California satan day election results

[Frodo]

Have California's Democratic primary voters just handed Schwarzenegger victory or what?

Dave

He would likely have won no matter whom Democrats chose, so it really doesn't make that big of a difference. 

[Frodo]

Have California's Democratic primary voters just handed Schwarzenegger victory or what?

Dave

He would likely have won no matter whom Democrats chose, so it really doesn't make that big of a difference. 

Yeah, that's right, when Arnold is down 10 points to the candidate I voted for in the primary in a poll, he's completely invulnerable.

Since you're the type that take polls so seriously, did you believe all those exit polls on election day in 2004 saying Kerry had a lead over George W. Bush? 

[Frodo]

Have California's Democratic primary voters just handed Schwarzenegger victory or what?

Dave

He would likely have won no matter whom Democrats chose, so it really doesn't make that big of a difference. 

Yeah, that's right, when Arnold is down 10 points to the candidate I voted for in the primary in a poll, he's completely invulnerable.

Since you're the type that take polls so seriously, did you believe all those exit polls on election day in 2004 saying Kerry had a lead over George W. Bush? 

Polls aren't exit polls.  Most polls had Bush leading slimly before election day started.

It's generally accepted that Arnold is vulnerably right now and it's factually incorrect to say he isn't. 

It is also a fact that incumbent governors in California usually win re-election after suffering serious setbacks early in their first terms.  Schwarzenegger may be vulnerable, but he has recovered significantly from where he was late last year.  There is nothing to suggest that it won't continue and follow the familiar pattern.   

[Frodo]

It is also a fact that incumbent governors in California usually win re-election after suffering serious setbacks early in their first terms. 

But what was the logic behind your statement to fern? 

Look, I think Arnold will win too, but you brought up this thing about 2004 exit polls which had nothing to do with the discussion.

Jfern seems especially gullible when it comes to polls, so I asked in a mocking and sarcastic manner whether he also took the exit polls in 2004 at face value as he seems to be doing now with regard to Angelides' supposed lead over Schwarzenegger, and deducing from that that he will win in November. 

It was merely a hypothetical question that was more a statement than an actual question.