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Atlas Forum
Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
Election Predictions
(Moderator:
Joe Republic
)
2006 Senate Predictions
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Latest 2006 Predictions
(Highest Scores)
User
Map
Prof
Date
Ver.
Pickup
Rep
Dem
Ind
#C
jfern
(
D-CA
)
11-06
7
D +5
9 (-6)
22 (
+5
)
2 (
+1
)
0
Ernest
(
I-SC
)
11-05
17
D +5
9 (-6)
22 (
+5
)
2 (
+1
)
1
CultureKing
(
D-WA
)
11-03
9
D +5
9 (-6)
22 (
+5
)
2 (
+1
)
0
byelf2007
(
D-WA
)
11-04
27
D +5
9 (-6)
22 (
+5
)
2 (
+1
)
0
Nym90
(
D-OR
)
11-07
18
D +5
9 (-6)
22 (
+5
)
2 (
+1
)
0
nyquil_man
(
D-AR
)
11-07
5
D +5
9 (-6)
22 (
+5
)
2 (
+1
)
0
siriusalphacma
(
G-CA
)
11-05
9
D +5
9 (-6)
22 (
+5
)
2 (
+1
)
0
bgwah
(
D-WA
)
11-06
4
D +5
9 (-6)
22 (
+5
)
2 (
+1
)
0
Gabu
(
D-BC
)
11-07
7
D +4
10 (-5)
21 (
+4
)
2 (
+1
)
0
mgrossbe
(
D-IN
)
10-29
11
D +4
10 (-5)
21 (
+4
)
2 (
+1
)
21
Latest 2006 Predictions
(Most Recent Entries)
User
Map
Prof
Date
Ver.
Pickup
Rep
Dem
Ind
#C
andymacnoon
(
I-WA
)
11-07
1
D +5
9 (-6)
22 (
+5
)
2 (
+1
)
0
nclib
(
D-NC
)
11-07
3
D +3
11 (-4)
20 (
+3
)
2 (
+1
)
0
Olawakandi
(
D-IL
)
11-07
117
D +5
9 (-6)
22 (
+5
)
2 (
+1
)
0
michaelfh
(
I-CA
)
11-07
16
D +5
9 (-6)
22 (
+5
)
2 (
+1
)
0
loscha2
(
O-CHE
)
11-07
1
D +5
10 (-5)
22 (
+5
)
1 (0)
0
Brandon W
(
R-FL
)
11-07
17
D +2
12 (-3)
19 (
+2
)
2 (
+1
)
0
db099221
(
D-PA
)
11-07
11
D +5
9 (-6)
22 (
+5
)
2 (
+1
)
8
dca5347
(
D-NC
)
11-07
1
D +5
10 (-5)
22 (
+5
)
1 (0)
3
joeesther
(
R-NC
)
11-07
3
D +2
12 (-3)
19 (
+2
)
2 (
+1
)
0
opebo
(
D-MO
)
11-07
4
D +5
9 (-6)
22 (
+5
)
2 (
+1
)
0
Latest 2006 Predictions
(Most Recent Comments)
User
Map
Prof
Date
Ver.
Pickup
Rep
Dem
Ind
#C
jamespol
(
I-MO
)
by gporter on 2007-07-17 @ 13:23:02
09-22
1
D +2
12 (-3)
19 (
+2
)
2 (
+1
)
3
polpro
(
R-NV
)
by Olawakandi on 2007-02-11 @ 12:00:10
10-01
3
I +1
14 (-1)
17 (0)
2 (
+1
)
64
tancredo08
(
R-NY
)
by Olawakandi on 2006-12-24 @ 19:06:57
09-29
4
R +12
27 (
+12
)
5 (-12)
1 (0)
31
padfoot714
(
D-OH
)
by padfoot714 on 2006-12-05 @ 06:06:50
11-05
13
D +5
9 (-6)
22 (
+5
)
2 (
+1
)
1
meejer
(
R-NC
)
by Olawakandi on 2006-12-04 @ 17:04:15
11-04
13
Even
13 (-2)
18 (
+1
)
2 (
+1
)
25
Mark Warner 08
(
D-AUT
)
by Olawakandi on 2006-11-26 @ 18:03:24
11-07
70
D +5
9 (-6)
22 (
+5
)
2 (
+1
)
8
dgentile
(
G-NY
)
by dgentile on 2006-11-09 @ 19:25:45
08-22
3
D +8
7 (-8)
25 (
+8
)
1 (0)
25
Ernest
(
I-SC
)
by Aguagon on 2006-11-09 @ 18:44:44
11-05
17
D +5
9 (-6)
22 (
+5
)
2 (
+1
)
1
gumball machine
(
L-CA
)
by gumball machine on 2006-11-08 @ 20:15:47
11-06
39
D +4
10 (-5)
21 (
+4
)
2 (
+1
)
1
db099221
(
D-PA
)
by db099221 on 2006-11-08 @ 15:45:23
11-07
11
D +5
9 (-6)
22 (
+5
)
2 (
+1
)
8
Latest Discussion Topics
Author
Topic: 2006 Senate Predictions (Read 11600 times)
Dave Leip
leip
Administrator
YaBB God
Posts: 2093
2006 Senate Predictions
«
on:
April 18, 2006, 10:26:02 am »
The
2006 Senate Predictions
are now open! Please let me know whether you find any issues. Also, please send feedback on feature-set!
