodji (D-CA)MapProfile 11-07 7 D +8 14 (-8) 22 (+8) 0 (0) 0
Latest 2006 Predictions (Most Recent Comments)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
Mark Warner 08 (G-AUT)
by nini2000 on 2006-11-14 @ 10:03:12
MapProfile 11-07 52 D +7 15 (-7) 21 (+7) 0 (0) 5
Cuivienen (I-NJ)
by Cuivienen on 2006-11-11 @ 20:01:03
MapProfile 11-07 30 D +7 14 (-8) 21 (+7) 1 (+1) 1
nini2000 (I-PA)
by Mark Warner 08 on 2006-11-08 @ 11:02:39
MapProfile 11-07 8 D +6 16 (-6) 20 (+6) 0 (0) 1
nclib (D-NC)
by Mark Warner 08 on 2006-11-08 @ 11:00:41
MapProfile 11-07 4 D +6 16 (-6) 20 (+6) 0 (0) 1
Olawakandi (D-IL)
by RepubforDem on 2006-11-08 @ 04:35:57
MapProfile 11-06 113 D +7 15 (-7) 21 (+7) 0 (0) 8
db099221 (D-PA)
by padfoot714 on 2006-11-07 @ 18:11:28
Map 11-07 12 D +7 15 (-7) 21 (+7) 0 (0) 5
RepubforDem (R-IL)
by db099221 on 2006-11-07 @ 10:48:38
Map 11-07 10 D +7 15 (-7) 21 (+7) 0 (0) 5
Nym90 (D-OR)
by RepubforDem on 2006-11-07 @ 05:11:52
MapProfile 11-07 16 D +9 13 (-9) 23 (+9) 0 (0) 4
Gabu (D-BC)
by padfoot714 on 2006-11-07 @ 03:11:28
MapProfile 11-07 14 D +8 14 (-8) 22 (+8) 0 (0) 2
db099221 (D-PA)
by db099221 on 2006-11-07 @ 00:08:54
Map 11-01 11 D +7 15 (-7) 21 (+7) 0 (0) 15
Latest Discussion Topics
Author Topic: 2006 Gubernatorial Predictions  (Read 20249 times)
Dave Leip
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« on: April 09, 2006, 05:48:11 pm »

The 2006 Gubernatorial Predictions are now available.  Although not completely tested thus far, please feel free to try out the scripts at: 2006 Gubernatorial Predictions.  Please let me know if you find any issues.
Enjoy,
Dave
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« Reply #1 on: April 09, 2006, 05:55:15 pm »
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Hot stuff Dave! Thanks!   ^_^
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« Reply #2 on: April 09, 2006, 06:10:31 pm »
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Wow, this is awesome.

It's exactly as I imagined it could be. Smiley
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« Reply #3 on: April 09, 2006, 06:10:58 pm »
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Very cool, Dave.  Thanks! Smiley

There seems to be to bugs.  Images on the action=insert page are broken.  Also, update comments don't seem to work, or at least I can't find where they are used (that is, it doesn't display the comments for the different versions).

EDIT: Also, even when you update the prediction, the prediction list is not updated.  For instance, I idiotically Vermont as independent because I confused the Gubernatoral and Senatoral races.  I corrected it, but it still shows that I am predicting an independent win.  Version numbers aren't updating either.
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« Reply #4 on: April 09, 2006, 06:31:22 pm »
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It looks like I am the one person unable to post his predictions with this link.  Tongue
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« Reply #5 on: April 09, 2006, 06:32:00 pm »
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It looks like I am the one person unable to post his predictions with this link.  Tongue

What problem are you having?
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« Reply #6 on: April 09, 2006, 06:36:00 pm »
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It looks like I am the one person unable to post his predictions with this link.  Tongue

What problem are you having?

I have already contacted Dave, but I'll tell you too...

You know the page where you are supposed to log-in in order to be able to create a prediction map?  Well, once I logged in, and then clicked on the 'Create My 2006 Gubernatorial User Prediction' link, it kept bringing me back to the original log-in page whenever I clicked on it.  And then I have to go through the whole process over again.  It's frustrating. 
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« Reply #7 on: April 09, 2006, 06:37:27 pm »
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It looks like I am the one person unable to post his predictions with this link.  Tongue

What problem are you having?

I have already contacted Dave, but I'll tell you too...

You know the page where you are supposed to log-in in order to be able to create a prediction map?  Well, once I logged in, and then clicked on the 'Create My 2006 Gubernatorial User Prediction' link, it kept bringing me back to the original log-in page whenever I clicked on it.  And then I have to go through the whole process over again.  It's frustrating. 

Have you tried logging onto the main page, and then copying and pasting the URL into the address bar to get there?
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« Reply #8 on: April 09, 2006, 06:39:46 pm »
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It didn't make any difference. 
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« Reply #9 on: April 09, 2006, 06:43:01 pm »
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It didn't make any difference. 

Try deleting your web cache and cookies and trying again.  It sounds like something is wrong with your cookies.
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« Reply #10 on: April 09, 2006, 07:57:04 pm »
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Good work, Dave.
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« Reply #11 on: April 09, 2006, 08:26:53 pm »
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Excellent!
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #12 on: April 09, 2006, 10:04:14 pm »

Note a couple of changes from the Presidential Election Predictions:
 - inclusion of independent candidates (actually took a lot of work)
 - one version per day (if you already submitted a version on any given day, you can change your entry, but it over-writes the earlier version) - one way to limit "spamming" of the prediction board.
 - added some nice pie charts. 

Will also do something with regard to "pickups". 

Other suggestions are welcome.

