It may be close but surely Doyle will win this year? The only Democratic incumbent I can see losing is Blagojevich, and its not like he doesn't deserve it. I predict Kohl's coattails will carry Doyle to victory. The Republicans seem always to come close in Wisconsin but never close enough to win. This year, they can't do as well as in 2000, 2002 or 2004. Also, did all the speculation over Thompson running die down? Has he announced that he won't?
Except people who vote for Kohl won't necessarily vote for Doyle. A lot of Dems don't like him as well. And yes, Thompson has announced he won't run. Either way though it will be close.