Kyl(R) lead has shrunk over Pederson(D)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Jon Kyl          52%
Jim Pederson 40%

url: www.surveyusa.com

[GOP = Terrorists]

Hmmmm.  How much as Pederson spent of his own money.  When he first announced I said he had to spend 5 million to make it close....

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This can be the sleeper election of 2006.

[Alcon]

"Shrunk" kind of implies that the new size of the lead is small.

I agree - this can be the sleeper election of 2006, in the most literal sense.

[Sam Spade]

Look, Pederson can potentially get up to 45% under best-case national scenario.  The last 5% is what will be nearly impossible.  It's sort of the same problem for Webb in VA, though Webb's best-case number is more like 46%-47%.

Also, this poll has some things that should include better numbers for Pederson: summer polling and RV poll.  We'll see.  No more comments on non-M-D, non-primary polls till Labor Day for me now.  (unless Texas)

[MissCatholic]

Why doesnt Pederson contrast McCain against Kyl?

[AuH2O]

In the sense that Pederson has no chance, the lead has shrunk for insurmountable to... insurmountable.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

AZ is very much a presidential battleground state and it voted for Clinton in 1996 and Pederson has a small chance but Kyl is hard to beat. But he isn't unbeatable. And his approval ratings are under 50% where it is danger zone for an incumbant 45%. And Bush is at 45% in the state as well. It is Jon Kyl's race to lose, but he isn't unstoppable. And Pederson has a lot of money. He will make up ground after the primary.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Don't forget Sherrod Brown was down by 10 points in a mason dixon poll in May and he has come back from that by running ads, Pederson can do the same.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

But Arizona has voted Democratic in the past in 1996 and Pederson is a businessman and can raise a lot of money to stay competetive. We will see after the primary who will win.

[7,052,770]

I'm still betting Pederson pulls it out.