Fox News does the same. A couple of days ago they said that Minnesota was looking bad for Kerry as the democrats won by a larger margin. But everyone knows that the democrats only won Minnesota by around 2%. i think the result was gore 47.91 bush 45.50. John Zogby is democrat, i have no doubt. i think Oregon and Wisconsin will be won by Kerry despite the high number of cultural conservatives who lean republican
Oregon - Very close
Wisconsin - Lean Kerry
By way of Contrast, here is a poll showing Bush +5 in Oregonhttp://www.uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/GENERAL/CAMPAIGN/2004/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=41200405130
The firm which conducted it, Riley Research, has a fairly decent record in Oregon.
In 2002 they polled the Oregon Governors race and missed by only 1%, they also polled the Senate Race, and missed by 5%
In direct contradiction, Research 2000 (Who polled the same two races in Oregon in 20002 and missed by very similar 2% and 5% margins) has Kerry up 2%http://www.portlandtribune.com/archview.cgi?id=24200
The Riley sample was a tab bigger, and had Bush up by more than the Research2000 had Kerry up, so if forced to pick I'd say Bush was up a tad, but in reality there is no way to tell.