Sanford (R) with Solid Lead over Democratic Challengers in South Carolina

[ElectionAtlas]

New Poll: South Carolina Governor by Rasmussen on 2006-04-20

Summary: D: 33%, R: 52%, U: 15%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Flying Dog]

the horrible governor will win

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

With practically no visible signs of campaigning by the Demoocrats so far, things aren't as bleak for the Dems as this poll might suggest.  Sanford's numbers are unlikely to rise much while those of both Dems will rise once they start getting their message out to the general voter.  Neither Dem is likely to cause the undecideds to break in Sanford's favor.  What's disappointing is that once again there is no polling on the primary matchups.

[SCDem07]

That is the real question right now in the SC gubernatorial election...I think Willis will beat Moore.  I'm feeling an upset because Willis has far more cash at his disposal than moore...he'll focus money on ads on television.  Who do you think will win the primary?

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Cash and TV ads alone don't win elections.  Fisher just proved that by getting soundly trounced in the Columbia mayor's race by Coble.  Because of his connections in the State Senate, Moore has a built-in advantage when in comes to troops on the ground over any Mayor, especially one from a mid-sized city such as Florence. For Willis to win the nomination, I think he'll need to differentiate himself from Moore in a way that appeals to the base better than Moore.

[SCDem07]

Cash and TV ads alone don't win elections.  Fisher just proved that by getting soundly trounced in the Columbia mayor's race by Coble.  Because of his connections in the State Senate, Moore has a built-in advantage when in comes to troops on the ground over any Mayor, especially one from a mid-sized city such as Florence. For Willis to win the nomination, I think he'll need to differentiate himself from Moore in a way that appeals to the base better than Moore.

Cash and TV ads may not win elections by themselves, but Moore does not have the executive experience of Willis, however he does have significant influence in Columbia.  It should be a close race.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

We haven't elected a mayor as Governor since 1938 when Maybank went from being Mayor of Charleston.  I see no reason to think that it will be any different this time, especially since Florence is not Charleston.  Willis will probably win the Pee Dee in the primary, but I think Moore will likely win the rest of the state and the nomination.