Virginian87 - PV: 53% 427 EC Votes
Walter Mitty - PV: 44% 111 EC Votes
Come on Preston...
Mitty Lose Colorado? Montana? (You guys are way overplaying democratic gains in relatively libertarian states). And a Democratic sweep of the south...highly improbable.
I think you're over simplifying things here. These mountain west states are overstated in libertarianism. As once explained by Al, it's more of a backlash (as is historical) against big power in the east (whether it be bankers, the railroad companies, big beauracracy, or cities in general).
Virginian87 could connect with these voters very well. His quietness on social issues (with a pro-gun tilt, always a plus out there) combined with a moderate, Clintonian approach to economics would be very popular. They would take Mitty's anti-gun control, pro-amnest and illegal immigration, and (as they would view it) urban elitism and spit it out completely.
Of course, the Great Plains and the Mormon Triangle
do vote Republican, by very narrow margin, by sheer party loyalty.