Bromley & Chislehurst by-election
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Author Topic: Bromley & Chislehurst by-election  (Read 9730 times)
minionofmidas
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« Reply #25 on: June 29, 2006, 03:25:50 AM »
When's this election held?
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Bono
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« Reply #26 on: June 29, 2006, 05:19:16 AM »

Friday.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #27 on: June 29, 2006, 05:52:25 AM »
No, the result will be declared early on friday. Voting is today.

LibDems are talking of "another Romsey". Don't really believe them, but they have spent a lot of money in Bromley (sad how Dunfermline changed the political culture in that way; all parties now shell out huge sums on by-elections that they think they can win or might get a good result from. UKIP has even gone so far as to *brag* about spending £75,000 in Bromley...)
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Peter
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« Reply #28 on: June 29, 2006, 08:26:32 AM »
With Farage as the UKIP candidate, I can see UKIP polling something substantial (maybe breaking 10%) - this would undoubtedly cause problems from the Tories and the LDs are likely to pick up Labour votes.

I expect the seat to be much tighter than is generally expected.
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Ben.
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« Reply #29 on: June 29, 2006, 11:06:34 AM »
For what it's worth, betting odds have apparently moved strongly in the Tories favour.
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Harry Hayfield
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« Reply #30 on: June 29, 2006, 02:42:07 PM »
Average from competition on Political Betting.com:

Conservatives 51.2% (+0.1%)
Liberal Democrats 26.9% (+6.6%)
United Kingdom Independence Party 10.4% (+7.2%)
Labour 8.9% (-13.3%)
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #31 on: June 29, 2006, 05:21:14 PM »
Rennard is reported to have said that the LibDems have a real chance of winning...
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afleitch
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« Reply #32 on: June 29, 2006, 05:24:24 PM »
Quote from: Al Widdershins on June 29, 2006, 05:21:14 PM
Rennard is reported to have said that the LibDems have a real chance of winning...

Sounds like yellow noise time again.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #33 on: June 29, 2006, 05:29:02 PM »
Quote from: afleitch on June 29, 2006, 05:24:24 PM
Quote from: Al Widdershins on June 29, 2006, 05:21:14 PM
Rennard is reported to have said that the LibDems have a real chance of winning...

Sounds like yellow noise time again.

Ala Newcastle Central?
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #34 on: June 29, 2006, 06:03:20 PM »
There are rumours that a recount may happen
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afleitch
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« Reply #35 on: June 29, 2006, 06:09:50 PM »
« Edited: June 29, 2006, 06:11:25 PM by afleitch »
Quote from: Al Widdershins on June 29, 2006, 06:03:20 PM
There are rumours that a recount may happen

Sky latest- They say result isn't 'close'. Labour may have lost deposit.

EDIT- I kinda hate this constant yo-yo of whats happening you get thanks to the net Sad
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #36 on: June 29, 2006, 06:11:11 PM »
We might have lost our deposit...
...all non-Socialist candidates might have done in Blaenau Gwent as well...

Strange.
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Ben.
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« Reply #37 on: June 29, 2006, 06:14:20 PM »
Quote from: afleitch on June 29, 2006, 06:09:50 PM

EDIT- I kinda hate this constant yo-yo of whats happening you get thanks to the net Sad


pb.com is an emotional rollercoster Smiley
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afleitch
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« Reply #38 on: June 29, 2006, 06:15:41 PM »
Quote from: Lt. Governor Ben. on June 29, 2006, 06:14:20 PM
Quote from: afleitch on June 29, 2006, 06:09:50 PM

EDIT- I kinda hate this constant yo-yo of whats happening you get thanks to the net Sad


pb.com is an emotional rollercoster Smiley

And full of bloody Lib Dems! Smiley
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Ben.
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« Reply #39 on: June 29, 2006, 06:17:37 PM »
Quote from: afleitch on June 29, 2006, 06:15:41 PM

Quote from: Lt. Governor Ben. on June 29, 2006, 06:14:20 PM

Quote from: afleitch on June 29, 2006, 06:09:50 PM

EDIT- I kinda hate this constant yo-yo of whats happening you get thanks to the net Sad


pb.com is an emotional rollercoster Smiley


And full of bloody Lib Dems! Smiley


And their "sources" Sad
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #40 on: June 29, 2006, 06:20:21 PM »
Quote from: afleitch on June 29, 2006, 06:15:41 PM
Quote from: Lt. Governor Ben. on June 29, 2006, 06:14:20 PM
Quote from: afleitch on June 29, 2006, 06:09:50 PM

EDIT- I kinda hate this constant yo-yo of whats happening you get thanks to the net Sad


pb.com is an emotional rollercoster Smiley

And full of bloody Lib Dems! Smiley

Is it always like this? Only ever check it at by-election time (for every single bloody media source is so ing slow...) so I wouldn't know (the discussion is always pretty bad and there are better places for poll results). I find it very hard to believe almost anything on it...
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afleitch
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« Reply #41 on: June 29, 2006, 06:22:41 PM »
Lib Dems seem to mass on PB when election results are due- going on about their 'sources' and watching the betting markets. It was like this during Moray. Funilly enough during Dunfermline I think it was everyone elses 'sources 'and not theirs saying the Lib Dems could win...
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #42 on: June 29, 2006, 06:24:34 PM »
Quote from: afleitch on June 29, 2006, 06:22:41 PM
Lib Dems seem to mass on PB when election results are due- going on about their 'sources' and watching the betting markets.

The betting markets are almost totally influenced by that site... how stupid could...

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Lol! Cheesy
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Ben.
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« Reply #43 on: June 29, 2006, 07:04:27 PM »
Tories telling Sky it's 48/38 Tory/LibDem split.
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Democratic Hawk
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« Reply #44 on: June 29, 2006, 07:22:15 PM »
Well, I was kind of expecting Labour to lose its deposit, should it transpire this be the case. Tactical voting to the Lib Dems perhaps but in solid blue Bromley and Chislehurst, it was never going to be enough

A Con 48 / LD 38 split seems reasonable

Dave

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Ben.
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« Reply #45 on: June 29, 2006, 07:37:06 PM »
Radio 5 saying a recount, but that doesnt seem to square with nearly everything else coming out... hmmm...
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #46 on: June 29, 2006, 07:38:52 PM »
BBC are reporting that the gap between the Tories and LibDems is about 600 votes. A recount is underway...

===
Bad night for both Tony and Dave then. Can't help but think that that be good...
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Ben.
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« Reply #47 on: June 29, 2006, 07:40:33 PM »
LibDems fought a brutally, agressive campaign... you might not like it's tone but such campaigns are effective, somthing which the Conservatives must now learn.

Still what impact did Dumferline have?
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #48 on: June 29, 2006, 07:48:28 PM »

A huge (and highly negative) one on political culture (as far as by-elections go). Politically it may have helped Ming and stopped the (probably artificial anyway) collapse in the polls. But other than that, not much. Weren't no Orpington or Eastbourne.
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Democratic Hawk
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« Reply #49 on: June 29, 2006, 07:53:03 PM »
If indeed there is only 600 votes in it between the Conservatives and the Lib Dems, then its not good news for Dave. I was fully expecting a Conservative shoe-in (in fact, I'd have staked my last quid on it); hence, why I thought Con 48 / LD 38 was reasonable

Dave
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