2009/10 General Election probabilities

[Rural Radical]

What, in your mind, is the % chance of the follwing occurring at the next general election?

PART I

1.Labour Majority 60%

2.Labour Minority50%

3.Conservative Minority40%

4.Conservative Majority20%

5.Liberal Democrats largest party0%

6.Gordon Brown is the Labour leader80%

7.Gordon Brown is NOT the Labour leader20%

8.BNP pick up one seat0%

9.BNP pick up 2-5 seats0%

10.BNP pick up more than 5 seats0%

11. Greens pick up a seat0%

12. Scotland is no longer part of the UK by the time of the election0%

 

[Rural Radical]

1.Labour Majority 40%

2.Labour Minority30%

3.Conservative Minority20%

4.Conservative Majority10%

5.Liberal Democrats largest party0%

Shouldn't these five sum to 100% (or less, if you believe there's an outside chance some other party wins ), like these do:

You must be logged in to read this quote.