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Author Topic: Casey's lead narrows  (Read 2000 times)
Keystone Phil
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« on: April 26, 2006, 02:00:35 pm »
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Only up by eight now...

Casey - 46%
Santorum - 38%

http://www.mcall.com/news/nationworld/state/all-callpoll0426,0,7923293.story?coll=all-news-hed
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #1 on: April 26, 2006, 02:09:38 pm »
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the slippery slope of Mt. Casey. Smiley
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« Reply #2 on: April 26, 2006, 02:14:43 pm »
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Not surprised... Casey's campaign seems pretty lacklusta thus far while Santorum's has been excellent.

That said the change from recent polls isnt that dramatic, so i still think that Casey should win but he must abandon this very weak campaign of his.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #3 on: April 26, 2006, 02:15:47 pm »
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but he must abandon this very weak campaign of his.

When he faces serious opposition his campaigns are weak. Here's hoping he keeps up the tradition.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #4 on: April 26, 2006, 02:19:36 pm »
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Last 4 polls of this race (including this one) have shown Casey +8, +9, +10 and +11, respectively.

Most of the movement appears to be from Casey and towards the undecided column.  Still, it is certainly better news for Santorum than the earlier 15-point deficits he was facing.  Let's see how things continue to go.
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ATFFL
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« Reply #5 on: April 26, 2006, 04:56:00 pm »
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This is also a poll of registered voters only, not likely voters.
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True Democrat
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« Reply #6 on: April 26, 2006, 05:00:40 pm »
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but he must abandon this very weak campaign of his.

When he faces serious opposition his campaigns are weak. Here's hoping he keeps up the tradition.

i.e. the 2002 gubernatorial primary.
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« Reply #7 on: April 26, 2006, 05:40:18 pm »
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38 percent support for an incumbent is still pretty bad no matter how you spin it, but obviously a reduction in Casey's lead is good news for the Republicans in any event. Casey still has to be considered a solid favorite here, especially given Bush's approval ratings nationwide (which I would assume are at least as bad if not worse in PA).
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Gabu
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« Reply #8 on: April 26, 2006, 07:17:08 pm »
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An interesting thing to note about this is that Santorum's percentage is actually down from the poll that had Casey +10.  I don't think that this poll should necessarily be taken as good news by Santorum supporters for that reason.
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« Reply #9 on: April 26, 2006, 07:54:00 pm »
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but he must abandon this very weak campaign of his.

When he faces serious opposition his campaigns are weak. Here's hoping he keeps up the tradition.

i.e. the 2002 gubernatorial primary.

What did he do in the governor's primary to get himself defeated?  I've heard about this, but I'm not privy to the details.
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jokerman
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« Reply #10 on: April 26, 2006, 08:25:51 pm »
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An incumbent's down by 8 with a whole 16% undecided, most likely, of course, to break for Casey.

Yeah, big chance for victory there.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #11 on: April 27, 2006, 05:22:11 pm »
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Yeah, big chance for victory there.

Remind me who made it seem like there was a big chance of victory for Santorum. Thanks.



What did he do in the governor's primary to get himself defeated?  I've heard about this, but I'm not privy to the details.

Casey had it all locked up. He wasn't for Philly (even Dems outside of the city get annoyed with the city), he had the establishment, he had the union support, he had the name...in other words, he had it all. Then came the actual campaigning and he sucked. Rendell had the charisma and could turn out the vote in his area (SE PA). Casey was supposed to easily win the primary. He ended up going down in defeat - 56% - 44%.

Here's something that spoke to the issue on Santorum's site - http://www.ricksantorum.com/Blog/BlogPost.aspx?BlogPostID=2130
« Last Edit: April 27, 2006, 05:51:23 pm by Senator Keystone Phil »Logged

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« Reply #12 on: April 27, 2006, 08:30:25 pm »
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By that logic, we can argue as he got so badly screwed by Bush and Rove in the primary, McCain would've been a lousy candidate who would've lost to Gore.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #13 on: April 27, 2006, 08:46:13 pm »
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By that logic, we can argue as he got so badly screwed by Bush and Rove in the primary, McCain would've been a lousy candidate who would've lost to Gore.

Or we're just stating that when the going gets tough for this guy, he can't survive (or just barely does like he did in the '96 Auditor General primary).
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