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|-+  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  Election Predictions (Moderator: Joe Republic)
| | |-+  2006 Senate Predictions
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Latest 2006 Predictions (Highest Scores)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
jfern (D-CA)MapProfile 11-06 7 D +5 9 (-6) 22 (+5) 2 (+1) 0
Ernest (I-SC)MapProfile 11-05 17 D +5 9 (-6) 22 (+5) 2 (+1) 1
CultureKing (D-WA)MapProfile 11-03 9 D +5 9 (-6) 22 (+5) 2 (+1) 0
byelf2007 (D-WA)MapProfile 11-04 27 D +5 9 (-6) 22 (+5) 2 (+1) 0
Nym90 (D-OR)MapProfile 11-07 18 D +5 9 (-6) 22 (+5) 2 (+1) 0
nyquil_man (D-AR)MapProfile 11-07 5 D +5 9 (-6) 22 (+5) 2 (+1) 0
siriusalphacma (G-CA)Map 11-05 9 D +5 9 (-6) 22 (+5) 2 (+1) 0
bgwah (D-WA)MapProfile 11-06 4 D +5 9 (-6) 22 (+5) 2 (+1) 0
Gabu (D-BC)MapProfile 11-07 7 D +4 10 (-5) 21 (+4) 2 (+1) 0
mgrossbe (D-IN)MapProfile 10-29 11 D +4 10 (-5) 21 (+4) 2 (+1) 21
Latest 2006 Predictions (Most Recent Entries)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
andymacnoon (I-WA)Map 11-07 1 D +5 9 (-6) 22 (+5) 2 (+1) 0
nclib (D-NC)MapProfile 11-07 3 D +3 11 (-4) 20 (+3) 2 (+1) 0
Olawakandi (D-IL)MapProfile 11-07 117 D +5 9 (-6) 22 (+5) 2 (+1) 0
michaelfh (I-CA)Map 11-07 16 D +5 9 (-6) 22 (+5) 2 (+1) 0
loscha2 (O-CHE)Map 11-07 1 D +5 10 (-5) 22 (+5) 1 (0) 0
Brandon W (R-FL)MapProfile 11-07 17 D +2 12 (-3) 19 (+2) 2 (+1) 0
db099221 (D-PA)Map 11-07 11 D +5 9 (-6) 22 (+5) 2 (+1) 8
dca5347 (D-NC)MapProfile 11-07 1 D +5 10 (-5) 22 (+5) 1 (0) 3
joeesther (R-NC)Map 11-07 3 D +2 12 (-3) 19 (+2) 2 (+1) 0
opebo (D-MO)MapProfile 11-07 4 D +5 9 (-6) 22 (+5) 2 (+1) 0
Latest 2006 Predictions (Most Recent Comments)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
jamespol (I-MO)
by gporter on 2007-07-17 @ 13:23:02
MapProfile 09-22 1 D +2 12 (-3) 19 (+2) 2 (+1) 3
polpro (R-NV)
by Olawakandi on 2007-02-11 @ 12:00:10
MapProfile 10-01 3 I +1 14 (-1) 17 (0) 2 (+1) 64
tancredo08 (R-NY)
by Olawakandi on 2006-12-24 @ 19:06:57
MapProfile 09-29 4 R +12 27 (+12) 5 (-12) 1 (0) 31
padfoot714 (D-OH)
by padfoot714 on 2006-12-05 @ 06:06:50
MapProfile 11-05 13 D +5 9 (-6) 22 (+5) 2 (+1) 1
meejer (R-NC)
by Olawakandi on 2006-12-04 @ 17:04:15
Map 11-04 13 Even 13 (-2) 18 (+1) 2 (+1) 25
Mark Warner 08 (G-AUT)
by Olawakandi on 2006-11-26 @ 18:03:24
MapProfile 11-07 70 D +5 9 (-6) 22 (+5) 2 (+1) 8
dgentile (G-NY)
by dgentile on 2006-11-09 @ 19:25:45
MapProfile 08-22 3 D +8 7 (-8) 25 (+8) 1 (0) 25
Ernest (I-SC)
by Aguagon on 2006-11-09 @ 18:44:44
MapProfile 11-05 17 D +5 9 (-6) 22 (+5) 2 (+1) 1
gumball machine (L-CA)
by gumball machine on 2006-11-08 @ 20:15:47
MapProfile 11-06 39 D +4 10 (-5) 21 (+4) 2 (+1) 1
db099221 (D-PA)
by db099221 on 2006-11-08 @ 15:45:23
Map 11-07 11 D +5 9 (-6) 22 (+5) 2 (+1) 8
Latest Discussion Topics
Author Topic: 2006 Senate Predictions  (Read 12142 times)
Dave Leip
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« on: April 18, 2006, 10:26:02 am »

The 2006 Senate Predictions are now open!  Please let me know whether you find any issues.  Also, please send feedback on feature-set!
Thanks,
Dave
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Gabu
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« Reply #1 on: April 18, 2006, 08:10:47 pm »
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The 2006 Senate Predictions are now open!  Please let me know whether you find any issues.  Also, please send feedback on feature-set!
Thanks,
Dave

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"To me, 'underground' sounds like subway trains.  That's the only sound I associate with 'underground'." - Everett
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« Reply #2 on: April 18, 2006, 09:07:01 pm »
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Thank you, Mr. Leip.
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Former Vice President of Atlasia
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« Reply #3 on: April 18, 2006, 11:49:39 pm »
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OMG.  I am so excited right now.
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WHY I'M A DEMOCRAT:
"People who wear Christ on their sleeves and vote against helping people are the biggest hypocrites." - Charlie Melancon, in response to the voting down of the Melancon Amendment to raise levee funding.

