My 2008 prediction

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it's basically a gut feeling, but I'm sticking to this:

Mark Warner--377
Condoleeza Rice--161

Rice can't ever get it together because she's too closely associated with the Bush administration.  Being black, female, and moderate doesn't play too well to her base either, many of whom stay home.

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Mississippi is more of a Democratic state than several nearby it, thanks to the high black population.

Mississippi is also much less progressive, and won't pick a black woman over a respectable Southern white man.

If it's Warner vs. Rice, Warner wins MS.

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Which states would rice win in Primaries? She'd probably end up like Sharpton in '04 and just pull second in DC.

I'm thinking she'll be the Bush-backed candidate.