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+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  Election Predictions (Moderator: Joe Republic)
| | |-+  2006 Senate Predictions
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Latest 2006 Predictions (Highest Scores)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
jfern (D-CA)MapProfile 11-06 7 D +5 9 (-6) 22 (+5) 2 (+1) 0
Ernest (I-SC)MapProfile 11-05 17 D +5 9 (-6) 22 (+5) 2 (+1) 1
CultureKing (D-WA)MapProfile 11-03 9 D +5 9 (-6) 22 (+5) 2 (+1) 0
byelf2007 (D-WA)MapProfile 11-04 27 D +5 9 (-6) 22 (+5) 2 (+1) 0
Nym90 (D-OR)MapProfile 11-07 18 D +5 9 (-6) 22 (+5) 2 (+1) 0
nyquil_man (D-AR)MapProfile 11-07 5 D +5 9 (-6) 22 (+5) 2 (+1) 0
siriusalphacma (G-CA)Map 11-05 9 D +5 9 (-6) 22 (+5) 2 (+1) 0
bgwah (D-WA)MapProfile 11-06 4 D +5 9 (-6) 22 (+5) 2 (+1) 0
Gabu (D-BC)MapProfile 11-07 7 D +4 10 (-5) 21 (+4) 2 (+1) 0
mgrossbe (D-IN)MapProfile 10-29 11 D +4 10 (-5) 21 (+4) 2 (+1) 21
Latest 2006 Predictions (Most Recent Entries)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
andymacnoon (I-WA)Map 11-07 1 D +5 9 (-6) 22 (+5) 2 (+1) 0
nclib (D-NC)MapProfile 11-07 3 D +3 11 (-4) 20 (+3) 2 (+1) 0
Olawakandi (D-IL)MapProfile 11-07 117 D +5 9 (-6) 22 (+5) 2 (+1) 0
michaelfh (I-CA)Map 11-07 16 D +5 9 (-6) 22 (+5) 2 (+1) 0
loscha2 (O-CHE)Map 11-07 1 D +5 10 (-5) 22 (+5) 1 (0) 0
Brandon W (R-FL)MapProfile 11-07 17 D +2 12 (-3) 19 (+2) 2 (+1) 0
db099221 (D-PA)Map 11-07 11 D +5 9 (-6) 22 (+5) 2 (+1) 8
dca5347 (D-NC)MapProfile 11-07 1 D +5 10 (-5) 22 (+5) 1 (0) 3
joeesther (R-NC)Map 11-07 3 D +2 12 (-3) 19 (+2) 2 (+1) 0
opebo (D-MO)MapProfile 11-07 4 D +5 9 (-6) 22 (+5) 2 (+1) 0
Latest 2006 Predictions (Most Recent Comments)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
jamespol (I-MO)
by gporter on 2007-07-17 @ 13:23:02
MapProfile 09-22 1 D +2 12 (-3) 19 (+2) 2 (+1) 3
polpro (R-NV)
by Olawakandi on 2007-02-11 @ 12:00:10
MapProfile 10-01 3 I +1 14 (-1) 17 (0) 2 (+1) 64
tancredo08 (R-NY)
by Olawakandi on 2006-12-24 @ 19:06:57
MapProfile 09-29 4 R +12 27 (+12) 5 (-12) 1 (0) 31
padfoot714 (D-OH)
by padfoot714 on 2006-12-05 @ 06:06:50
MapProfile 11-05 13 D +5 9 (-6) 22 (+5) 2 (+1) 1
meejer (R-NC)
by Olawakandi on 2006-12-04 @ 17:04:15
Map 11-04 13 Even 13 (-2) 18 (+1) 2 (+1) 25
Mark Warner 08 (G-AUT)
by Olawakandi on 2006-11-26 @ 18:03:24
MapProfile 11-07 70 D +5 9 (-6) 22 (+5) 2 (+1) 8
dgentile (G-NY)
by dgentile on 2006-11-09 @ 19:25:45
MapProfile 08-22 3 D +8 7 (-8) 25 (+8) 1 (0) 25
Ernest (I-SC)
by Aguagon on 2006-11-09 @ 18:44:44
MapProfile 11-05 17 D +5 9 (-6) 22 (+5) 2 (+1) 1
gumball machine (L-CA)
by gumball machine on 2006-11-08 @ 20:15:47
MapProfile 11-06 39 D +4 10 (-5) 21 (+4) 2 (+1) 1
db099221 (D-PA)
by db099221 on 2006-11-08 @ 15:45:23
Map 11-07 11 D +5 9 (-6) 22 (+5) 2 (+1) 8
Latest Discussion Topics
Author Topic: 2006 Senate Predictions  (Read 12516 times)
Dave Leip
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« on: April 18, 2006, 10:26:02 am »

The 2006 Senate Predictions are now open!  Please let me know whether you find any issues.  Also, please send feedback on feature-set!
Thanks,
Dave
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Gabu
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E: -4.32, S: -6.52

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« Reply #1 on: April 18, 2006, 08:10:47 pm »
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The 2006 Senate Predictions are now open!  Please let me know whether you find any issues.  Also, please send feedback on feature-set!
Thanks,
Dave