Thanks,
Dave
Logged
Gabu
YaBB God
Posts: 28774
Political Matrix
E: -4.32, S: -6.52
Re: 2006 Senate Predictions
«
Reply #1 on:
April 18, 2006, 08:10:47 pm »
Quote from: Dave Leip on April 18, 2006, 10:26:02 am
The
2006 Senate Predictions
are now open! Please let me know whether you find any issues. Also, please send feedback on feature-set!
Thanks,
Dave
Logged
"To me, 'underground' sounds like subway trains. That's the only sound I associate with 'underground'." - Everett
Yates
YaBB God
Posts: 1932
Political Matrix
E: -0.38, S: 1.54
Re: 2006 Senate Predictions
«
Reply #2 on:
April 18, 2006, 09:07:01 pm »
Thank you, Mr. Leip.
Logged
Former Vice President of Atlasia
Author, America: 2000-2016
http://www.uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=50575.360
ian
YaBB God
Posts: 2511
Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: -1.39
Re: 2006 Senate Predictions
«
Reply #3 on:
April 18, 2006, 11:49:39 pm »
OMG. I am so excited right now.
Logged
WHY I'M A DEMOCRAT:
"People who wear Christ on their sleeves and vote against helping people are the biggest hypocrites." - Charlie Melancon, in response to the voting down of the Melancon Amendment to raise levee funding.
For my positions on political issues go to:
http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=18844.msg405414#msg405414
Registered in Mississippi for fantasy politics. RL resident of Arkansas. Kentucky avatar for my fav state!
Vasall des Midas
Lewis Trondheim
YaBB God
Posts: 56586
Re: 2006 Senate Predictions
«
Reply #4 on:
April 19, 2006, 08:39:47 am »
Quote from: Senator Gabu on April 18, 2006, 08:10:47 pm
Logged
Quote from: True Federalist on April 28, 2013, 01:25:07 am
Liberate yourself from Free Will
Kitty's beardgrowing advice to Mitty.
Vasall des Midas
Lewis Trondheim
YaBB God
Posts: 56586
Re: 2006 Senate Predictions
«
Reply #5 on:
April 19, 2006, 08:42:45 am »
One minor hitch... I clicked your link, was asked to login, successfully logged in and was redirected to a page that didn't link to Senate predictions (it did to Governor predictions, and to 2004, and...) I was still able to make a prediction though, I just had to return to the forum and click the link again.
Logged
Quote from: True Federalist on April 28, 2013, 01:25:07 am
Liberate yourself from Free Will
Kitty's beardgrowing advice to Mitty.
Dave Leip
leip
Administrator
YaBB God
Posts: 2093
Re: 2006 Senate Predictions
«
Reply #6 on:
April 19, 2006, 08:50:39 am »
Thanks - That link has been added.
Logged
Gustaf
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 26101
Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70
Re: 2006 Senate Predictions
«
Reply #7 on:
April 19, 2006, 08:54:50 am »
Quote from: Lefty Trondheim on April 19, 2006, 08:42:45 am
One minor hitch... I clicked your link, was asked to login, successfully logged in and was redirected to a page that didn't link to Senate predictions (it did to Governor predictions, and to 2004, and...) I was still able to make a prediction though, I just had to return to the forum and click the link again.
I had the same problem. But it worked out for me too. I don't get one thing about the polls though. Some states seem to be listed as leans even though they have only one poll. And there are too few states overall I think?
Logged
Quote from: The Pauper of the Surf and the Jester of Tortuga on July 14, 2011, 01:20:59 am
This place really has become a cesspool of degenerate whores...
Economic score: +0.9
Social score: -2.61
In MN for fantasy stuff, member of the most recently dissolved centrist party.
Ben.
