"Democrats lose if Lieberman is Defeated"
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  "Democrats lose if Lieberman is Defeated"
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Author Topic: "Democrats lose if Lieberman is Defeated"  (Read 2190 times)
MODU
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« on: July 24, 2006, 12:05:41 PM »



Just to balance out Jferns post:

"Democrats Lose if Lieberman is Defeated"

The most interesting question about the possibility that Connecticut Democrats could deny Joseph Lieberman renomination is whether that would help or hurt the senator's political prospects. Or, for that matter, the Democratic Party's.

That's because even if Lieberman loses the Aug. 8 Democratic primary - and the newest polling data says that is a real possibility - he would be a huge favorite for re-election as an independent come November.

And if that is the case, it would not be hard to write a scenario in which the real loser from a Lieberman defeat to anti-war candidate Ned Lamont might be the Democratic Party itself

(Cont...)


So, basically, if Lieberman wins as an Independent, he gains more national status and more flexibility.  If Lieberman loses yet pulls a high independent vote, Lamont loses as well, putting a Republican in office.  If the Democrats want to retain "power" in any way, it is in their best interest to back Joe-mentum.
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jfern
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« Reply #1 on: July 24, 2006, 12:10:33 PM »

Another joke prediction from RealClearPolitics.

http://web.archive.org/web/20001216085300/http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Polls/polls-Electoral_11_06_EC.html
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
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« Reply #2 on: July 24, 2006, 12:38:17 PM »



Just to balance out Jferns post:

"Democrats Lose if Lieberman is Defeated"

The most interesting question about the possibility that Connecticut Democrats could deny Joseph Lieberman renomination is whether that would help or hurt the senator's political prospects. Or, for that matter, the Democratic Party's.

That's because even if Lieberman loses the Aug. 8 Democratic primary - and the newest polling data says that is a real possibility - he would be a huge favorite for re-election as an independent come November.

And if that is the case, it would not be hard to write a scenario in which the real loser from a Lieberman defeat to anti-war candidate Ned Lamont might be the Democratic Party itself

(Cont...)


So, basically, if Lieberman wins as an Independent, he gains more national status and more flexibility.  If Lieberman loses yet pulls a high independent vote, Lamont loses as well, putting a Republican in office.  If the Democrats want to retain "power" in any way, it is in their best interest to back Joe-mentum.

To add to that, not only do the Democrats lose, but this country loses one of the best advocates for a better America if Joe is kicked out.
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Mike in Maryland
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« Reply #3 on: July 24, 2006, 12:49:13 PM »

I personally hope that Lieberman wins as either a D or I, but Real Clear Politics' editorialists have about as much nonpartisan credibility as Rush Limbaugh or Sean Hannity.  Their collections of polls and news articles are useful, though.
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #4 on: July 24, 2006, 01:46:01 PM »

Im pretty sure that there is zero chance of Lieberman running as VP to McCain on the Republican ticket, even if he were to win as an Independent.  Republicans wouldn't vote for McCain if he put a former dem in the VP Slot, not that they would pick him in the primary anyway.  Lets be honest, if Joe wins as an independent, he wins the highest office he will ever know.

And thats assuming he wins in the general, I have a feeling he would lose to Lamont.

The First Law of Joementum Dynamics:

increased campaigning (IC) + higher awareness of issue positions (IP) = decreased turnout for Joe. (-Joe)
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