For my positions on political issues go to:
http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=18844.msg405414#msg405414

Registered in Mississippi for fantasy politics.  RL resident of Arkansas.  Kentucky avatar for my fav state!
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Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #4 on: April 19, 2006, 08:39:47 am »
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I may conceivably reconsider.

Knowing me it's more likely than not.
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Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #5 on: April 19, 2006, 08:42:45 am »
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One minor hitch... I clicked your link, was asked to login, successfully logged in and was redirected to a page that didn't link to Senate predictions (it did to Governor predictions, and to 2004, and...) I was still able to make a prediction though, I just had to return to the forum and click the link again.
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I may conceivably reconsider.

Knowing me it's more likely than not.
Dave Leip
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« Reply #6 on: April 19, 2006, 08:50:39 am »

Thanks - That link has been added.
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Gustaf
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« Reply #7 on: April 19, 2006, 08:54:50 am »
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One minor hitch... I clicked your link, was asked to login, successfully logged in and was redirected to a page that didn't link to Senate predictions (it did to Governor predictions, and to 2004, and...) I was still able to make a prediction though, I just had to return to the forum and click the link again.

I had the same problem. But it worked out for me too. I don't get one thing about the polls though. Some states seem to be listed as leans even though they have only one poll. And there are too few states overall I think?
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This place really has become a cesspool of degenerate whores...

Economic score: +0.9
Social score: -2.61

In MN for fantasy stuff, member of the most recently dissolved centrist party.
Ben.
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« Reply #8 on: April 19, 2006, 11:44:43 am »
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I love it! Now I think about it I do need a new suite!
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« Reply #9 on: April 19, 2006, 04:26:11 pm »
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I wonder if there will be a house version.
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Smash255
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« Reply #10 on: April 20, 2006, 11:41:16 pm »
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One minor hitch... I clicked your link, was asked to login, successfully logged in and was redirected to a page that didn't link to Senate predictions (it did to Governor predictions, and to 2004, and...) I was still able to make a prediction though, I just had to return to the forum and click the link again.

I had the same problem. But it worked out for me too. I don't get one thing about the polls though. Some states seem to be listed as leans even though they have only one poll. And there are too few states overall I think?

I'm pretty sure the default settings are based off the 2000 race.  So a race which is expected to be a blowout this year may only be listed as a tossup or lean because it was fairly close in 2000.  And a race which is expected to be real close this year may be listed as a lean or even strong depending in the 2000 results.
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Gabu
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« Reply #11 on: April 21, 2006, 12:10:19 am »
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I wonder if there will be a house version.

That would probably be much more difficult, as Dave wouldn't be able to easily use the mapmaking functionality on the site (given that you couldn't simply shade a state a single percentage).

Plus, there are 435 races there.  I don't think many people have the time to make 435 predictions.
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"To me, 'underground' sounds like subway trains.  That's the only sound I associate with 'underground'." - Everett
jerusalemcar5
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« Reply #12 on: August 10, 2006, 06:34:38 pm »
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I wonder if there will be a house version.

That would probably be much more difficult, as Dave wouldn't be able to easily use the mapmaking functionality on the site (given that you couldn't simply shade a state a single percentage).

Plus, there are 435 races there.  I don't think many people have the time to make 435 predictions.

The vast majority of those 435 are not seriously contested.  I wonder if dave could set up maybe a 50 seat one.
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #13 on: November 08, 2006, 11:03:41 pm »

The scores have been tabulated for the 2006 Senatorial Predictions.  These are preliminary ans subject to change.  No perfect scores - Top overall to thepolitic (I-CT) and snowguy716 (D-MN) each with a score of 57.
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True Federalist
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« Reply #14 on: November 09, 2006, 12:00:21 am »
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Something's wrong with your score calaculator: It's showing my final prediction as having a score of 0.  I'm not certain about the percentages but I got all 33 states correct as to who won.  It appears that only people who made a single prediction got their scores tabulated.
« Last Edit: November 09, 2006, 02:07:34 am by Sen. Ernest »Logged

Daily Reflections on the Revised Common Lectionary

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« Reply #15 on: November 09, 2006, 04:20:50 pm »
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If I'd been more optimistic over Virginia, I'd have got all winners right. Sigh.
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Richard Hoggart 1918-2014
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