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|-+  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections (Moderator: Brittain33)
| | |-+  Alaska Gubernatorial Election
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Poll
Question: Who do you think will win Alaska's gubernatorial election?
Frank Murkowski (R)   -1 (2.6%)
Tony Knowles (D)   -32 (84.2%)
Other Republican   -5 (13.2%)
Show Pie Chart
Total Voters: 38

Author Topic: Alaska Gubernatorial Election  (Read 4632 times)
ottermax
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« on: June 02, 2006, 09:25:40 pm »
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Choose who you think will win the election. This election could turn out to be very competitive.
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Nym90
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« Reply #1 on: June 02, 2006, 09:33:55 pm »
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If he runs, Knowles.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #2 on: June 02, 2006, 09:56:25 pm »
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If he runs, Knowles.

He's running.

I don't think Murkowski is getting passed the primary and if he does, he loses the General. If the GOP nominates someone else I still think we have a hard fight against a popular former Governor who almost won a Senate seat so I'm saying Knowles will win it.
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« Reply #3 on: June 02, 2006, 10:16:41 pm »
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Knowles by about 10% at minimum.  Hopefully Frank will get past his primary.
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« Reply #4 on: June 02, 2006, 11:29:11 pm »
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It depends on whether Murkowski wins the primary or not.

I would still like to see a poll, but if he does, I'm thinking that ths race will proably be slightly Democratic.  I mean, just look at Oregon's polling.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #5 on: June 02, 2006, 11:37:31 pm »
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It depends on whether Murkowski wins the primary or not.

I would still like to see a poll, but if he does, I'm thinking that ths race will proably be slightly Democratic.  I mean, just look at Oregon's polling.

If we do get polls out of Alaska, they'll probably be pure crap like in 2004 (partisan polls disguised as non-partisan ones), but I guess we should ask for them anyway.
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Ben.
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« Reply #6 on: June 03, 2006, 03:20:00 am »
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I was pretty sure Knowles would win in '04 (it'd have been like Max Bacus Mk2!) - I was even looking forward to it, along with Carson, Salazar, Obama and John... so i'm not as sure as i was then, however circumstances certianly favour Knowles in a race for Governor this year, way more than they did in his race for Senate last year.
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« Reply #7 on: June 03, 2006, 08:35:52 am »
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I think Knowles will win, but if Halcro won that would be great.
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Nym90
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« Reply #8 on: June 03, 2006, 09:24:55 am »
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If he runs, Knowles.

He's running.

I don't think Murkowski is getting passed the primary and if he does, he loses the General. If the GOP nominates someone else I still think we have a hard fight against a popular former Governor who almost won a Senate seat so I'm saying Knowles will win it.

I didn't know that he was now for sure running. Glad to hear this. Knowles will win then unless Murkowski loses the primary, and even then he'd still be the favorite.
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« Reply #9 on: June 03, 2006, 12:17:28 pm »
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Other Republican.

I like Sarah Palin, but I suspect Binkley will win the primary.
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« Reply #10 on: June 03, 2006, 02:18:55 pm »
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write in: Another Democrat.





Okay, not really.
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« Reply #11 on: June 03, 2006, 08:42:09 pm »
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Knowles, given Murkowski's unpopularity and the macro anti-GOP climate.
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« Reply #12 on: June 04, 2006, 09:51:40 pm »
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Knowles
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adam
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« Reply #13 on: June 04, 2006, 11:11:04 pm »
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If Murkowski wins the primary, than Knowles will win by at least 15 points. Murkowski has the second losest approval rating of any governor in the US.
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« Reply #14 on: June 04, 2006, 11:37:55 pm »
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If it's Knowles vs. Murkowski, Knowles will be in roughly Spitzer's situation.

If it's Knowles vs. any other Republican, I'd still give Knowles the edge.

If any other Democrat is nominated, the voters should be shot.
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« Reply #15 on: June 05, 2006, 01:05:22 am »
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If it's Knowles vs. Murkowski, Knowles will be in roughly Spitzer's situation.

If it's Knowles vs. any other Republican, I'd still give Knowles the edge.

If any other Democrat is nominated, the voters should be shot.

I doubt it will be a Spitzer situation. I expect Spitzer to win by at least 20-30 points. I would say Knowles will win by maybe 10-15.
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Gabu
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« Reply #16 on: June 05, 2006, 01:06:14 am »
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I doubt it will be a Spitzer situation. I expect Spitzer to win by at least 20-30 points. I would say Knowles will win by maybe 10-15.

I didn't mean the exact margin; I more just meant the case where the Democrat is basically completely assured victory.
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« Reply #17 on: June 08, 2006, 08:31:24 am »
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Hmm, look at this:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alaska_gubernatorial_election%2C_2006#Opinion_Polling

Looks like a Knowles - Palin matchup

Knowles leads 43:39

Im moving this to tossup now.
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« Reply #18 on: June 08, 2006, 05:32:24 pm »
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Hmm, look at this:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alaska_gubernatorial_election%2C_2006#Opinion_Polling

Looks like a Knowles - Palin matchup

Knowles leads 43:39

Im moving this to tossup now.

Ivan Moore Research?   All I can find is that $750 has been donated to two Democrats under that name.  Not exactly Mason-Dixon.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #19 on: June 08, 2006, 07:47:46 pm »
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Hmm, look at this:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alaska_gubernatorial_election%2C_2006#Opinion_Polling

Looks like a Knowles - Palin matchup

Knowles leads 43:39

Im moving this to tossup now.

Ivan Moore Research?   All I can find is that $750 has been donated to two Democrats under that name.  Not exactly Mason-Dixon.

It's the same polling company that gave us those supposedly "Independent" polls out of Alaska in 2004 showing Knowles ahead.
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WalterMitty
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« Reply #20 on: June 09, 2006, 06:42:23 am »
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exit polls also showed knowles ahead.

im sure jfern has a conspiracy theory
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #21 on: June 09, 2006, 10:16:29 am »
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Something I got from an Alaskan:

[Knowles is] only 4% higher than Sarah Palin, but there has been -0- debates yet.

Knowles will eat her alive. He'll easily get the endorsement of everyone in the military, the unions, Alaska fisherman, oil workers, and the progressive Alaskans.

For a Republican, Sarah Palin, is not a bad person. She is fair and she's very non-partisan. She's not ready for the prime-time yet though.

Tony and Sarah have definitely already moved far away from the rest of their respective packs. And when it's down to just the two of them, Knowles will win it all big time.

I live here. I know Alaska voters. Knowles will win.


Wow. How did you get a chance to speak with Tony himself?    Tongue
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