CT Senate predictions
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Poll
Question: Who wins the Democratic primary? / Will Joe be on the Nov. ballot? / Who wins in Nov. ?
#1
Lamont / No / Lamont
 
#2
Lamont / No / GOP
 
#3
Lamont / Yes / Lamont
 
#4
Lamont / Yes / GOP
 
#5
Lamont / Yes / Lieberman
 
#6
Lieberman / Yes / Lieberman
 
#7
Lieberman / Yes / GOP
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 41

Author Topic: CT Senate predictions  (Read 10071 times)
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jfern
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« on: June 14, 2006, 11:34:30 PM »

Vote
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adam
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« Reply #1 on: June 14, 2006, 11:54:35 PM »

Lamont's candidacy is almost entirely far left-wing hype. On primary day, I think he'll turn out to be a big flounder.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #2 on: June 15, 2006, 12:13:54 AM »

Lamont's candidacy is almost entirely far left-wing hype. On primary day, I think he'll turn out to be a big flounder.

Well he is in a left-wing party in a left-wing state.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #3 on: June 15, 2006, 09:21:05 AM »

I'm just happy Lamont has a chance.  Obviously Lieberman is the favorite either way at this point, but we're still breathing and growing stronger.
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Jake
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« Reply #4 on: June 15, 2006, 03:36:44 PM »

Lamont's candidacy is almost entirely far left-wing hype. On primary day, I think he'll turn out to be a big flounder.

Agreed

Lieberman/Obivously/Lieberman
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adam
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« Reply #5 on: June 15, 2006, 04:44:51 PM »

Lamont's candidacy is almost entirely far left-wing hype. On primary day, I think he'll turn out to be a big flounder.

Well he is in a left-wing party in a left-wing state.

No. He is in a plankless party composed mainly of left-wingers ina prodominatly moderate-state.
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Harry
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« Reply #6 on: June 15, 2006, 05:48:42 PM »

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Soaring Eagle
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« Reply #7 on: June 15, 2006, 08:36:23 PM »

Lamont has momentum right now. I think Lieberman is in almost as much trouble as Chafee. The Iraq war is increasingly unpopular, and in a Democratic state like CT, supporting it would be a big liability. I certainly don't think Lieberman is a DINO, but its what the CT voters think that counts.

If Lamont pulls off the upset, I doubt Lieberman will have enough time to get the signatures he needs to be on the ballot, if he even does decide to try to run as an Independent.

The general election will be closer with Lamont as the Democratic candidate than it would with Lieberman as the nominee, but Lamont would still win comfortably.
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Nym90
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« Reply #8 on: June 15, 2006, 08:46:45 PM »

Lieberman will win the primary and the general, and I strongly support him.
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adam
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« Reply #9 on: June 15, 2006, 09:39:28 PM »

I doubt Lieberman will have enough time to get the signatures he needs to be on the ballot, if he even does decide to try to run as an Independent.

You have to keep in mind that Lieberman isn't/wouldn't be like the typical no chance independent that is seriously going to have problems gathering signatures. I think Lieberman could get 30,000 in a few days because he is well known and well liked.
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Soaring Eagle
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« Reply #10 on: June 15, 2006, 09:43:57 PM »

I doubt Lieberman will have enough time to get the signatures he needs to be on the ballot, if he even does decide to try to run as an Independent.

You have to keep in mind that Lieberman isn't/wouldn't be like the typical no chance independent that is seriously going to have problems gathering signatures. I think Lieberman could get 30,000 in a few days because he is well known and well liked.
He would have to start collecting signatures before the primary since the filing deadline for independents is the day after the primary. Collecting signatures before the primary would show that he is afraid he will lose. It might not even be known who won the primary until the next day if it is close enough for Lieberman to lose.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #11 on: June 15, 2006, 09:57:25 PM »

I want Lamont to come out of nowhere like tester with a landslide victory. (Morrison almost always led him by huge margins.) That would be hilarious.
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nini2287
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« Reply #12 on: June 16, 2006, 04:51:24 AM »

Lieberman should win the primary with about 70% of the vote, and the general with about 65%.
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jfern
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« Reply #13 on: June 16, 2006, 04:54:55 AM »

Lieberman should win the primary with about 70% of the vote

LOL!
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adam
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« Reply #14 on: June 16, 2006, 05:15:32 AM »

I want Lamont to come out of nowhere like tester with a landslide victory. (Morrison almost always led him by huge margins.) That would be hilarious.

That's not true, the MT primary was always somewhat close.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #15 on: June 16, 2006, 10:15:22 PM »

I want Lamont to come out of nowhere like tester with a landslide victory. (Morrison almost always led him by huge margins.) That would be hilarious.

That's not true, the MT primary was always somewhat close.

Wrong. Only the last poll released had it close. Every other poll had Morrison leading by pretty huge margins.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #16 on: June 16, 2006, 10:16:26 PM »


Double LOL!
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Sarnstrom
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« Reply #17 on: June 16, 2006, 10:53:30 PM »

I want Lamont to come out of nowhere like tester with a landslide victory. (Morrison almost always led him by huge margins.) That would be hilarious.

That's not true, the MT primary was always somewhat close.

Wrong. Only the last poll released had it close. Every other poll had Morrison leading by pretty huge margins.
Only 3 polls were released on that race. One back in January showing Morrison up 19%, another one in April showing Morrison up by 7%, and the last one had him up only by 1%. I wouldn't say those are huge margins.
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TomC
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« Reply #18 on: June 16, 2006, 10:54:34 PM »

I think Lieberman will win unfortunately, but I think Lamont will get over 40% which is really pretty good for a primary challenger.
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TheresNoMoney
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« Reply #19 on: June 16, 2006, 10:56:26 PM »

I think Lieberman goes independent before the primary and squeeks out a win in the general election.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #20 on: June 16, 2006, 10:57:57 PM »

I want Lamont to come out of nowhere like tester with a landslide victory. (Morrison almost always led him by huge margins.) That would be hilarious.

That's not true, the MT primary was always somewhat close.

Wrong. Only the last poll released had it close. Every other poll had Morrison leading by pretty huge margins.
Only 3 polls were released on that race. One back in January showing Morrison up 19%, another one in April showing Morrison up by 7%, and the last one had him up only by 1%. I wouldn't say those are huge margins.

19% is huge. 7% is pretty big and the 1% one is what I meant by "almost always".
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #21 on: June 16, 2006, 10:59:38 PM »

I think Lieberman goes independent before the primary and squeeks out a win in the general election.

I just really hope he can't get on the ballot for some reason.
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jerusalemcar5
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« Reply #22 on: June 17, 2006, 11:33:17 AM »

I'd LOVE to see Lamont/No/Lamont.  I'm going to have to sadly vote Lieberman/Yes/Lieberman.
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MasterJedi
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« Reply #23 on: June 17, 2006, 12:05:52 PM »

Lieberman/Yes/Lieberman, and it will be great day!
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jokerman
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« Reply #24 on: June 17, 2006, 12:13:21 PM »

Lieberman, by about a 60-40 margin.
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