My Prediction
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Author Topic: My Prediction  (Read 2601 times)
© tweed
Miamiu1027
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« on: May 31, 2004, 10:25:55 AM »

Here it is:
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #1 on: May 31, 2004, 10:27:25 AM »

How about "overcautious"? Just one state swinging either way!
Of the above, realistic.
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© tweed
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #2 on: May 31, 2004, 10:28:24 AM »

How about "overcautious"? Just one state swinging either way!
Of the above, realistic.

No...

NH and OH to Kerry, NM to Bush.
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classical liberal
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« Reply #3 on: May 31, 2004, 10:44:41 AM »

The existance of KC requires the GOP total in KS to be under 60%.  NM, IA, NV, VA, and WV will be under 50% for both candidates regardless of who wins them.  Bush won't get over 60% in KY, probably not in AK, ND, SD, MS, or AL either.  The existance of SLC keeps Bush's total in UT under 70%.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #4 on: May 31, 2004, 10:46:54 AM »

Methinks that the 60% for Bush in KY is to wind bandit up...
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KEmperor
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« Reply #5 on: May 31, 2004, 10:58:23 AM »

I think its a valid possibility.
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The Vorlon
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« Reply #6 on: May 31, 2004, 10:58:36 AM »
« Edited: May 31, 2004, 11:01:06 AM by The Vorlon »

Optimistic/Pessimistic from whose perspective?

For the purposes of this exercise am I supporting Bush or Kerry?

Or is this a test to try to "push the leaners" to declaring a party affiliation?

Considering we disagree on just 2 states I'll give your prediction a 96% (realistic) - you only have two states wrong. Cheesy

No bonus points for getting DC called right.
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WalterMitty
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« Reply #7 on: May 31, 2004, 10:59:45 AM »

tweed, in order for that prediction to be accurate, you must push oregon into the blue.
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The Vorlon
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« Reply #8 on: May 31, 2004, 11:04:52 AM »

tweed, in order for that prediction to be accurate, you must push oregon into the blue.

Or Iowa - also 7 EVS
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #9 on: May 31, 2004, 11:09:08 AM »

How about "overcautious"? Just one state swinging either way!
Of the above, realistic.

No...

NH and OH to Kerry, NM to Bush.
Oops (hides head in the sand)
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WalterMitty
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« Reply #10 on: May 31, 2004, 11:10:17 AM »

i think bush has a much better shot in oregon than iowa.
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The Vorlon
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« Reply #11 on: May 31, 2004, 11:14:15 AM »
« Edited: May 31, 2004, 11:14:47 AM by The Vorlon »

i think bush has a much better shot in oregon than iowa.

Oregon is just utterly unpredicatable, politically it is a very strange state.

Somebody once summed up Oregon politics for me this way...

"They favor the death penalty, but the electric chair has to be solar powered"

Pretty good summary of the state IMHO. You have the Tree Huggers in Portland/Eugene versus the guys with the Chainsaws everywhere else.

It's a pure battle of turnout right now in that state.  The best ground game wins.
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Gustaf
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« Reply #12 on: May 31, 2004, 11:17:10 AM »

I voted optmistic, since Kerry wins...but I guess it's realistic.
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #13 on: May 31, 2004, 11:19:56 AM »

Question:
Would you all like to have the ability for site members (free or paid) to critique one-anothers predictions on the prediction pages?  i.e. add comments to your user prediction? like Boss is soliciting here?  
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Reds4
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« Reply #14 on: May 31, 2004, 11:24:56 AM »

Dave, I have always thought that being able to have a discussion about other's predictions was the next feature that could make this site even better. I believe that would be a terrific idea and would add a lot to this site.
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Gustaf
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« Reply #15 on: May 31, 2004, 11:25:09 AM »

Question:
Would you all like to have the ability for site members (free or paid) to critique one-anothers predictions on the prediction pages?  i.e. add comments to your user prediction? like Boss is soliciting here?  

Hm, yeah, that sounds like a cool idea to me. Smiley
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Lunar
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« Reply #16 on: May 31, 2004, 11:41:45 AM »

Optimistic/Pessimistic from whose perspective?

For the purposes of this exercise am I supporting Bush or Kerry?

Or is this a test to try to "push the leaners" to declaring a party affiliation?

Considering we disagree on just 2 states I'll give your prediction a 96% (realistic) - you only have two states wrong. Cheesy

I thought your Nov 2nd prediction had Kerry winning Nevada, New Mexico, and West Virginia.  The version you're comparing his prediction to is your snapshot.
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The Vorlon
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« Reply #17 on: May 31, 2004, 11:48:38 AM »

Optimistic/Pessimistic from whose perspective?

For the purposes of this exercise am I supporting Bush or Kerry?

Or is this a test to try to "push the leaners" to declaring a party affiliation?

Considering we disagree on just 2 states I'll give your prediction a 96% (realistic) - you only have two states wrong. Cheesy

I thought your Nov 2nd prediction had Kerry winning Nevada, New Mexico, and West Virginia.  The version you're comparing his prediction to is your snapshot.

Sorry - got confused thought his was a "snapshot" as well Sad

Damn Version control issues again.
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #18 on: May 31, 2004, 09:18:33 PM »

Member comments are now enabled for new user predictions.  Each new prediction now has an option to allow users to post comments about that prediction.  Please be respectful and analytical with regard to critiquing the predictions of others.
Thanks,
Dave
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??????????
StatesRights
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« Reply #19 on: May 31, 2004, 09:34:04 PM »

Member comments are now enabled for new user predictions.  Each new prediction now has an option to allow users to post comments about that prediction.  Please be respectful and analytical with regard to critiquing the predictions of others.
Thanks,
Dave

Dave, on some of those predictions you can leave comments on others you can't whats wrong?
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #20 on: May 31, 2004, 09:54:08 PM »

The owner of the prediction has the option of not allowing others to comment on the prediction.  All the predictions prior to today at 22:30 EDT, by default, are not enabled for others to leave comments.
Dave
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Blazers93
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« Reply #21 on: May 31, 2004, 10:03:45 PM »

How do you post your prediction on your reply like everyone else?
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??????????
StatesRights
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« Reply #22 on: May 31, 2004, 10:05:27 PM »

Right click over the picture of your prediction map...
got to properties and highlight the URL..

Then click copy

to post do this  with the link in between.
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opebo
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« Reply #23 on: May 31, 2004, 11:02:29 PM »

Its realistic, but it isn't going to happen.
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