My Prediction
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Author Topic: My Prediction  (Read 5945 times)
12th Doctor
supersoulty
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« on: May 31, 2004, 09:55:49 PM »

This is the first Prediction I have posted in a few months.  If the race stays as is, this is what I believe will happen in Nov.  Fact is, Bush should be ruined after the past two months, but he isn't and I think thats a good sign.

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Blazers93
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« Reply #1 on: May 31, 2004, 10:00:14 PM »

How do you post your prediction maps on the forums. if you tell me how, I will be the first to replie with my prediction.
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12th Doctor
supersoulty
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« Reply #2 on: May 31, 2004, 10:02:57 PM »

How do you post your prediction maps on the forums. if you tell me how, I will be the first to replie with my prediction.

Just right click on the white boarder of the prediction.  Then click "Copy Image Location".

Then post it and put:    

on the sides of the Image location and you good to go.
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Blazers93
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« Reply #3 on: May 31, 2004, 10:05:01 PM »

Thank you. I will have my prediction after I do so.
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12th Doctor
supersoulty
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« Reply #4 on: May 31, 2004, 10:09:06 PM »
« Edited: May 31, 2004, 10:10:26 PM by supersoulty »

Thank you. I will have my prediction after I do so.

Wait, yu have to put:   img   /img  and enclose both img and /img in [].  Sorry, I forgot that it wouldn't show.

Like this [img]jdjdjdj@jfjfjfjfjf.com[/img$]

Except without the dollar sign.
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Blazers93
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« Reply #5 on: May 31, 2004, 10:23:09 PM »

 Is this where you put it?
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Blazers93
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« Reply #6 on: May 31, 2004, 10:44:23 PM »

Where do you put -img]jdjdjdj@jfjfjfjfjf.com[/img]?
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StatesRights
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« Reply #7 on: May 31, 2004, 10:52:16 PM »
« Edited: May 31, 2004, 10:53:10 PM by Senator-StatesRights »

Go to the help Section.

You go to your map. Right click it, go to Properties, highlight the part that says Address all the way..Right click again and click copy..

Then go post a message. type  Click paste and paste the address between the  in the middle I mean. Try it it's easy.
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Lunar
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« Reply #8 on: May 31, 2004, 10:56:46 PM »
« Edited: May 31, 2004, 10:57:03 PM by Lunar »

Just click quote on the supersoulty's first post to see it exactly.
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opebo
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« Reply #9 on: May 31, 2004, 10:59:56 PM »

Great prediction Soupersalty..  I think he'll get Oregon too.. and just possibly Michigan.
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12th Doctor
supersoulty
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« Reply #10 on: May 31, 2004, 11:31:18 PM »


No, I'm sayng that you put the -img]   [/img] around the map location.
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Lunar
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« Reply #11 on: June 01, 2004, 12:17:33 AM »

Updated my own prediction page with the new settings.   Link and picture are in my signature.
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Smash255
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« Reply #12 on: June 01, 2004, 12:39:52 AM »

Out of curiosity what makes you think bush will win WI.  Pratically every single poll Kerry is ahead of Bush, the only poll that Bush has been ahead in WI, is the Badger poll & they were WAY off in 2000, had Bush winning the state by double digits
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« Reply #13 on: June 01, 2004, 01:54:19 AM »

Kerry will win Wisconsin. There is no way a state will vote for both Feingold and Bush, and Feingold is looking safe.
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12th Doctor
supersoulty
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« Reply #14 on: June 01, 2004, 02:26:03 AM »

Out of curiosity what makes you think bush will win WI.  Pratically every single poll Kerry is ahead of Bush, the only poll that Bush has been ahead in WI, is the Badger poll & they were WAY off in 2000, had Bush winning the state by double digits

Bush will not let himsself get beat by in the ground game this time, especially in WI.  It was a state that was in his electoral strategy in 2000, and he was expected to carry it by a few points.  However, Democratic shananigans and a good groud game cost him there.  He won't let it happen again.
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TeePee4Prez
Flyers2004
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« Reply #15 on: June 01, 2004, 02:57:45 AM »

Out of curiosity what makes you think bush will win WI.  Pratically every single poll Kerry is ahead of Bush, the only poll that Bush has been ahead in WI, is the Badger poll & they were WAY off in 2000, had Bush winning the state by double digits

Bush will not let himsself get beat by in the ground game this time, especially in WI.  It was a state that was in his electoral strategy in 2000, and he was expected to carry it by a few points.  However, Democratic shananigans and a good groud game cost him there.  He won't let it happen again.

