Blaenau Gwent Double By-election

[Harry Hayfield]

Nominations for Blaenau Gwent:

Blaenau Gwent Assembly

Stephen Bard (Welsh Liberal Democrats)
Jonathan Burns (Welsh Conservatives)
John Jones Hopkins (Blaenau Gwent Labour Party) *
Patricia (known as Trish) Law (Independent)
John Matthews (Welsh Green Party)
Norman John Price (Plaid)

Blaenau Gwent Westminster

David Clifford Davies (Independent)
Alan 'Howling Laud' Hope (Monster Raving Loony Party)
Amy Elizabeth Kitchener (Welsh Liberal Democrats)
Steffan Lewis (Plaid)
Owen Smith (Blaenau Gwent Labour Party) *
Margrit Anna Williams (Welsh Conservatives)

* Technically speaking, that is NOT a registered party.

[Harry Hayfield]

According to a competition on politicalbetting.com:

Westminster: Lab 42.7% (+10.4%) Ind 41.6% (-16.6%) Lib Dem 5.9% (+1.6%) Plaid Cymru 5.1% (+2.7%) Conservatives 4.3% (+2.0%)

Assembly: Ind 47.6% Lab 37.9% (+15.3% on Lab 2003) Lib Dem 5.4%
(-5.5%) Plaid Cymru 4.9% (-4.7%) Conservatives 3.8% (-2.0%)

[Harry Hayfield]

Westminster

David Clifford Davies, BGPV    12543   46.17%
Owen Smith, Lab    10059   37.02%
Steffan Lewis, PC     1755    6.46%
Amy Elizabeth Kitchener, LDm     1477    5.43%
Margrit Anna Williams, Con     1013    3.72%
Alan 'Howling Laud' Hope, Lny      318    1.17%

Assembly

Patricia Law, Ind    13785   50.33%
John Jones Hopkins, Lab     9321   34.03%
Stephen Richard Bard, LDm     2054    7.49%
Norman John Price, PC     1109    4.04%
Jonathan Burns, Con      816    2.97%
John Matthews, Grn      302    1.10%

[Harry Hayfield]

1. There was a lot less ticket splitting that I'd been expecting; this leads me to think that if the by-elections had been on seperate days, Davies would probably have lost (if that doesn't make any sense, I can explain in more detail )

Please do, that sounds a fascinating idea (especially with the regional list concept)