My Prediction (user search)
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Author Topic: My Prediction  (Read 5960 times)
Lunar
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 30,404
Ireland, Republic of
« on: May 31, 2004, 10:56:46 PM »
« edited: May 31, 2004, 10:57:03 PM by Lunar »
Just click quote on the supersoulty's first post to see it exactly.
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Lunar
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 30,404
Ireland, Republic of
« Reply #1 on: June 01, 2004, 12:17:33 AM »
Updated my own prediction page with the new settings.   Link and picture are in my signature.
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Lunar
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,404
Ireland, Republic of
« Reply #2 on: June 01, 2004, 04:53:48 PM »
Quote from: Secretary of Labor Fritz on June 01, 2004, 04:30:26 PM
EXTREMELY over-optimistic.  No way Bush does that well.  I'm not saying a Bush win isn't possible, but it will be a lot closer than your map.

Extremely?  Huh?  His map only has Bush winning by a couple points.  Note how New Hampshire goes Kerry.
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Lunar
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 30,404
Ireland, Republic of
« Reply #3 on: June 01, 2004, 06:43:09 PM »
I'm looking a the states.  We're assuming that if Kerry wins one tossup (New Hampshire) but Bush wins some others, then the race is pretty close.

I don't care if South Carolina is a shade too blue.  Besides, all it would take is a shift of 4% from 2000 to put Bush above 60% in Texas, Alaska, Montana, Kansas, South Carolina, Alabama, Mississippi, North Carolina, Indiana, and Kentucky.  All states Bush won by less than 60% last time.
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Lunar
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,404
Ireland, Republic of
« Reply #4 on: June 01, 2004, 06:47:56 PM »
« Edited: June 01, 2004, 06:48:10 PM by Lunar »
Yes, I know.  I'm just saying that a prediction of 4% over the 2000 result in a handful of Southern states isn't that big of a deal.
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