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"To me, 'underground' sounds like subway trains.  That's the only sound I associate with 'underground'." - Everett
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« Reply #2 on: April 18, 2006, 09:07:01 pm »
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Thank you, Mr. Leip.
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Former Vice President of Atlasia
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ian
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« Reply #3 on: April 18, 2006, 11:49:39 pm »
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OMG.  I am so excited right now.
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« Reply #4 on: April 19, 2006, 08:39:47 am »
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Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #5 on: April 19, 2006, 08:42:45 am »
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One minor hitch... I clicked your link, was asked to login, successfully logged in and was redirected to a page that didn't link to Senate predictions (it did to Governor predictions, and to 2004, and...) I was still able to make a prediction though, I just had to return to the forum and click the link again.
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"The secret to having a rewarding work-life balance is to have no life. Then it's easy to keep things balanced by doing no work." Wally



"Our party do not have any ideology... Our main aim is to grab power ... Every one is doing so but I say it openly." Keshav Dev Maurya
Dave Leip
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« Reply #6 on: April 19, 2006, 08:50:39 am »

Thanks - That link has been added.
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Gustaf
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« Reply #7 on: April 19, 2006, 08:54:50 am »
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One minor hitch... I clicked your link, was asked to login, successfully logged in and was redirected to a page that didn't link to Senate predictions (it did to Governor predictions, and to 2004, and...) I was still able to make a prediction though, I just had to return to the forum and click the link again.

I had the same problem. But it worked out for me too. I don't get one thing about the polls though. Some states seem to be listed as leans even though they have only one poll. And there are too few states overall I think?
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This place really has become a cesspool of degenerate whores...

Economic score: +0.9
Social score: -2.61

In MN for fantasy stuff, member of the most recently dissolved centrist party.
Ben.
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« Reply #8 on: April 19, 2006, 11:44:43 am »
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I love it! Now I think about it I do need a new suite!
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« Reply #9 on: April 19, 2006, 04:26:11 pm »
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I wonder if there will be a house version.
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Smash255
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« Reply #10 on: April 20, 2006, 11:41:16 pm »
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One minor hitch... I clicked your link, was asked to login, successfully logged in and was redirected to a page that didn't link to Senate predictions (it did to Governor predictions, and to 2004, and...) I was still able to make a prediction though, I just had to return to the forum and click the link again.

I had the same problem. But it worked out for me too. I don't get one thing about the polls though. Some states seem to be listed as leans even though they have only one poll. And there are too few states overall I think?

I'm pretty sure the default settings are based off the 2000 race.  So a race which is expected to be a blowout this year may only be listed as a tossup or lean because it was fairly close in 2000.  And a race which is expected to be real close this year may be listed as a lean or even strong depending in the 2000 results.
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Gabu
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« Reply #11 on: April 21, 2006, 12:10:19 am »
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I wonder if there will be a house version.

That would probably be much more difficult, as Dave wouldn't be able to easily use the mapmaking functionality on the site (given that you couldn't simply shade a state a single percentage).

Plus, there are 435 races there.  I don't think many people have the time to make 435 predictions.
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"To me, 'underground' sounds like subway trains.  That's the only sound I associate with 'underground'." - Everett
jerusalemcar5
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E: -4.26, S: -8.35

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« Reply #12 on: August 10, 2006, 06:34:38 pm »
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I wonder if there will be a house version.

That would probably be much more difficult, as Dave wouldn't be able to easily use the mapmaking functionality on the site (given that you couldn't simply shade a state a single percentage).

Plus, there are 435 races there.  I don't think many people have the time to make 435 predictions.

The vast majority of those 435 are not seriously contested.  I wonder if dave could set up maybe a 50 seat one.
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #13 on: November 08, 2006, 11:03:41 pm »

The scores have been tabulated for the 2006 Senatorial Predictions.  These are preliminary ans subject to change.  No perfect scores - Top overall to thepolitic (I-CT) and snowguy716 (D-MN) each with a score of 57.
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True Federalist
Ernest
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« Reply #14 on: November 09, 2006, 12:00:21 am »
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Something's wrong with your score calaculator: It's showing my final prediction as having a score of 0.  I'm not certain about the percentages but I got all 33 states correct as to who won.  It appears that only people who made a single prediction got their scores tabulated.
« Last Edit: November 09, 2006, 02:07:34 am by Sen. Ernest »Logged

My ballot:
Haley(R) Gov.
Sellers(D) Lt. Gov.
Hammond(R) Sec. of State
Diggs(D) Att. Gen.
Herbert(D) Comptroller Gen.
Spearman(R) Supt. of Education
DeFelice(American) Commissioner of Agriculture
Hutto(D/Working Families) US Sen (full)
Scott(R) US Sen (special)
Geddings(Labor) US House SC-2
Quinn(R) SC House District 69
TBD: Lex 1 School Board
Yes: Am. 1 (allow charity raffles)
No: Am. 2 (end election of the Adj. General)
No: Local Sales Tax
Yes: Temp Beer/Wine Permits
Sibboleth
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« Reply #15 on: November 09, 2006, 04:20:50 pm »
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If I'd been more optimistic over Virginia, I'd have got all winners right. Sigh.
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"I have become entangled in my own data, and my conclusion stands in direct contradiction to the initial idea from which I started. Proceeding from unlimited freedom, I end with unlimited despotism. I will add, however, that there can be no solution of the social formula except mine."
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