Rasmussen: TX Gov - Kinkster pulls into second place!

[TheresNoMoney]

Kinky's stances on the issues are much closer to the Democratic party than the Republican party.

[adam]

I must admit that I'm surprised.  And I may be re-evaluating my support for Strayhorn.

Stop that!  This is just one poll.  Things will get better when she can put "Grandma" on the ballot

If you think that some goofy title is going to change the fact that she is a complete dumbass than you are nuts. I mean for Christ's sake, she proposed a government funded 13th and 14th grade during a time when we can hardly afford to fund the first 12. There is a reason that her numbers continue to decline.

[Sam Spade]

I know I've read that Kinky has been a Republican, voted Republican, publicly supported Republican candidates until now.

Where did you hear that?  I can find nothing about it anywhere.

Well, Kinky is emphasizing his Republicanness because that's where the votes are, or more importantly that's where the votes that exist for him to have any chance to win are.

Unless one of the candidates is able to break into Perry's 40% coalition of suburban Republicans (the conservative ones, the moderate ones are voting for Strayhorn), rural social conservatives and Hispanics, it's really almost impossible for him or anyone else to win.

It's the correct strategy.  We'll see whether anyone can pull it off or not.

[Adlai Stevenson]

Does this mean that for the first time in a Texas race statewide, a Republican will win more hispanic voters than anyone else?  I think George W. Bush got 49% in 1998 and 2004?  But as the vote is splintered will Perry get 35%-40% of their votes?

[Sam Spade]

Does this mean that for the first time in a Texas race statewide, a Republican will win more hispanic voters than anyone else?  I think George W. Bush got 49% in 1998 and 2004?  But as the vote is splintered will Perry get 35%-40% of their votes?

Even though it's a subsample (and therefore its MOE is a bit above 5%), the two crosstabs of the recent SUSA Texas polls have shown Perry receiving 45% and 48% of the Hispanic vote respectively, more than the number he is receiving from white voters (40% and 42% respectively).

I think that it is quite possible, if not probable, because of the splintering that Perry gets the greatest number of Hispanic votes.

[Democratic Hawk]

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/May%202006/TexasGovMay.htm

Bell - 14%

All I can say is that even in Texas those are dreadful numbers for the Democratic Party candidate. Are there no Democrats capable of competing statewide in Texas these days ?

Dave

[adam]

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/2006/State%20Polls/May%202006/TexasGovMay.htm

Bell - 14%

All I can say is that even in Texas those are dreadful numbers for the Democratic Party candidate. Are there no Democrats capable of competing statewide in Texas these days ?

Dave

Well I mean, he was a one-term congressman that was going to get ousted zoning or not. He isn't really a good measure of the Dem Clout. I'm not saying they are within miles of powerful, but he is a rather unfair representative.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Does Texas require a majority or a plurality to win?

[Sam Spade]

Does Texas require a majority or a plurality to win?

Plurality.  Only majorities are required in primary runoffs.

[Sam Spade]

Btw, the introduction of the KBH vs. Radnofsky numbers with the same Gubernatorial sample make me think this Rasmussen polling incarnation is too Democratic, by a good bit actually. 

KBH's base numbers will be about 60% of the state, Radnofsky will start out with about a third of the state.  There simply isn't much movement from there.