Rasmussen: AZ Sen. Kyl (R) 51%, Pederson (D) 35%

[Adlai Stevenson]

A new Rasmussen Reports poll in Arizona has found that incumbent Republican Senator Jon Kyl leads former Democratic party chairman Jim Pederson.  Kyl now leads 51% to 35%, a month ago he led 56% to 33%.

The poll also found that incumbent Governor and Democrat Janet Napolitano led her nearest challenger, Don Goldwater, 53% to 32%.  Against two lesser known challengers, she received 58% to 22% and 55% to 28%.

[ElectionAtlas]

New Poll: Arizona Senator by Rasmussen on 2006-04-25

Summary: D: 35%, R: 51%, U: 11%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[CARLHAYDEN]

Thank you for the update Dave.

[Adlai Stevenson]

New Poll: Arizona Senator by Rasmussen on 2006-04-25

Summary: D: 33%, R: 56%, U: 11%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

This is wrong.  Kyl leads by 51%-35%, he led by 56%-33% last month.

[ElectionAtlas]

Thanks - The Rasmussen source page box has it wrong!  Its listed as 56-33 (last month's), but the text says 51-35.  I've corrected.

[Adlai Stevenson]

Thanks - The Rasmussen source page box has it wrong!  Its listed as 56-33 (last month's), but the text says 51-35.  I've corrected.

OK thanks cool.  Rasmussen often make these mistakes!

[Flying Dog]

Pederson is slowly gaining. He was only in the 20's a few months ago.

[Alcon]

Pederson is slowly gaining. He was only in the 20's a few months ago.

I think a lot of that owes more to increased name recognition, and also Kyl's slowly fallen approval ratings.  Still, though, a 16-point lead is hard to get rid of.  In a state like Arizona, an incumbent with a single-digit approval margin leading by this much indicates a fairly poor opponent.

I wish this included Pederson's recognition numbers.  Those would be quite helpful.

[Soaring Eagle]

Pederson is slowly making ground. I think this race will be closer than expected. Kyl will win, but it won't be the huge landslide we all predict.

[Adlai Stevenson]

I wonder if Pederson can get closer than Kerry did (54%-44% in 2004).  Or hopefully he reach thereabouts.  I doubt he can win.

[Soaring Eagle]

I wonder if Pederson can get closer than Kerry did (54%-44% in 2004).  Or hopefully he reach thereabouts.  I doubt he can win.

I think he will break 40%.