Ben
YaBB God
Posts: 4223
Re: 2006 Senate Predictions
«
Reply #8 on:
April 19, 2006, 11:44:43 am »
Quote from: Lefty Trondheim on April 19, 2006, 08:39:47 am
Quote from: Senator Gabu on April 18, 2006, 08:10:47 pm
I love it! Now I think about it I do need a new suite!
Logged
.Britain’s Mayor.
DarthKosh
YaBB God
Posts: 902
Re: 2006 Senate Predictions
«
Reply #9 on:
April 19, 2006, 04:26:11 pm »
I wonder if there will be a house version.
Logged
Smash255
YaBB God
Posts: 13917
Re: 2006 Senate Predictions
«
Reply #10 on:
April 20, 2006, 11:41:16 pm »
Quote from: Gustaf on April 19, 2006, 08:54:50 am
Quote from: Lefty Trondheim on April 19, 2006, 08:42:45 am
One minor hitch... I clicked your link, was asked to login, successfully logged in and was redirected to a page that didn't link to Senate predictions (it did to Governor predictions, and to 2004, and...) I was still able to make a prediction though, I just had to return to the forum and click the link again.
I had the same problem. But it worked out for me too. I don't get one thing about the polls though. Some states seem to be listed as leans even though they have only one poll. And there are too few states overall I think?
I'm pretty sure the default settings are based off the 2000 race. So a race which is expected to be a blowout this year may only be listed as a tossup or lean because it was fairly close in 2000. And a race which is expected to be real close this year may be listed as a lean or even strong depending in the 2000 results.
Logged
Gabu
YaBB God
Posts: 28774
Political Matrix
E: -4.32, S: -6.52
Re: 2006 Senate Predictions
«
Reply #11 on:
April 21, 2006, 12:10:19 am »
Quote from: DarthKosh on April 19, 2006, 04:26:11 pm
I wonder if there will be a house version.
That would probably be much more difficult, as Dave wouldn't be able to easily use the mapmaking functionality on the site (given that you couldn't simply shade a state a single percentage).
Plus, there are 435 races there. I don't think many people have the time to make 435 predictions.
Logged
"To me, 'underground' sounds like subway trains. That's the only sound I associate with 'underground'." - Everett
jerusalemcar5
YaBB God
Posts: 2768
Political Matrix
E: -4.26, S: -8.35
Re: 2006 Senate Predictions
«
Reply #12 on:
August 10, 2006, 06:34:38 pm »
Quote from: Gabu on April 21, 2006, 12:10:19 am
Quote from: DarthKosh on April 19, 2006, 04:26:11 pm
I wonder if there will be a house version.
That would probably be much more difficult, as Dave wouldn't be able to easily use the mapmaking functionality on the site (given that you couldn't simply shade a state a single percentage).
Plus, there are 435 races there. I don't think many people have the time to make 435 predictions.
The vast majority of those 435 are not seriously contested. I wonder if dave could set up maybe a 50 seat one.
Logged
Dave Leip
leip
Administrator
YaBB God
Posts: 2093
Re: 2006 Senate Predictions
«
Reply #13 on:
November 08, 2006, 11:03:41 pm »
The scores have been tabulated for the 2006 Senatorial Predictions. These are preliminary ans subject to change. No perfect scores - Top overall to thepolitic (I-CT) and snowguy716 (D-MN) each with a score of 57.
Logged
True Federalist
Ernest
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 21493
Re: 2006 Senate Predictions
«
Reply #14 on:
November 09, 2006, 12:00:21 am »
Something's wrong with your score calaculator: It's showing my
final prediction
as having a score of 0. I'm not certain about the percentages but I got all 33 states correct as to who won. It appears that only people who made a single prediction got their scores tabulated.
«
Last Edit: November 09, 2006, 02:07:34 am by Sen. Ernest
»
Logged
“Always it is easier to pay homage to prophets than to heed the direction of their vision.”
Clinton Lee Scott
Read
Fat Man on a Diet
, an alternate history in which the history of atomic weapons does not go as it did in our timeline.
Sibboleth
Realpolitik
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 53015
Re: 2006 Senate Predictions
«
Reply #15 on:
November 09, 2006, 04:20:50 pm »
If I'd been more optimistic over Virginia, I'd have got all winners right. Sigh.
Logged
'Gentlemen, a desert. A place of savage reference for the good people of Ohio. A place to fear and love. A blasted region. Something to remind us what we hewed out of. A place without malls. An Other for Ohio's Self. Cacti and scorpions and the sun bearing down. Desolation. A place for people to wander alone. To reflect. Away from everything. Gentlemen, a desert.'
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