Bromley & Chislehurst by-election (user search)
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  Bromley & Chislehurst by-election (search mode)
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Author Topic: Bromley & Chislehurst by-election  (Read 9771 times)
Harry Hayfield
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,976
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 0.35

P P
« on: June 29, 2006, 02:42:07 PM »

Average from competition on Political Betting.com:

Conservatives 51.2% (+0.1%)
Liberal Democrats 26.9% (+6.6%)
United Kingdom Independence Party 10.4% (+7.2%)
Labour 8.9% (-13.3%)
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Harry Hayfield
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,976
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 0.35

P P
« Reply #1 on: June 30, 2006, 01:10:31 AM »

Robert James MacGillivray Neill, Con    11629   40.01%
Benjamin Peter Abbots, LDm    10988   37.81%
Nigel Paul Farage, UKIP     2347    8.07%
Rachel Jane Reeves, Lab     1925    6.62%
Ann Christine Garrett, Grn      811    2.79%
Paul Winnett, NF      476    1.63%
John Stanley Charles David Hemming Clark, IndC      442    1.52%
Steven Uncles, EDP      212    0.72%
John Sydney Cartwright, Lny      132    0.45%
Nicholas Alexandros Hadziannis, Ind       65    0.22%
Anne Emily Jane Besley, MRP       33    0.11%
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Harry Hayfield
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,976
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: 0.35

P P
« Reply #2 on: July 01, 2006, 05:30:50 AM »

Bromley vs Solihull

Bromley by-election 2006

Robert James MacGillivray Neill, Con    11629   40.01% (-11%)
Benjamin Peter Abbots, LDm    10988   37.81% (+18%)
Nigel Paul Farage, UKIP     2347    8.07% (+5%)
Rachel Jane Reeves, Lab     1925    6.62% (-15%)
Ann Christine Garrett, Grn      811    2.79% (Unchanged)
Paul Winnett, NF      476    1.63%
John Stanley Charles David Hemming Clark, IndC      442    1.52%
Steven Uncles, EDP      212    0.72%
John Sydney Cartwright, Lny      132    0.45%
Nicholas Alexandros Hadziannis, Ind       65    0.22%
Anne Emily Jane Besley, MRP       33    0.11%

Solihull General Election 2005

Lorely Burt, LDm    20896   39.94% (+13%)
John Taylor, Con    20617   39.41% (-6%)
Rory Vaughan, Lab     8058   15.40% (-10%)
Diane Carr, BNP     1752    3.34% (+3%)
Andy Moore, UKIP      990    1.89% (Unchanged)

Mmm, there could be something said about that, yes. But I'm more intrigued by this idea of gains due to a swing to UKIP (as raised by Mr. Farage MEP)

1% Con / UKIP swing: Lab gain 3, Lib Dems gain 1
2% Con / UKIP swing: Lab gain 10, Lib Dems gain 1
3% Con / UKIP swing: Lab gain 14, Lib Dem gain 2
4% Con / UKIP swing: Lab gain 18, Lib Dem gain 3
5% Con / UKIP swing: Lab gain 21, Lib Dem gain 7

1% Lab / UKIP swing: Con gain 11, Lib Dem gain 1
2% Lab / UKIP swing: Con gain 15, Lib Dem gain 2, SNP gain 1
3% Lab / UKIP swing: Con gain 20, Lib Dem gain 4, SNP gain 1
4% Lab / UKIP swing: Con gain 27, Lib Dem gain 5, PC gain 1, SNP gain 1
5% Lab / UKIP swing: Con gain 34, Lib Dem gain 5, PC gain 1, SNP gain 1
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