Stop crying.  Pennsylvania is even becoming out of reach for Bush.  the last 4 polls show Kerry leading with 3 of them being commanding leads.  What miracle do u think will happen for Bush to carry PA?
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The Duke
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« Reply #16 on: June 01, 2004, 03:01:58 AM »

I just checked the polling section of this site, and there are five polls from PA.

Three are of registered, not likely voters, so toss those out.  One is a Zogby poll, so toss it out.

This leaves only a Quinipiac College Poll from April, and that shows Bush +6.

Hence, PA is listed for Bush.
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TeePee4Prez
Flyers2004
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« Reply #17 on: June 01, 2004, 03:08:17 AM »

I just checked the polling section of this site, and there are five polls from PA.

Three are of registered, not likely voters, so toss those out.  One is a Zogby poll, so toss it out.

This leaves only a Quinipiac College Poll from April, and that shows Bush +6.

Hence, PA is listed for Bush.

No it isn't... PA is listed Lean Kerry.
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muon2
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« Reply #18 on: June 01, 2004, 08:01:15 AM »

supersoulty,

I like the prediction. Switch PA and OR and it matches my current map posted in March. And so far I haven't seen much movement in support from then to now.
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Nym90
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« Reply #19 on: June 01, 2004, 01:11:09 PM »

I just checked the polling section of this site, and there are five polls from PA.

Three are of registered, not likely voters, so toss those out.  One is a Zogby poll, so toss it out.

This leaves only a Quinipiac College Poll from April, and that shows Bush +6.

Hence, PA is listed for Bush.

Except that's a University poll, so toss it out too.
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12th Doctor
supersoulty
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« Reply #20 on: June 01, 2004, 01:21:49 PM »

I just checked the polling section of this site, and there are five polls from PA.

Three are of registered, not likely voters, so toss those out.  One is a Zogby poll, so toss it out.

This leaves only a Quinipiac College Poll from April, and that shows Bush +6.

Hence, PA is listed for Bush.

Except that's a University poll, so toss it out too.

Quinipiac is Vorlon approved.  The others aren't.  On top of that, Handzus doesn't know what he is talking about when it comes to PA, he might know Philadelphia, but not PA.

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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #21 on: June 01, 2004, 01:25:23 PM »

Bush's numbers in the Deep South seem a little high... other than that... not bad Smiley
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TeePee4Prez
Flyers2004
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« Reply #22 on: June 01, 2004, 01:27:09 PM »

I just checked the polling section of this site, and there are five polls from PA.

Three are of registered, not likely voters, so toss those out.  One is a Zogby poll, so toss it out.

This leaves only a Quinipiac College Poll from April, and that shows Bush +6.

Hence, PA is listed for Bush.

Except that's a University poll, so toss it out too.

Quinipiac is Vorlon approved.  The others aren't.  On top of that, Handzus doesn't know what he is talking about when it comes to PA, he might know Philadelphia, but not PA.



Do you honestly think that Gore voters wil switch this time around?  Dude, the rest of the state can not overcome the southeast.  We are just too big in population.  Yes, there are a lot of R's right outside Philly, but a good number of them are voting Kerry.  
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Nym90
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« Reply #23 on: June 01, 2004, 01:39:41 PM »

I thought that if it was a summer state poll and it didn't say Mason-Dixon, you were supposed to burn it. Smiley I was under the impression he said to toss all Uni polls.

Besides, Quinnipiac had Kerry up 3 in their latest poll, the one with Bush up 6 is from late April.

Also, I don't think you can just throw out polls that measure registered voters instead of likely voters, those may be more accurate actually, as likely voter polls right now are subject to more shifts of opinion and enthusiasm that may be unrepresenatative of what will happen in November. The closer we get to the election, the more likely the likely voter polls are to be accurate, but right now I don't think they are much if any more accurate than a registered voters poll. Too hard to judge who is a likely voter at this stage yet.
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12th Doctor
supersoulty
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« Reply #24 on: June 01, 2004, 02:22:05 PM »

I just checked the polling section of this site, and there are five polls from PA.

Three are of registered, not likely voters, so toss those out.  One is a Zogby poll, so toss it out.

This leaves only a Quinipiac College Poll from April, and that shows Bush +6.

Hence, PA is listed for Bush.

Except that's a University poll, so toss it out too.

Quinipiac is Vorlon approved.  The others aren't.  On top of that, Handzus doesn't know what he is talking about when it comes to PA, he might know Philadelphia, but not PA.



Do you honestly think that Gore voters wil switch this time around?  Dude, the rest of the state can not overcome the southeast.  We are just too big in population.  Yes, there are a lot of R's right outside Philly, but a good number of them are voting Kerry.  

I've already made my arguement a million times for why PA is the most "in-play" state in this election cycle and stands a strong chance of going Bush, even if Ohio doesn't.  I will not waste my breath again.
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