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Author Topic: Rasmussen: Lamont leads in the primary and is tied in the general  (Read 1211 times)
OC
olawakandi
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« on: July 22, 2006, 01:19:49 pm »
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New Poll: Connecticut Senator by Rasmussen on 2006-07-20

Summary: D: 40%, I: 40%, R: 13%, U: 0%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

« Last Edit: July 23, 2006, 12:51:25 pm by olawakandi »Logged
Eraserhead
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« Reply #1 on: July 22, 2006, 02:35:50 pm »
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Oh yeaaah.
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Grad Students are the Worst
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« Reply #2 on: July 22, 2006, 03:01:44 pm »
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Would you mind formatting your polls thusly?

http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=42699.0
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OC
olawakandi
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« Reply #3 on: July 22, 2006, 03:02:35 pm »
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The poll comes out like that when you enter the poll in the database. I have no control on how it is formatted.
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Grad Students are the Worst
Alcon
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« Reply #4 on: July 22, 2006, 03:05:11 pm »
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The poll comes out like that when you enter the poll in the database. I have no control on how it is formatted.

No, I mean the subject of the poll here. Smiley  Sorry for the confusion.

By the way, my thanks for posting all of these -- I'm glad someone does it, and you certainly have your finger on the pulse of the polls being released.
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Boris
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« Reply #5 on: July 22, 2006, 03:33:52 pm »
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Wait a second...Something here makes absolutely no sense mathematically. If Lamont is leading Lieberman 51-41 in the primary, how can he be tied with Lieberman in the general? For this to happen, Lamont has to be only trailing by a slight margin among independents and Republicans.

Anyways, if further polls confirm this result, we've got a race going on in CT.
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OC
olawakandi
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« Reply #6 on: July 22, 2006, 05:31:12 pm »
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Lieberman is running as an independent in the general.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #7 on: July 22, 2006, 11:37:34 pm »
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Wait a second...Something here makes absolutely no sense mathematically. If Lamont is leading Lieberman 51-41 in the primary, how can he be tied with Lieberman in the general? For this to happen, Lamont has to be only trailing by a slight margin among independents and Republicans.

Or you have a large (most likely, too large) sample of Democrats who will choose to back the party choice regardless of who they support in the primary.
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« Reply #8 on: July 23, 2006, 09:31:47 am »
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Wait a second...Something here makes absolutely no sense mathematically.

You are right.  The numbers make no sense.   He can win.  But dont trust the general election numbers.
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« Reply #9 on: July 23, 2006, 11:21:12 am »
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Wait a second...Something here makes absolutely no sense mathematically. If Lamont is leading Lieberman 51-41 in the primary, how can he be tied with Lieberman in the general? For this to happen, Lamont has to be only trailing by a slight margin among independents and Republicans.

Or you have a large (most likely, too large) sample of Democrats who will choose to back the party choice regardless of who they support in the primary.
Exactly. There is no reason to assume Lieberman could hold onto his entire primary election base in the general. There's every reason to assume he couldn't, in fact. (Which is not to say that this poll is exactly accurate either, of course.)
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If I'm shown as having been active here recently it's either because I've been using the gallery, because I've been using the search engine looking up something from way back, or because I've been reading the most excellent UK by-elections thread again.
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