McCain/Barbour 292
Warner/Feingold 246
Warner wins Virginia. The presence of Feingold on the ticket helps keep Wisconsin firmly with the Democratic ticket.
However, Warner fails to make a breakthrough in the south. The presence of conservative Barbour on the Republican ticket helps reassure southern conservatives that McCain takes their concerns seriously. The presence of liberal Feingold on the Democratic ticket does not help Warner's cause in the south.
McCain's appeal cuts across party lines, and he does well with independents, enabling him to bring Michigan and Oregon into the Republican column.
In the final analysis, voters overall put their trust in McCain and his proven leadership and experience. They decide not to entrust the security of America into the hands of a one term Virginia Governor with little track record to speak of.
McCain may be a media opportunist, he may be conservative when it suits him, and he may be moderate when it suits him, but he is someone voters know and someone voters believe will show Presidential leadership.
I would as well give McCain a chance in Maine, New Hampshire, and Pennsylvania.