Alcon - could you be more specific with "Also, update comments don't seem to work"?  which button / url are you trying to update?  As for the map, I didn't see a version of yours with VT as ind.  Could this be a cached image?  The "broken images" on the insert page are expected - this is the php script saving the images... I don't know why some browsers actually try to show them...

Frodo - did you try the cache suggestion?  Cookies must be enabled for your login to work.  After login, describe exactly what you see?  Does it say "Login Successful" at the top?

Thanks,
Dave

PS, there will be a similar Senatorial version out soon - once the bugs in the Gubernatorial script are squashed.
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #13 on: April 10, 2006, 08:24:53 am »

Dave,

When you make an update, there is a field where you can type in updates and prediction comments for that version.  It is on the page you receive after updating predictions.  You can type stuff in the box, but it shows up nowhere.  It was previously visible to anyone who viewed the prediction page.

The map does update.  However, the counts below it that show the number of holdings by each party does not.  This lists one independent for my prediction, of which there is none.

Hope that is clearer.

Thanks Alcon - this was a problem and is now fixed.  This affected any attempt to modify the first version.  The maps would update, but the actual prediction values and comments content would not.
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #14 on: April 10, 2006, 09:36:59 am »

The icons for the 2006 Gubernatorial Predictions are now under your avatar... for some reason, on this server, I was getting a black background when resampling the image... I seem to have it working back to the transparent background, but I can't explain why...
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« Reply #15 on: April 10, 2006, 01:32:18 pm »
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Wow, Dave!  Thanks a lot!  That's really cool!!!
Not to sound greedy, but more inquisitively, are we going to have a Senate prediction map soon?
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WHY I'M A DEMOCRAT:
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Registered in Mississippi for fantasy politics.  RL resident of Arkansas.  Kentucky avatar for my fav state!
Dave Leip
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« Reply #16 on: April 16, 2006, 12:14:20 pm »

The Gubernatorial Prediction scripts are stable enough that I encourage you to add your thoughts and analysis to the predictions.  (why do you think certain states are going to go the way you pick?, etc.)
- it helps to stimulate the discussion and makes for more interesting browsing.
Thanks,
Dave
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« Reply #17 on: April 18, 2006, 06:08:04 pm »
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Dave, would it be feasible to include all recent comments on the main page, instead of seperating them by version?  Perhaps it could indicate what version was being referenced.  For those of us who upgrade the prediction daily, the comment system is kind of difficult to utilise.  One has to check every single version.
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« Reply #18 on: April 18, 2006, 10:38:21 pm »
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Seeing the predictions made so far, it appears most here are quite confident in saying that Governor Carcieri of Rhode Island will be reelected.  i would like to wholeheartedly disagree.  The ultraliberal state gives him a 52% approval rating and his Republican Party has had so many bumbles and scandals it has enraged the state.  When Rhode Islanders get prepared to vote, their going to notice what party line he sits on and he won't be able to recover.  Does anyone disagree?
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« Reply #19 on: April 18, 2006, 11:03:39 pm »
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Seeing the predictions made so far, it appears most here are quite confident in saying that Governor Carcieri of Rhode Island will be reelected.  i would like to wholeheartedly disagree.  The ultraliberal state gives him a 52% approval rating and his Republican Party has had so many bumbles and scandals it has enraged the state.  When Rhode Islanders get prepared to vote, their going to notice what party line he sits on and he won't be able to recover.  Does anyone disagree?

I don't particularly know a whole lot about the gubernatorial race in Rhode Island, but I've heard so little from there I suppose I assumed that Carcieri wasn't going to get too much serious competition.
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« Reply #20 on: April 18, 2006, 11:12:08 pm »
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Seeing the predictions made so far, it appears most here are quite confident in saying that Governor Carcieri of Rhode Island will be reelected.  i would like to wholeheartedly disagree.  The ultraliberal state gives him a 52% approval rating and his Republican Party has had so many bumbles and scandals it has enraged the state.  When Rhode Islanders get prepared to vote, their going to notice what party line he sits on and he won't be able to recover.  Does anyone disagree?

I do think it is only a lean.  We haven't seen a poll since September, when Lt. Gov. Charles Fogarty was down about 11 points.  I think that Carcieri is in the lead, although he may be in some danger.

Welcome to the forum, by the way.
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« Reply #21 on: April 19, 2006, 08:15:43 pm »
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Dave, the Gubernatoral Predictions site is generating MySQL errors upon attempting to update.
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #22 on: April 19, 2006, 08:36:50 pm »

Do you have the text of the error?  I just did an update and received no error...
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« Reply #23 on: April 19, 2006, 08:45:14 pm »
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Warning: mysql_result(): Unable to jump to row 0 on MySQL result index 9 in /usr/www/users/leip/PRED/GOVERNOR/2006/pred.php on line 2547

Warning: mysql_result(): Unable to jump to row 0 on MySQL result index 9 in /usr/www/users/leip/PRED/GOVERNOR/2006/pred.php on line 2548

Warning: mysql_result(): Unable to jump to row 0 on MySQL result index 9 in /usr/www/users/leip/PRED/GOVERNOR/2006/pred.php on line 2549

These same three errors are repeated about ten times.
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #24 on: April 19, 2006, 09:28:33 pm »

Thanks Alcon,
Many apologies: I introduced an insidious bug when I created the Senate version...
All predictions made today from about 10am until now deleted the state information (the compiled info is still there, but the data for wins, confidence, percentage, etc. for each state is missing).  Please, rebuild your prediction from today and resubmit... this will correct the problem.
Sorry for the inconvenience.
Dave
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